Insider Advantage SC- 1/15 Mitt 32%, Newt 21%, Ron 14%

[Cyberbrain]

At minimum we need 3rd but I think after 2 debates and a week of hard campaigning we can squeak out 2nd or some type of 3-way tie for 1st. And it's proportional delegates so the most important thing is we need to work on breaking 20%.

I think the long-term strategy, is to take out all of the "conservative" candidates while leaving Romney alone for now (who is already really unpopular), and then when we're finally down to 2-man race, demolish Mitt for the victory. So I'm going to stay patient on this one and be thrilled if we can beat everyone in South Carolina who is not named Romney.

 

[thoughtomator]

I'm sorry, but I've got to wonder why the hell didn't the campaign spend the week in SC? Why didn't they do the Huckabee forum? Am I the only one who thinks it's important for us to do well here?

Paul won the Huckabee forum by not showing up. He's taking care of business otherwise.

 

[Mark37snj]

Based on what we've seen in Iowa and New Hampshire, the last few days are more important than the week before the last few days. Of course, the ideal situation is to have Ron campaign each and every single day, but if he HAS to take some time off to recover, better the early days than the late days, as far as the SC primary is concerned. Take Tom Davis's endorsement, perform well in the debates, and get some good activity over the last few days.

Totally agree. We got the Tom Davis endorsement that will be huge, Santorum, Grinch, and Romney can't stop shooting themselves in the foot, we got the best ground game in existence, 2 debates, good adds, and a very smart campaign leadership not to mention Ron Paul. Everythings gona come together like a perfect storm just before they vote. I will be shocked if we do worse then 2nd.

 

[Carole]

Compare:

Steady growth for Paul; steady decline for Santorum.

 

[thoughtomator]

that's an exponential curve and we're a week from the inflection point

 

[Mark37snj]

that's an exponential curve and we're a week from the inflection point

TRANSLATE plz.

 

[SurfsUp]

It's just an average.. Paul has been polling better in SC and the Tom Davis endorsement should give him a real bump.. A couple months ago Paul was at 4% there.. Once he actually starts campaigning and people find out more about him, his numbers shoot up.

I'm saying I don't believe any of the big polls. I think they're only their to sway the sheeple.

 

[jersdream]

I'm saying I don't believe any of the big polls. I think they're only their to sway the sheeple.

Don't believe facts? Have you seen how pretty near spot on they have been?

 

[SaulPaulinsky]

TRANSLATE plz.

We're on the way up, building towards peaking at the right time.

 

[SaulPaulinsky]

Don't believe facts? Have you seen how pretty near spot on they have been?

Eh, not really. Within the margin of error, yes, but not that close in New Hampshire. And I don't think very many polls had Santorum in a statistical dead heat with Romney in Iowa.

 

[Heman5up]

Inflation point

Typically inflection point for true surge is around 17-18%. Something to do with bell shape curve of statistics and transition from early adopter to masses.

 

[Liberty74]

This could work to our advantage if the electorate thinks Romney has it in the bag, making them less likely to show up to vote.

That is delusional and wishful thinking. Elections aren't won hoping the other voters don't show up.

 

[klamath]

I am not going to hammer this point because to some it is highly demoralizing but RP lost at Iowa but now the issue is about building a movement. Get the highest numbers in every state and be happy with them. Get over the false belief in a win and just look at the RCP upward tend for RP in the polls. As long as that is going up be thrilled. That is a movement being made.

 

[tsetsefly]

Romney coasting to the nomination...

Not a single ad on healthcare, abortion...

there RP fan made videos of mitt vs mitt, detailing his flip flopping why no one is attacking him with stuff like this is baffling...

 

[trey4sports]

there RP fan made videos of mitt vs mitt, detailing his flip flopping why no one is attacking him with stuff like this is baffling...

it's been said again and again and again.

The campaign will attack once it's a two man race. If we attack too early then we have a good chance of seeing people flock to a 3rd person (Newt/Santorum).

 

[Brett85]

Ron should get some of Huntsman's support now that he's dropped out.

 

[soulcyon]

Wait for a poll after the debates, guys, we'll spike real nice.

 

[Tyler_Durden]

Wait for a poll after the debates, guys, we'll spike real nice.

I hope he OWNS the Debate in a way that garnishes post-debate coverage..

 

[Kevin Smyth]

I'm still baffled as to why Gingrich is doing well here. Serial Hypocrisy needs to be on the air if it isn't already.

Gingrich lives in nearby Georgia. Many Southerners are way too concerned with someone being from their region, they allow that factor to be more important to them than the issues.

 

[RonPaul101.com]

Romney coasting to the nomination...

Not a single ad on healthcare, abortion...

Exactly, I think if the SC voters knew Romney was pro-abortion they would run from him like a burning building...