Would you recommend buying Doge?
Yes I would invest in the DOGE, but not yet for the following reasons:
1. Firstly have a look at the latest DOGE trend channel, its down and by being patient you might just get them for 130 or 120, particularly if all works out as indicated below:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/9cj5jsk261ffq5g/DOGE-Trend-Channel.jpg
2. Right now we a look-alike situation with PPC (as has been discussed on here for a while). We have a MACD cross on the PPC 12-Hour at this moment it looks like PPC is getting ready to move through a number of resistance lines all associated with the drawn out month-long downtrend.
3. If you are watching NMC on the 1 and 5 minute its looking like its itching to break as well, but will need PPC to send the signal first - no 12-Hour MA cross yet, but its close. Currently caught up on a new downtrending resistance line which formed as far back as 11 January. NMC needs to break that first.
4. Back on PPC, it was 37 days from spike top on 28 Nov until spike top on 3 Jan. Add 37 days to 3 Jan and you come to a resolution one way or the other on PPC by 9 Feb 14. When I look at the 12-Hour MACD for PPC, we are now starting to see green bars, so it could move quick from here, or we may have a bit of a delay and the remainder of this move happening by say the 6th or 7th or 8th of February when its time to get out. Same with NMC although IF that takes off it will be fast, probably all over in Four 4-Hour Green Candles, so you will want to have you sell orders locked down on Cryptsy in advance. It all depends, could happen quicker, so you are going to need to keep an eye on it.
5. Right now the DOGE volume is lower than both PPC and NMC, and people might be eyeing off this potential move with PPC and NMC and holding off on the DOGE, thus its falling - great news if you are wanting some.
6. So the ideal situation might just be take profits on PPC/NMC on say 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 Feb (whichever date looks the best) and pump some into the DOGE IFF the DOGE price is where you want it at that time.
7. Added significance of the 8th of February is, this is the start of the Winter Olympics in Sochi. If you watched one of the last videos posted, people have been sending the DOGE in support of the Jamaican Bobsled Team and various other athletes from non-traditional Winter Sporting countries. It just may well be that this global gathering will see increased awareness raised about the DOGE then. Olympic dates here:
http://www.bbc.com/sport/0/winter-olympics/25763228
8. Of course added to this, on 12 Feb 14, the DOGE miners will see their discovered block rewards halved from 100,000 coins down to 50,000 coins which should also add to increased price pressure. Over on multipool.us, nearly every miner has been mining the DOGE non-stop since the price jump a week ago. Now over 41% mined and headed quickly to 42%.
9. In the troll boxes, miners boasting they are sitting on over $1.5 Million in the DOGE and they are right, particularly if they have been mining from day one, not selling a single DOGE and were wise enough early on to notice the Network Effect growing.
10. Right now the only DOGE I have are those I have mined recently (1.1 BTC worth). Its stinkin' hot here again (45C) and not looking like there will be a big letup all week this time around, but the rigs are hanging in there and cranking out the DOGE at a rate of 72,000 a day. This is averaging 1 BTC a week, whereas I was only counting on 1 BTC every 10 Days. If possible to achieve this through 2014 that's 52 BTC vs 36.5 BTC. However, I think after 12 Feb the DOGE won't be near as profitable, so other coins will need to compensate to keep it going - ATM LOT and TIPS seem a potential substitute, but of course tomorrow we get to have a peek at Reddcoin and see how pre-mined it is. I am pessimistic this will happen (52 BTC for the year), but we shall see.
Anyway all this to say, yes I would invest in the DOGE but not yet. Watch PPC/NMC first, take some profits, then watch the DOGE trendline and try to pick a bottom there if possible, then watch for news on the DOGE both during the Olympics and following the 12 Feb Block Reward halving. If I were the DOGE developers this would be an amazing time to increase their Network Effect and global awareness of the DOGE, and if done correctly won't step on IOC advertising rules.
Of course all of this needs to be tempered with an anticipated BTC price drop a couple of times between now and 3-6 March. If one feels safest just hanging around all in BTC through that time and riding it out until price increases start again in early to mid-March, then that is perhaps a good plan as well, because when BTC falls the Alts tend to get smashed. So that could well be another time to pick up some DOGE cheaper, but just be aware of the potential impact of both the Olympics and the Block Reward Halving.
My plan is buy/mine the DOGE now, hang on at least 3 months or until the upper Market Cap resistance line gets broken and then I will sell them and buy back in at a lower price.