The case for the occurence of algorithmic vote flipping

[RonRules]

Things look pretty exciting in PA: http://www.votepa.us/

December 21 2011 -- Judge Oliver J. "Stop The Exam" Lobaugh, who earlier this month dismissed the heroic Specially-Appointed Venango County Election Board in the middle of their landmark forensic exam of the ES&S iVotronic voting system, today denied their Motion For Reconsideration. In reality, Lobaugh had already run out the clock as he sat on the Motion until it was too late for the Specially-Appointed Election Board to finish their work even if they had been reinstated.

This morning the County Commissioners held a public work session to discuss the unfinished forensic exam. Under the leadership of 2007-2011 Chair Tim Brooks they spoke with forensic examiners Kesden and Eckhardt via phone. Brooks, who was previously quoted in court filings as having screamed at an Election Board member that he did not want any forensic examination of the county's voting system, did most of the questioning. No member of the Specially-Appointed Venango County Election Board, the people who actually conducted the unfinished exam, was asked for input or even allowed to speak at all.

Drs. Kesden and Eckhardt told the Commissioners in no uncertain terms about serious security problems found during their work with the forensic exam to date. These problems included illegal remote access of the central tabulating computer and other insecure processes including weak passwords, unsafe media being inserted into the computer, unneeded software on the tabulator, and more. The experts also discussed how limited their forensic exam was, given the time constraints, and how many things went uninvestigated.

 

[RonRules]

Audio discussion in PA about securing the Central Tabulator (ES&S "Unity Server").
http://www.votepa.us/Files/12-21-11VenangoCommssnrsWkshp.mp3
At least one person in this discussion is aware of the possibility of viruses infecting the Central Tabulator

 

[drummergirl]

Things look pretty exciting in PA: http://www.votepa.us/

December 21 2011 -- Judge Oliver J. "Stop The Exam" Lobaugh, who earlier this month dismissed the heroic Specially-Appointed Venango County Election Board in the middle of their landmark forensic exam of the ES&S iVotronic voting system, today denied their Motion For Reconsideration. In reality, Lobaugh had already run out the clock as he sat on the Motion until it was too late for the Specially-Appointed Election Board to finish their work even if they had been reinstated.

This morning the County Commissioners held a public work session to discuss the unfinished forensic exam. Under the leadership of 2007-2011 Chair Tim Brooks they spoke with forensic examiners Kesden and Eckhardt via phone. Brooks, who was previously quoted in court filings as having screamed at an Election Board member that he did not want any forensic examination of the county's voting system, did most of the questioning. No member of the Specially-Appointed Venango County Election Board, the people who actually conducted the unfinished exam, was asked for input or even allowed to speak at all.

Drs. Kesden and Eckhardt told the Commissioners in no uncertain terms about serious security problems found during their work with the forensic exam to date. These problems included illegal remote access of the central tabulating computer and other insecure processes including weak passwords, unsafe media being inserted into the computer, unneeded software on the tabulator, and more. The experts also discussed how limited their forensic exam was, given the time constraints, and how many things went uninvestigated.

So then the question becomes, who paid Judge Lobaugh?

 

[RonRules]

As expected, District of Coloumbia is a flipper too:

Romney was way ahead, but because we're dealing with a rather crude algorithm he's still flipping up at about the same rate as elsewhere.

It only served to make Ron Paul look much worse than he really should have been. ~15% instead of ~25%

Anybody here from DC willing to do something about it?

There are Congressional and Senatorial races in DC I want to check as well.

 

[BUSHLIED]

it is possible that the Romney vote is simply fabricated? But Paul votes are not?

 

[drummergirl]

it is possible that the Romney vote is simply fabricated? But Paul votes are not?

The way the flipper avoids detection is it does not add votes to the total, but instead shifts them from one candidate to another. The vote totals are regularly canvassed to prevent ballot box stuffing. (That is, the roll book of who voted on election day is totaled up and has to match the number of ballots cast. And the number of ballots counted on election night has to match the number in the ballot boxes at the canvass time.)

So, untampered vote data might be something like this:

Romney 50,000 votes
Paul 40,000 votes
Santorum 35,000 votes
Gingrich 30,000 votes
Total votes cast = 155,000

then, after the flipper has been at work:

Romney 68,000 votes
Santorum 31,000 votes
Paul 30,000 votes
Gingrich 26,000 votes
Total votes cast = 155,000

Notice how the vote totals are the same? They couldn't get past the security measures if they were different. And the theft is spread over many precincts to make it less noticeable.

 

[RonRules]

it is possible that the Romney vote is simply fabricated? But Paul votes are not?

In the case of DC, 15% of Romney's vote was fabricated, in the sense that it was stolen from others. I'm more surprised that very few Ron Paul supporters are willing to do something about it.

Some of you may not believe there is a problem. However you should be curious enough to show this to a statistician of some sort of a college professor. I found that political science professors are real happy to see this data. Imagine if we could get a dozen working on this at the same time and quickly publishing papers on the subject.

With a proper scientific paper, you can then take that to the Secretary of State, the Attorney General's, etc

We don't have much time. Please report in this thread if you've met with statisticians and what was their response.

 

[drummergirl]

As expected, District of Coloumbia is a flipper too:

Romney was way ahead, but because we're dealing with a rather crude algorithm he's still flipping up at about the same rate as elsewhere.

It only served to make Ron Paul look much worse than he really should have been. ~15% instead of ~25%

Anybody here from DC willing to do something about it?

There are Congressional and Senatorial races in DC I want to check as well.

That would tend to suggest the virus (or whatever) was there for some time before the voting, because the polls for a week or more going into DC had Romney way ahead.

 

[RonRules]

Let's go see how the Democrats are doing in the District of Columbia in 2012.

This is just to show you guys that these lines MUST be horizontal, when no election fraud is occurring.

Here a District of Columbia race among Democrats and a Green.

Total flat-line. Any questions?

The Democrats are going to come out looking good here!

Here's where I got the data from the DC website:
http://www.voteresults.org/?STATE=DC

 

[drummergirl]

It's good to see the laws of large numbers still work occasionally

 

[RonRules]

I just did Maryland. It's a state-wide chart based on towns, not individual precincts. If someone has the precinct-level data for Maryland, please post a link and PM me. Here's where I got the Maryland data:
http://www.elections.state.md.us/el...rimary/gen_detail_results_2012_3_REP001-.html

Romney as usual is flipping everybody off. Ron Paul is doing something interesting here. Since this is a city-based analysis, this may further confirm that Ron is doing well in big cities. Of course, it's nothing like Romney who has the flipper vote on his side.

 

[drummergirl]

The Paul line sure does look like it has a nice little demographic rise there.

I just did Maryland. It's a state-wide chart based on towns, not individual precincts. If someone has the precinct-level data for Maryland, please post a link and PM me. Here's where I got the Maryland data:
http://www.elections.state.md.us/el...rimary/gen_detail_results_2012_3_REP001-.html

Romney as usual is flipping everybody off. Ron Paul is doing something interesting here. Since this is a city-based analysis, this may further confirm that Ron is doing well in big cities. Of course, it's nothing like Romney who has the flipper vote on his side.

 

[RonRules]

This news story should belong in the vote flipping thread. I some really important stuff.
http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnew...-a-spanish-company-control-american-elections

Note that the Scytl-Soros-Obama connection connection in the article is weak, but more and more people are concerned about the foreign ownership of voting machines. It is much more likely that Balfour-Beatty Capital, part owners of Scytl, with two directors from Golman Sachs would have a hand in this.

What's much more important is that they're trying to cover their tracks.
Google: scytl balfour Beatty capital
The first result is:
Australia | Australia & Oceania > Australia & New Zealand ...
www.allbusiness.com/australia/4969410-13.html
SCYTL Acquires SOE Software, Becoming the Leading Election Software Provider .... Balfour Beatty Campus Solutions, LLC, a division of Balfour Beatty Capital.

Go to the Blafour Beatty website and search for Scytl.

NOTHING

Any questions?!

 

[soulcyon]

Where did affa and liberty go?

 

[RonRules]

The Paul line sure does look like it has a nice little demographic rise there.

Here's why, although there are around 250,000 votes here, there are only 24 data points in the chart. We normally have hundreds, thousands of points in our charts. Not that the Paul line is relatively flat from 60% to 100%. The more right you go, the more flat these lines should be.

He does gain a bit from 60%-65% and again at 100% on the chart.

Here's the analysis:

Ron did best in the following areas:
Baltimore City -- 15.0%
Baltimore ------ 12.3%
Carroll --------- 12.4%
Cecil ---------- 10.2%
Harford -------- 13.2%
Howard -------- 9.9%

"Baltimore city" is pretty small and gets added to the bunch at 30% cumulatively.
Cecil gets added at 57%
Carroll,Howard,Harford get added between 74 and 83%
Baltimore is the last point.

 

[RonRules]

Where did affa and liberty go?

I think they're had enough of da32130 and DSW.

You're welcome to jump in. Nobody is getting paid here (except possibly for the trolls)

 

[drummergirl]

Liberty has been focused on the Alabama data lately.

Where did affa and liberty go?

 

[drummergirl]

I think the more important point is that even with that much variability in RPs data and a relatively small data set, the line is still fairly flat.

Here's why, although there are around 250,000 votes here, there are only 24 data points in the chart. We normally have hundreds, thousands of points in our charts. Not that the Paul line is relatively flat from 60% to 100%. The more right you go, the more flat these lines should be.

He does gain a bit from 60%-65% and again at 100% on the chart.

Here's the analysis:

Ron did best in the following areas:
Baltimore City -- 15.0%
Baltimore ------ 12.3%
Carroll --------- 12.4%
Cecil ---------- 10.2%
Harford -------- 13.2%
Howard -------- 9.9%

"Baltimore city" is pretty small and gets added to the bunch at 30% cumulatively.
Cecil gets added at 57%
Carroll,Howard,Harford get added between 74 and 83%
Baltimore is the last point.

 

[RonRules]

Good morning little fishies! I will eat all the demographics argument in one bite.

One of our volunteer analyst had the fantastic idea (it wasn't me) of directly charting demographics as a function of Cumulative Precinct Size. It is brilliant in it's simplicity and you'll soon see why.

Sure enough, as expected to the flippers, the Cumulative chart Flat-Lines.

That's the beauty of this type of chart, because it cancels out demographics from the analysis.

I hope you can all understand and appreciate the improbability of Romney having an upward slope of about 10% on all these charts nationwide in each state, nearly each county.

This is the biggest Election Fraud ever!

I got the data here:
http://swdb.berkeley.edu/d00/p10.html
I used the last column, "by srprec" The last column represents the people that have actually voted (absentee and in-person) and SR Consolidated Precinct (geographic unit constructed for statistical merging purposes by SWDB)

California has the best statistical data. Their ".dbf" files can be readily read into either a database program or Excel.

There are 21962 precincts in California and I made the two charts below with all of them. The chart's X-Axis is the cumulative precinct vote tally and each line represents each age demographic:

RepubMales1824 = Republican Males aged 18-24
RepubMales2544 = Republican Males aged 25-44
RepubMales3544 ....
RepubMales4554 ....
RepubMales5564 ....
RepubMales65PL ....

RepubFemales1824 = Republican Females aged 18-24
RepubFemles2544 ....
RepubFemales3544 ....
RepubFemales4554 ....
RepubFemales5564 ....
RepubFemales65PL ....

It's not going to matter what demographics you want to use. These charts MUST Flat-Line.

This single chart I hope, finally puts an end to the demographics argument once and for all.

Now lets move on to notify ALL state and county election representatives.

The 2012 Republican primaries and caucuses need to be suspended while this election fraud is investigated

 

[drummergirl]

Good morning little fishies! I will eat all the demographics argument in one bite.

I bet that was one tasty morsel