The Reality of Super Tuesday

[Alli]

While the political establishment and mainstream media would like all involved to believe, and perhaps those who support Ron Paul to an even greater degree, that Super Tuesday is "political Armageddon" for any candidate faring poorly, the truth to the matter is quite to the contrary.

The total number of Delegates remaining at this point in time is 1,891 of which 75% are awarded after Super Tuesday.
Even if Dr. Paul were to be awarded no Delegates on Super Tuesday, the path to the nomination is still ours for the taking.

 

[Mr. Rapp]

I think everyone should be extremely confident rolling into super Tuesday. Alaska, Vermont, North Dakota... He should get at least 2nd in those states.

 

[opinionatedfool]

+rep

 

[wgadget]

Seems to me it's another break week for the colleges here in Georgia. Hmmm. Do they PLAN it this way?

 

[JasonM]

Yes, but we have to hope that the Grinch does well enough that he hangs in there right now. If Romney runs away with this hard enough that it causes Santorum and/or Gingrich to drop (Gingrich is in danger presently), then with one dropout is a big danger, and with two dropouts it's curtains for this nomination as Romney will steamroll us like like mccain did in 2008.

Look at Virginia to get a taste of what will happen if gingrich and santorum drop out.

 

[rich34]

Seems to me it's another break week for the colleges here in Georgia. Hmmm. Do they PLAN it this way?

Seems that way...

 

[PolicyReader]

Paul today stated in an interview he expects to do well in SD, ID, and Alaska and also expects to take the greatest share of the delegates out of Super Tuesday.

That having been said the OP is correct, Super Tuesday is a big day for states voting but of the more than 2k delegates to the national convention it accounts for only 600 and change.
Further as with most states the delegates are NOT actually assigned that day, only the start of the assignment process takes place. Just like in Iowa which still hasn't finalized it's delegates to the Nation Nominating Convention.

The media loves to paint every race, every state (unless Paul is doing well at the time ) as THE make or brake state of this race. Iowa, NH "first in the nation", SC "the firewall", FL "vital", MI "the panic button" if you watch they cover every state as if it is THE SATE because that's what gets them ratings, that hype. If they'd billed FL as "50 delegates out of over two thousand" do you think they (the media) would have received many millions of dollars for ad spending in FL as they did this year?

Pauls method isn't flashy, it's just effective and "a slow effective march to the nomination" doesn't get people excited and sell ad time. But so long as we in the grassroots maintain realism and go for substance not sizzle we can march this all the way to the convention.

 

[azxd]

I don't get enthused over rigged systems, and brokered conventions, but might if Ron can hit the big one.

 

[PolicyReader]

Seems to me it's another break week for the colleges here in Georgia. Hmmm. Do they PLAN it this way?

Tho the delegate selection process for some places (Including GA if memory serves) happens semi-independently of the main poll and Paul is already making inroads there but shh don't tell anyone )

 

[puppetmaster]

Nice facts for those of you who are getting slightly discouraged by those here to derail our efforts......there are many here, even with larger post counts. their true colors are showing.

 

[Ivash]

Any candidate that does poorly will run out of money and enthusiasm (Dr. Paul is an exception to that rule). Momentum builds for the winner, the media narrative swings n their favour, money and support begins to flow in, etc. Super Tuesday is a big deal.

 

[Nastynate]

Seems to me it's another break week for the colleges here in Georgia. Hmmm. Do they PLAN it this way?

I also found it quite weird. I live in Missouri and the caucus is on St. Patrick's day, and there is a free concert by Chevelle in Rolla, MO. IDK if its coincidence that its out in the middle of no where, so it takes a bit to drive to. Its an awesome band if you don't know em.

http://www.1057thepoint.com/Concert-Calendar/Details.aspx?ConcertID=159976


But i'm just paranoid and everything is out to get me.

 

[TroySmith]

John King pointed out last night that they expect Paul to win ND. I think the chances for a win are also good in Alaska and Idaho. Virginia looks like a 2nd place, and hopefully we can get 2nd in Mass. and Vermont as well.

Gingrich should take Georgia, and Santorum will likely take OK.

Ohio and Tenn. look like toss ups between Santorum and Romney.

If we can take 2 first place, and 3 second place finishes....I think we would be in good shape.

 

[puppetmaster]

John King pointed out last night that they expect Paul to win ND. I think the chances for a win are also good in Alaska and Idaho. Virginia looks like a 2nd place, and hopefully we can get 2nd in Mass. and Vermont as well.

Gingrich should take Georgia, and Santorum will likely take OK.

Ohio and Tenn. look like toss ups between Santorum and Romney.

If we can take 2 first place, and 3 second place finishes....I think we would be in good shape.

even if we don't take any firsts, we are in good shape

 

[TroySmith]

even if we don't take any firsts, we are in good shape

I honestly disagree. A first place finish dispels the notion that "he can't win" and helps him become the anti-Romney.