The Official Texas Results Thread

[Agorism]

Is David Simpson good?

He needs 50 percent or runoff...

 

[MarcusI]

New and revised county results from Ron's CD:

Aransas: 12.2%
Calhoun: 21.8%
Jackson: 11.5%
Matagorda: 20.4%
Victoria: 17.4%
Bazoria (Lake Jackson): 24.2%
Galveston: 17.6%

Not in: Wharton

Paul now at 18.1% district-wide. I'm not sure, but he could get a delegate if he jumps over 20% in this CD in the end.

I don't understand the allocation completely:
"As Rule 38, Section 8 of the Republican Party of Texas rules describes, delegates are allocated to candidates in proportion to that candidate's share of the statewide vote. There is no threshold for receiving delegates. However, there is a threshold to receiving the assignment of particular delegates. If a candidate does not receive 20% of the vote statewide, then that candidate is not eligible for congressional district delegates unless he or she receives at least 20% of the vote in any given congressional district. All that really means is that a candidate under 20% statewide and 20% in all congressional districts will gain statewide, at-large delegates to "fill out" their allotment of delegates. Meanwhile, candidates, say Mitt Romney, well over 20% both statewide and on the congressional district will gather the assignment of the most delegates from the congressional district level as a means of completing the full allocation based on the overall statewide vote while the candidates further back will be assigned at-large delegates."

http://frontloading.blogspot.de/2012/05/2012-republican-delegate-allocation_29.html

 

[MarcusI]

Brazoria now at 25.1%!

Whole CD now at 19.42%! 228 of 296 reporting. Wharton county still not in - could be decisive

 

[QuickZ06]

There's a guy running for president named "John Davis" with 2,090 votes in Texas:

Why hasn't this picture gone meme yet?

http://www.johndavisforpresident.org/faqs-john-davis-2012/who-is-presidential-candidate-john-davis/

The other thing is there's about 20 people running for President this year. Even if some may be caricatural, why doesn't the media cover their individual stories. That would make for great TV and that's what sells commercials.

Are the power brokers so afraid that a John Davis could go viral and edge past their anointed choice?

Im surprised he was not picked up by the interwebz as well.

Fifty years ago the dollar was better than gold and it’s been on the decline.

lol what?

 

[wetroof]

if you click on the huntsman sidebar on the google.com result page you can see "rockwell" county. Ron Paul's 900 votes went to Huntsman. Fail lol. better be corrected.

walker county (2 up from harris) seems to have cheated ron paul as well...

the bachmann mistake was corrected pretty fast, lets see how long it takes for these to be.

 

[Zee]

Ron Paul never wanted to be the President and he won't accept it even if we go to Tampa and turn the GOP on it's head.

This "Revolution" was never about nominating Ron Paul as President. It was about getting the apathetic involved at a local level. It was simply about spreading his message.

I could be wrong, but I doubt it.

I believe Paul said that he's never had a strong personal desire to be the President, That doesnt mean he was never actually trying to win.
Not being able to "imagine himself in the White House", imo was just being realistic, especially considering the amount of propaganda spewed to hold him down during the last campaign.

Spreading a message is the cake, and I doubt he would give up the iceing if (safely) given the opportunity to influence change from the oval office. Even just for one term. I doubt he would willingly hand it over to a man like Romney in order to sip pina colada's.

I understand where your comming from though, and at this point, given how hard it is to fight this twisted system, Im sure he is content knowing he has played a big part in spreading a message and awareness while inspiring others to do the same.

 

[ChristopherShelley]

I guess that beat up the campaign thread got zapped? Oh well. Good night my Ron Paulers. Zzzzzzz <3

 

[romancito]

I guess that beat up the campaign thread got zapped? Oh well. Good night my Ron Paulers. Zzzzzzz <3

"LIBERTY" forums I think it is called.

 

[MarcusI]

Paul now has more than doubled his 2008 outcome with 95% counted according to CNN!

149,434 to 66,360

Now at 11.6%

 

[MarcusI]

Romney always does better than Paul with absentee votes:

Harris county
Romney:
Absentee: 12,016 78.48%
Early Voting: 41,178 69.45%
Election day: 5,360 68.76%

Paul:
Absentee: 1,015 6.63%
Early Voting: 7,145 12.05%
Election day: 1,187 15.23%

The difference is dramatic and it's the same pretty much everywhere. Certainly this is not caused by absentee military votes. Old people like to go vote. I doubt it's that either.

The extremely obese and shut-ins. Sure, why not.

Where did you get the absentee and election day numbers from?

 

[jay_dub]

There's a guy running for president named "John Davis" with 2,090 votes in Texas:

Why hasn't this picture gone meme yet?

http://www.johndavisforpresident.org/faqs-john-davis-2012/who-is-presidential-candidate-john-davis/

The other thing is there's about 20 people running for President this year. Even if some may be caricatural, why doesn't the media cover their individual stories. That would make for great TV and that's what sells commercials.

Are the power brokers so afraid that a John Davis could go viral and edge past their anointed choice?

That monkey wrench of his has all sorts of implications. I like it!!!

 

[RonRules]

Paul now has more than doubled his 2008 outcome with 95% counted according to CNN!

149,434 to 66,360

Now at 11.6%

Minority Rules: Why 10 Percent is All You Need

http://www.freakonomics.com/2011/07/28/minority-rules-why-10-percent-is-all-you-need/

“When the number of committed opinion holders is below 10 percent, there is no visible progress in the spread of ideas. It would literally take the amount of time comparable to the age of the universe for this size group to reach the majority,” said SCNARC Director Boleslaw Szymanski, the Claire and Roland Schmitt Distinguished Professor at Rensselaer. “Once that number grows above 10 percent, the idea spreads like flame.”

Turns out if you’re in the minority, you have less of an incentive to compromise than the majority does. Because if you stick to your guns, and reach that crucial 10%, your ideas eventually win out. Just as the graph from SNARC below illustrates:

 

[RonRules]

Where did you get the absentee and election day numbers from?

From Harris county, about an hour ago. It's still pretty much the same, percentage wise:
http://www.election.co.harris.tx.us/Cumulative/Rep/cumulative.pdf

It's like that all over the country. If that was really a Romney strategy, I'll say well played.

However, absentee ballots are very prone to fraud. I think they should be avoided except in sure cases.

 

[J_White]

when are the county/district conventions ?
we can still get delegates, though they "might be bound" for Romney on the first ballot, right ?

 

[MarcusI]

From Harris county, about an hour ago. It's still pretty much the same, percentage wise:
http://www.election.co.harris.tx.us/Cumulative/Rep/cumulative.pdf

Ah okay. In Pauls own CD it is even extremer, looking on the SoS figures roughly. Maybe I will find something similar for his own county.

 

[RonRules]

when are the county/district conventions ?
we can still get delegates, though they "might be bound" for Romney on the first ballot, right ?

No delegates are bound. It's in the RNC rules (but there may be variations from state to state).

The real question is will the vote take place for the first round in Tampa?

 

[Ixzion]

I voted for the doc in Montgomery Co.

 

[MarcusI]

No delegates are bound. It's in the RNC rules (but there may be variations from state to state).

The real question is will the vote take place for the first round in Tampa?

Depends on the delegate chair, as I get it.


Aransas: 12.2% (100%)
Calhoun: 21.8% (69%)
Jackson: 17.7% (100%)
Matagorda: 20.4% (5.3%)
Victoria: 17.8% (100%)
Brazoria (Lake Jackson): 25.1% (100%)
Galveston: 17.9% (97%)
Wharton 19.7% (100%)


Whole CD now at 19.45%. (243 of 286 Precincts, the SoS page is slower than AP or CNN) As I understand the rules this will not affect the total number of "bound" delegates Paul will get from Texas, but if he gets 20% in his CD, he will get a CD deleagate instead of one of the other at-large delegates. But dont ask me how they are chosen exactly.

 

[RonRules]

That monkey wrench of his has all sorts of implications. I like it!!!

Somehow the monkey wrench works for him. Imagine Romney with a monkey wrench!!

 

[MarcusI]

CNN delegate count thus far:

Romney 97
Paul 10
Santorum 8
Gingrich 4

Total is 152 (without 3 RNC), so more to come.