Trump’s nonsensical claim he can eliminate $19 trillion in debt in eight years

Yes its a market, a smaller trade deficit would mean fewer buyers, this would lead to higher interest rates on US debt and higher interest rate could put pressure on congress to reduce spending.

Being a 70% consumer economy, US producers and exporters are almost non-existent already so if foreign companies don't buy US debt, there's not a lot of US goods they would then use their US dollars on. They would be more likely to enter the currency exchange market and sell US dollars, and buy a different currency. This could cause a dollar crisis and result in high inflation.

Exports as a percent of GDP have been rising and account for 14% of our gross national product.

united-states-exports-of-goods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.png


http://www.tradingeconomics.com/uni...oods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.html

The US is #2 in total exports among all countries- behind China. (Unless you count the EU as a single country). https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2078rank.html

1 CHINA $2,270,000,000,000 2015 EST.
2 EUROPEAN UNION $2,259,000,000,000 2014 EST.
3 UNITED STATES $1,598,000,000,000 2015 EST.
4 GERMANY $1,292,000,000,000 2015 EST.
5 JAPAN $624,000,000,000 2015 EST.
6 KOREA, SOUTH $535,500,000,000 2015 EST.
7 FRANCE $509,100,000,000 2015 EST.
8 HONG KONG $499,400,000,000 2015 EST.
9 NETHERLANDS $488,300,000,000 2015 EST.
10 ITALY $454,600,000,000 2015 EST.

Not existent?

Trade deficit is not relevant to budget deficits. Budget deficits come from spending more money than you take in in taxes.
 
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A trade deficit is not necessarily a good or bad thing. It depends on why it exists. If you are wealthier than your trading partners and can afford to buy more imported goods than they can afford to buy from you, is your country in bad shape? On the other hand, if you are unable to produce what you need- maybe you lack natural resources or labor- and have to import everything, it is not good.
 
Yes its a market, a smaller trade deficit would mean fewer buyers, this would lead to higher interest rates on US debt and higher interest rate could put pressure on congress to reduce spending.

Raise a tariff wall, reduce imports, foreigners hold fewer dollars, less demand for treasuries, higher rates, pressure to cut spending.

Well, that's one way of doing it...

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...but there are better ways.
 
Exports as a percent of GDP have been rising and account for 14% of our gross national product.

united-states-exports-of-goods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.png


http://www.tradingeconomics.com/uni...oods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.html

The US is #2 in total exports among all countries- behind China. (Unless you count the EU as a single country). https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2078rank.html



Not existent?

Trade deficit is not relevant to budget deficits. Budget deficits come from spending more money than you take in in taxes.

Exports of goods and services. I wouldn't rely on services to prop us up long term. How would that chart look if you took services out of the equation?
 
Does it matter economically if an export is a good or service? Is one good and one bad for the economy? Does it matter if I get paid for cutting a person's hair or for putting a nut on the end of a widget all day long? Either way, I got paid to do it.
 
He clearly started reading the wrong line on the teleprompter. He started reading a word that started with t, and then read the right word, "cities".

So did he slip on the teleprompter, or was it a splice job by neocon Ben Howe?
 
Yes its a market, a smaller trade deficit would mean fewer buyers, this would lead to higher interest rates on US debt and higher interest rate could put pressure on congress to reduce spending.

This chain of logic is wrong, right out of the gate ...

Do you understand what trade deficit/surplus figures actually represent?

Trade deficit/surplus figures only tell you the relative difference between the net values of goods and services bought and sold. They imply nothing at all about the numbers of buyers or sellers involved. IOW: A smaller trade deficit would not mean fewer buyers. The two have nothing to do with one another.

To illustrate:

Scenario 1: Country A sells $30,000,000 worth of goods and services to Country B and buys $10,000,000 worth of goods and services from Country B. Country B has a so-called trade "deficit" of $20,000,000 with Country A.

Scenario 2: Country A sells $100,000,000 worth of goods and services to Country B and buys $90,000,000 worth of goods and services from Country B. Country B has a so-called trade "deficit" of $10,000,000 with Country A.

Note that Country B's trade "deficit" is smaller in Scenario 2 than it is in Scenario 1. But given the values involved in each scenario ($30,000,000 & $10,000,000 vs. $100,000,000 & $90,000,000), why should we expect that Scenario 2 involves fewer buyers?

(Also, interest rates do not depend on the number of buyers or sellers involved in some particular trade deficit/surplus scenario. They depend on the temporally-sensitive marginal value of money to loaners and borrowers.)

Being a 70% consumer economy, US producers and exporters are almost non-existent already so if foreign companies don't buy US debt, there's not a lot of US goods they would then use their US dollars on. They would be more likely to enter the currency exchange market and sell US dollars, and buy a different currency. This could cause a dollar crisis and result in high inflation.

There are these things called the Laws of Supply and Demand ... perhaps you've heard of them ... ?

(And I'm not even going to try to "decircularize" an argument that essentially boils down to, "We have a trade deficit because we export so little, and we export so little because we have a trade deficit ...")

Does it matter economically if an export is a good or service? Is one good and one bad for the economy? Does it matter if I get paid for cutting a person's hair or for putting a nut on the end of a widget all day long? Either way, I got paid to do it.

It depends on how many haircuts and nutted widgets are actually wanted on the market (as opposed to how many are wanted by politicians and economic regulators). Being paid to do unproductive work (such as putting nuts on widgets that no one wants to buy unless they're subsidized - or digging holes and filling them right back up again) is not good for the economy, no matter how much you might get paid to do it.
 
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So did he slip on the teleprompter, or was it a splice job by neocon Ben Howe?

Howe cut the first part of the sentence to make it look like trump meant to say titties instead of cities. If he did that to Ron Paul you'd call him out on it instead of spreading it for him. Then again, maybe you wouldn't, as you seem like a plant.
 
He who you shall not name is an enigma. I'm pretty sure he was working for Cruz at some point. He had complex anti trump material ready to use in replies to many threads.

Now that Cruz self imploded into Oblivion, maddened like Gollum without his ring, he aimlessly wanders this forum.
 
He clearly started reading the wrong line on the teleprompter. He started reading a word that started with t, and then read the right word, "cities".

This is one of those inkblot moments. I think either he has a billionaire friend that bet him to say it. Either that or he saw some tits and his mind slipped. I see why the public is so enamored by this guy, he is like an ambulance on the side of the road.
 
Donald Trump: Borrowing Could Help Fix US Infrastructure | Squawk Box | CNBC



Normally, you would say you want to reduce your debt, and I would like to reduce debt too, as much as anybody. The problem is you have a military problem, you have an infrastructure problem — a tremendous infrastructure problem, and you have other problems. And also, the asset is your rates are so low. What’s going to happen when the rates eventually go up and you can’t borrow, you absolutely can’t borrow because it’s too expensive, it would destroy our balance sheet? You’d be paying so little interest right now. This is the time to borrow.
 
This may be one of the few CPUd threads that have merit. Most of the others are DNC seeded stories.
 
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