South Carolina and Nevada Results Thread

[AuH20]

 

[yjacket]

I think Cruz will hang in and probably try to see if his southern strategy will bear any fruit, and the result will probably be him splitting the Neocon vote, which will help Trump. I think it's still possible that Cruz may end up finishing 2nd in delegates ahead of Rubio, particularly if Rubio under-performs in places like Florida and the upper mid-west. Cruz being statistically tied with Rubio has a lot to due with South Carolina's military industrial complex vote not liking Cruz's Neocon-lite rhetoric on foreign policy compared to getting both barrels out of Rubio.

But I do think that Cruz is screwed in the sense that this mediocre showing in South Carolina precludes the possibility of him overtaking Trump, which may have been possible had Cruz gotten within 5 percentage points of Trump.

P.S. - I'm not drinking the Trump kool-aid, but it is refreshing to see that hatchet job that was attempted by Bush's people at the debate and those manipulated polling numbers out of the Neocon WSJ pumping Cruz backfire.

Well if the mass precinct meetings were any clue in GA, Cruz definitely has support. At least 30% new people at MPM and I'd say at least 80-90% of those were Cruz supporters. Trump had a good bit of support too.

 

[Petar]

Positively despise Shrillary - wanted to see her lose to the commie POS.

Positively despise Shrub - glad to see him gone.

Nice to see the "anointed King" fail with the evangelicals in SC.

Looking forward to Trump taking this whole thing - and burning the duopoly to the ground in the process.

SORRY RAND

 

[AuH20]

Look at this. Bernie's supporters shouted down a Latina woman.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presi...l-english-only-at-latina-civil-rights-legend/

Dolores Huerta ‎@DoloresHuerta
I offered to translate & Bernie supporters chanted English only! We fought too long & hard to be silenced Si Se Puede! #ImwithHer

 

[AuH20]

Looks like a solid 10% win for the Donald. The networks can't spin this.

 

[hells_unicorn]

Well if the mass precinct meetings were any clue in GA, Cruz definitely has support. At least 30% new people at MPM and I'd say at least 80-90% of those were Cruz supporters. Trump had a good bit of support too.

I'm not fully discounting Cruz's evangelical support in places like Georgia where it's a dominant factor, though it's important to point out that Trump has been peeling off evangelicals while locking up a number of other key demographics in the GOP. I think South Carolina is somewhat deceptive compared to the rest of the south given the heavy presence of military bases, and the same goes for Virginia given all the D.C. people that live in the northern part of the state. Georgia is much more indicative of that bible-belt demographic that is a big factor in places like Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas and several other states.

I expect Cruz to win a couple states and not be fully shut out by Trump come Super Tuesday, but Trump is in position to run away with this whole thing now and will probably win at least 35 states, if not more.

 

[Jan2017]

a "sister-kissing" tie for Robot and Snake

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 600"]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]233,815[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]32.6%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]38[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]161,242[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]22.4[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]160,275[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]22.3[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-bush-1239 eln-jeb-bush eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Jeb Bush[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]56,475[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.9[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-kasich-36679 eln-john-kasich eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] John Kasich[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]54,744[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-carson-64509 eln-ben-carson eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ben Carson[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]51,686[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.2[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
718,237 votes, 98% reporting (2,193 of 2,239 precincts)
Winner called by A.P.

 

[AuH20]

Pastor Ted will probably not win a single county tonight.

 

[K466]

CruzMissle closing in on Rubiobot, with a difference of less than 1,000 votes / 0.1% with 98% reporting. Essentially tied for second.

Can't be much longer before it's literally a 3 way race... what rationale is there for Sleepyhead Carson and Rambling Kasich?

 

[Tywysog Cymru]

I don't care for Cruz, but he's better than Trump and I would prefer him as the nominee.

 

[AuH20]

I'm waiting for Glenn Beck's response. Monday should be epic.

 

[misterx]

I'm waiting for Glenn Beck's response. Monday should be epic.

Meltdown Monday? lol

 

[bierdegarde]

Bush out.

 

[Jan2017]

I think Rubio may win the 3 delegates of Congressional District 1 (Charleston metro) in the final delegate count . . . so a 47-3 delegate split ?

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 600"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]CANDIDATES[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes, align: right"]VOTE[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent, align: right"]PCT.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent-wrap"][/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates, align: center"]DELEGATES[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]236,234[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]32.5%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]38[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]163,045[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]22.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]162,106[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]22.3[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-bush-1239 eln-jeb-bush eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Jeb Bush[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]57,128[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.9[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-kasich-36679 eln-john-kasich eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
John Kasich[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]55,316[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-carson-64509 eln-ben-carson eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Ben Carson[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]52,231[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.2[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
726,060 votes, 99% reporting (2,211 of 2,239 precincts)

 

[hells_unicorn]

Look at this. Bernie's supporters shouted down a Latina woman.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presi...l-english-only-at-latina-civil-rights-legend/

This is 100% unsurprising, I've seen some really screwy stuff out of Sanders supporters in the Philadelphia area, and most of the black and mestizo population of the city is extremely skeptical of Sanders given the character of his support base, even without story like these which will be used by Hillary's campaign against Sanders should he dog her all the way to the Democratic convention. I don't think Sanders will pull this thing out (Nevada is friendly territory for someone like him and he lost, same with Iowa though there was shenanigans involved there), and I think his support base is fanatical enough that they will probably not show up to vote if Sanders loses.

Clinton is in a really ugly fight with Sanders, and I'm pretty well confident that she is just going to barely beat him and his support base will be so sore about it that Hillary will be all but dead on arrival before the first debate against Trump.

 

[AuH20]

 

[misterx]

I think Rubio may win the 3 delegates of Congressional District 1 (Charleston metro) in the final delegate count . . . so a 47-3 delegate split ?

It's close, but I think Trump has enough of a lead in Beaufort and Dorcester to pull it out. It's hard to say though because they are only reporting based on county lines, and not district lines.

 

[AuH20]

This is 100% unsurprising, I've seen some really screwy stuff out of Sanders supporters in the Philadelphia area, and most of the black and mestizo population of the city is extremely skeptical of Sanders given the character of his support base, even without story like these which will be used by Hillary's campaign against Sanders should he dog her all the way to the Democratic convention. I don't think Sanders will pull this thing out (Nevada is friendly territory for someone like him and he lost, same with Iowa though there was shenanigans involved there), and I think his support base is fanatical enough that they will probably not show up to vote if Sanders loses.

Clinton is in a really ugly fight with Sanders, and I'm pretty well confident that she is just going to barely beat him and his support base will be so sore about it that Hillary will be all but dead on arrival before the first debate against Trump.

I've seen some Bernie Supporters state that if HRC is the candidate, they will gladly vote Trump. Some even stated that they were impressed with Trump not folding with Israel.

 

[misterx]

This is 100% unsurprising, I've seen some really screwy stuff out of Sanders supporters in the Philadelphia area, and most of the black and mestizo population of the city is extremely skeptical of Sanders given the character of his support base, even without story like these which will be used by Hillary's campaign against Sanders should he dog her all the way to the Democratic convention. I don't think Sanders will pull this thing out (Nevada is friendly territory for someone like him and he lost, same with Iowa though there was shenanigans involved there), and I think his support base is fanatical enough that they will probably not show up to vote if Sanders loses.

Clinton is in a really ugly fight with Sanders, and I'm pretty well confident that she is just going to barely beat him and his support base will be so sore about it that Hillary will be all but dead on arrival before the first debate against Trump.

This is my feeling as well. I would love to see Hillary lose, but I'm forced to root for her because she has no chance in the general election because Sanders supporters hate her.

 

[AuH20]

This is my feeling as well. I would love to see Hillary lose, but I'm forced to root for her because she has no chance in the general election because Sanders supporters hate her.

I'm obviously a Trump guy, but I want Hillary. If it's Biden or Bernie, Donald has real up-hill climb. Hillary's brand is so toxic that the attacks just write themselves.