SC Insider Advantage: Mitt 23, Newt 21, Santorum 14, Ron 13

[S.Shorland]

The ONLY thing that will break Paul out to be the anti-romney will be his electability.Doug Wead mentioned it last time in response to Dana Bash's assertion that Republicans believed he wasn't,WHEN ALL NON PUSH POLLS SHOW HIM TYING WITH ROMNEY AGAINST OBAMA.Make an AD showing the Fox presentation of him doing as well as Romney and the PPP article that mentioned Paul as being able to make the statistical case that he is the only one capable of beating Obama.This is the make or break caucus so make the ad and run it daily.They used NH exit polls to push-poll their meme against Paul.Call out the media lies boldly with an ad.EDIT: The independents who voted for Paul 3-to-1 are real voters proving his case.

 

[Feeding the Abscess]

I understand the campaign's focus on eliminating the other candidates in order to make it a "Romney vs Paul" race, but at what point do they start adding Romney to the mix in terms of attack ads? Romney pulling off a hat trick (Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina) may just give him all the momentum he needs to coast through the rest of the election, making Paul insignificant.

If I'm an undecided Republican voter by the time South Carolina finishes (assuming Romney wins), why would I be inclined to support Paul when Romney (coupled with the media) is showing through results that he is the most formidable candidate? Although Paul certainly has his hurdles in South Carolina, I would assume that Romney would be a more difficult pill to swallow for southern voters but yet he's polling first. If Romney can take South Carolina, how can he be stopped elsewhere?

Romney's been included in several attack ads. He just hasn't had his own ad yet, and it'd be wise not to have him turn those tens of millions of dollars and surrogates on us until everyone else is gone.

 

[parocks]

Facebook campaign showing Ron's electability against Obama?

Facebook is giving away $50 of free ads. Instead of everybody using facebook for gotv, we also should be targeting every type of person with what we have. Who exactly wants to hear about Ron Paul's electability against Obama? I don't know but it's something we can figure out. But any time we come across anything we think is good, we should be thinking about facebook ad. Think about how we can target, what groups are there. We hear that a band tweets something favorable about Ron Paul - facebook ad to their fan. That's all a little off topic. But think who wants to hear about our good stories. Veterans can be targeted in Facebook I believe

 

[tsetsefly]

Not bad, we need those anti Newt and anti santorum ads to roll out... I guess people in SC have not been introduced to serial hypocricy yet...

 

[parocks]

The ONLY thing that will break Paul out to be the anti-romney will be his electability.Doug Wead mentioned it last time in response to Dana Bash's assertion that Republicans believed he wasn't,WHEN ALL NON PUSH POLLS SHOW HIM TYING WITH ROMNEY AGAINST OBAMA.Make an AD showing the Fox presentation of him doing as well as Romney and the PPP article that mentioned Paul as being able to make the statistical case that he is the only one capable of beating Obama.This is the make or break caucus so make the ad and run it daily.They used NH exit polls to push-poll their meme against Paul.Call out the media lies boldly with an ad.EDIT: The independents who voted for Paul 3-to-1 are real voters proving his case.

How do you define "push poll"?

 

[seapilot]

SC is going to be a major battle ground. Its do or die for Santorum and Grinch. Grinch has attack ads going after Romney, we have attack ads on Newt and Santorum. Imagine Romney will have attack ads on Newt. The 3 candidates that probably are going to be the cleanest after all this mud slinging are Rick Perry, Huntsman and Ron Paul.

 

[GunnyFreedom]

RevPAC "Oath" will do well in SC.

It is my intention to go to Charleston SC the evening of the 13th, to arrive the morning of the 14th, and stay through the election on the 21st.

 

[Liberty Shark]

Not bad. A top 3 finish here would be great. This is probably the highest Dr. Paul has ever been in South Carolina, and the numbers should still be able to go up even more. It would be amazing to somehow get to the 17%-19% range, and that would likely be a good 3rd.

 

[Legend1104]

This could be great we could have the opportunity to come in a strong 3rd or maybe a weak second.

 

[ONUV]

 

[Kregisen]

I have a couple cousins in SC...I already got one to for sure vote for Ron on election day. The other one I will have to contact.

I also have a friend over there but he's a democrat...is SC open or closed?

We all need to make sure we contact all family/friends in states where primaries are coming up.

 

[S.Shorland]

Did they ask a representative sample of the population who would vote in the General: 'If in the general election your choice was either Obama or Paul,for which would you vote'? No.A push-poll is one wherein the pollster is trying to mold opinion rather than measure it.Question:What do Republicans want to achieve in the forthcoming election.Answer: To kick Obama out.In a truthful media,it would be acknowledged that Paul will do that as well as Romney.

How do you define "push poll"?

 

[GunnyFreedom]

I have a couple cousins in SC...I already got one to for sure vote for Ron on election day. The other one I will have to contact.

I also have a friend over there but he's a democrat...is SC open or closed?

We all need to make sure we contact all family/friends in states where primaries are coming up.

Pretty sure SC is open

 

[Havax]

Run the anti-Newt and anti-Santorum ad in SC - then release an ad on Paul's foreign policy + electability. Newt, Santorum, and Huntsman will go after Romney.

 

[blazeKing]

Any bump won't be seen for a few more days..I think we'll gain 4 or 5 more points

 

[S.Shorland]

The media hate his guts.You know that and I know that.I think your fellow Americans who want Obama out should be properly informed as to their choices of who can actually achieve that goal.

 

[nf7mate]

SC is OPEN

 

[RickyJ]

Great, Romney is within striking distance. A win SC is definitely a possibility.

Will be in SC Monday for some door knocking.

 

[JJ2]

I have a couple cousins in SC...I already got one to for sure vote for Ron on election day. The other one I will have to contact.

I also have a friend over there but he's a democrat...is SC open or closed?

We all need to make sure we contact all family/friends in states where primaries are coming up.

It's an open primary, but you can only vote in one of the primaries (either Rep. or Dem., which I believe is a week later). So we need to get as many Democrats as possible out to vote for Ron Paul.

Unfortunately, Huntsman does the best with Dem. voters and will probably draw some votes.

 

[libertybrewcity]

I'll be satisfied with anything above 10%, but I'll be extremely satisfied with 15%+. I hope Ron can get some delegates out of this.

25 total delegates - penalty: 50% of 50 [10 base at-large / 21 re: 7 congressional districts / 3 party / 16 bonus]

they were penalized for moving up their primary so they only have 25. If the original distribution delegate numbers are halved as well then 5 will be given to the winner overall, about 10 or 11 divided among winners of the 7 congressional districts, 1 or 2 party delegates(from 3) and 8 bonus(from 16). I have a feeling the 3 superdelegates will be kept so it would be maybe (5 at large+10 cong. dis.+3 superdel.+8 bonus=26) It might look something like this.