UNH/CNN/WMUR Poll of New Hampshire - Ron in Distant Second to Romney

If it comes down to Romney vs Paul, there's no way the other 68% are going to vote for him. I'm confident that Ron can defeat Mittens, even without the special interest millions.
 
Hey, we may be able to get about 15% in the final.

I have 2 questions:

Why is Romney so popular?

and

Why is Romney so popular in NH?
 
Romney has a house here in NH.
Romney spends LOTS of time in NH.
Romney's PAC spent a lot of money here in 2010 elections.

If Ron comes in 2nd or 3rd in NH that is gonna be GREAT.
 
Romney has a house here in NH.
Romney spends LOTS of time in NH.
Romney's PAC spent a lot of money here in 2010 elections.

If Ron comes in 2nd or 3rd in NH that is gonna be GREAT.

And the only person who can beat Romney in NH IS... (drumroll) :)
 
Second place is really good for this stage in the game. The key is to 1) Keep any other competitors from overtaking us for second; and 2) Ensure that the plurality of ex-Romney voters who find out about his healthcare stance switch to Paul.
 
9% is kinda low with Huckabee and Trump out, but 2nd place is very good. Ron needs to keep 2nd for sure, and (I agree) grab those turned off of Romneycare.

15% have Ron Paul as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Giuliani as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Gingrich as one of their top 3 choices.
21% have Palin as one of their top 3 choices.
16% for Bachmann
17% for Pawlenty
61% for Romney

Ron Paul could use a little bit more depth of support.


"Strongest Leader" - Ron Paul gets just 3%

"Most believable" - Romney over Paul by 20% to 12% (this is a good result)

"Most likeable" - Ron Paul gets just 7%

"Handle terrorism" - Ron Paul gets just 5%

"Best chance of beating Obama" - Paul gets just 1% even though the latest CNN poll shows Ron Paul did the best!
 
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If you look at the crosstabs its both good and bad. The good is that Rons support seems to be strong. He shouldnt "dip" any lower than hes at. The bad news is that if it comes down to Paul VS. Romney, Romney is the preferred 2nd choice candidate of 20% of the voters whereas Ron is the second place choice of only 4% of voters....
 
9% is kinda low with Huckabee and Trump out, but 2nd place is very good. Ron needs to keep 2nd for sure, and (I agree) grab those turned off of Romneycare.

15% have Ron Paul as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Giuliani as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Gingrich as one of their top 3 choices.
21% have Palin as one of their top 3 choices.
16% for Bachmann
17% for Pawlenty
61% for Romney

Ron Paul could use a little bit more depth of support.


"Strongest Leader" - Ron Paul gets just 3%

"Most believable" - Romney over Paul by 20% to 12% (this is a good result)

"Most likeable" - Ron Paul gets just 7%

"Handle terrorism" - Ron Paul gets just 5%

"Best chance of beating Obama" - Paul gets just 1% even though the latest CNN poll shows Ron Paul did the best!

I agree it's kinda low. I keep seeing the bin Laden smear and the heroin smear, but hopefully by the time there is a key date in NH there will be good ads running, including one explaining Ron's foreign policy "I would have gone for bin Laden ten years ago, and what if we had? We'd have saved ten years and thousands of lives and hundreds of thousands of disabilities, and vast sums of money. We must never compromise strong defense of this country, but our defense includes having the funds to engage in war at need. We hurt not only our safety nets but our national security with this debt....."

And we need to have the polls showing how well Ron does against Obama in all our flyers. People need to KNOW that.
 
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Romney has spent A LOT of time in New Hampshire over the past four years and it has paid off for him handsomely. That's pretty much all there is to it. NH primary voters are spoiled; if a presidential candidate wants their support that candidate had better show up in their backyard (preferably repeatedly).
 
Romney has spent A LOT of time in New Hampshire over the past four years and it has paid off for him handsomely. That's pretty much all there is to it. NH primary voters are spoiled; if a presidential candidate wants their support that candidate had better show up in their backyard (preferably repeatedly).

Romney is part of the ole boys club around there. It will take a LOT to win N.H. I think winning Iowa is more likely
 
Cain is winning:
Mitt Romney
17.53% (112 votes)

Newt Gingrich
7.51% (48 votes)

Tim Pawlenty
17.06% (109 votes)

Herman Cain
31.3% (200 votes)

Ron Paul
26.6% (170 votes)

It's acting funny. You can vote as many times as you want to, but they won't all be counted. Wasn't there another FOX poll that took 2 votes or more for RP to register one vote?

Gary Johnson was omitted.
 
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