Tampa Convention Hurricane Watch

[kathy88]

I fly out at 5 a.m. tomorrow. Supposed to fly out of Tampa Monday morning. AAAAAAAAAARREGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH what to do?

 

[cajuncocoa]

I fly out at 5 a.m. tomorrow. Supposed to fly out of Tampa Monday morning. AAAAAAAAAARREGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH what to do?

You probably won't be flying out Monday morning.

 

[kathy88]

Any word from Paul Festival?

 

[kathy88]

You probably won't be flying out Monday morning.

'

I'll have a rental car. I'll drive it.

 

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Looking at the newest model run....

If I could bet on the RNC being delayed or canceled due to Issac at this point I would drop $1000 on it easily. This is looking like absolutely worst case scenario. See the Hurricane will be off the coast and thus not lose strength due to land interaction. It will be South West and moving north which will push a huge storm surge into Tampa Bay. At this point I would bet that the Ron Paul after Party Sunday night will be canceled, it's possible that Whiskey Joe's will be boarded up by then and not even there Monday night.

I wouldn't bet yet.

Here's the thing, each update has moved Issac's path further west. There aren't any steering currents to direct it. It could continue westward for a while and totally miss the Florida Gulf Coast. However, it would definitely affect Whiskey Joe's and all the parties on yachts I'm getting invited to on Tuesday.

If I'm the RNC, I cancel the welcome reception at Tropicana Field NOW. That event is completely unnecessary. Each hotel should be equipped to handle a welcome reception for each state delegation on Sunday evening. You wouldn't want to be outside on Sunday evening no matter where Issac goes, because Tampa will be getting rain and wind anyway. Plus, in the event of needing to get people out of St. Petersburg, the security restrictions are lifted.

Because this is a Cat 1, it shouldn't do too much damage. The RNC should cancel Monday afternoon's business session and move it to Tuesday or Wednesday afternoon when presumably all delegates could arrive safely. Assuming there would be no need for evacuations, it would probably be safe enough for Monday evening's session, even if all delegates were not present.

That would be my call if I were in charge right now.

 

[kathy88]

This is absolutely maddening.

 

[jbauer]

ME TOOO!!!!! Probably should have thought about that trip insurance now ehh? Hopefully Paul will still do his rally thats what I'm going for.

I fly out at 5 a.m. tomorrow. Supposed to fly out of Tampa Monday morning. AAAAAAAAAARREGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH what to do?

 

[jbauer]

You probably won't be flying out Monday morning.

Yup thats what its looking like.

 

[MoneyWhereMyMouthIs2]

You have to remember that the state, and local officials first priority is not that of the RNC but the citizens that live in the area.

You must live in a different world than me. lol

Supposedly they planned on "every worst case scenario" and looking at the model data from the last run this would hopefully been the top on the list. A Cat 1-2 Hurricane skirting the coast just off of Tampa will be devastating.

Maybe some storm surge in Pinellas and Manatee.

I cannot imagine the RNC continuing the convention while the possibility that local residents will be evacuated or worse is occurring. The Democrats would love to get the headline "While Florida residents lose home GOP party goes on"

Maybe they'll cancel the event, but most people living in the area won't even evacuate for a cat 1 or 2 direct hit. I wouldn't want to hang out in a trailer or anything, but a 1 or 2 off the coast doesn't seem scary to me. (I have been through several hurricanes and an unknown amount of hurricane scares.)

 

[UtahApocalypse]

Well FEMA just requested that the National Hurricane Center run 6 hour soundings, and model runs rather then 12. This was as directed in relation to a "National Security Event" (RNC i'm guessing) It's not looking good for the RNC. With everyone traveling in, when its HIGHLY possible to need evacuations they may have to make a decision sooner then Friday. My thought is they want the new data in 6 hours to make the call.

 

[kathy88]

Well FEMA just requested that the National Hurricane Center run 6 hour soundings, and model runs rather then 12. This was as directed in relation to a "National Security Event" (RNC i'm guessing) It's not looking good for the RNC. With everyone traveling in, when its HIGHLY possible to need evacuations they may have to make a decision sooner then Friday. My thought is they want the new data in 6 hours to make the call.

Shit. To pack or not to pack.

 

[Danke]

I fly out at 5 a.m. tomorrow. Supposed to fly out of Tampa Monday morning. AAAAAAAAAARREGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH what to do?

You a good swimmer?

 

[cajuncocoa]

I wouldn't bet yet.

Here's the thing, each update has moved Issac's path further west.

OT, but this worries me for different reasons. IIRC, Isaac's projected path is similar to the one that Katrina was supposed to take (it was supposed to strike FL panhandle) but because Katrina kept drifting farther to the west, it increased in intensity and hit us instead. I could see that happening again with this one.

 

[GARNET]

ohhh and were'nt umbrellas on "no no" list?

 

[kathy88]

ohhh and were'nt umbrellas on "no no" list?

You'll put someone's eye out, DUH.

 

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

ohhh and were'nt umbrellas on "no no" list?

Umbrellas are useless in a hurricane.

 

[jbauer]

Shit. To pack or not to pack.

Pack, you can always unpack. I've never been in a huricane though. I'm kinda looking forward to it. That way when I hear all these folks complaining I can relate it to something.

 

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Well FEMA just requested that the National Hurricane Center run 6 hour soundings, and model runs rather then 12. This was as directed in relation to a "National Security Event" (RNC i'm guessing) It's not looking good for the RNC. With everyone traveling in, when its HIGHLY possible to need evacuations they may have to make a decision sooner then Friday. My thought is they want the new data in 6 hours to make the call.

It's kind of like locking the barn after the horses have escaped. Updates aren't going to change the position of Issac. That thing is going to go where it wants to go without anything in the atmosphere to steer it. For evacuations to be effective, they have to be issued 48-72 hours ahead of time. Assuming the storm starts to affect Tampa on Sunday afternoon, that means the orders have to be given Thursday night-Friday morning at the very latest. That puts us into the travel window for delegates.

I highly doubt there would be any need for evacuations, but there is defintely a travel issue, and a safety issue.

RNC better start making some decisions ASAP. They can't keep cheerleading. Someone has to lead, but then again, this is the RNC...

 

[jbauer]

Umbrellas are useless in a hurricane.

Actually if we put up 1000s of umbrellas they'd kinda go like missle across the way. It should only intensify the worries for secuirity.

 

[kathy88]

Actually if we put up 1000s of umbrellas they'd kinda go like missle across the way. It should only intensify the worries for secuirity.

And they were worried about whole fruit.