RTC Endorsements by Candidate

[muzzled dogg]

as of 4/26

 

[Daamien]

Great news, and awesome visualization Shemdogg!

I updated the list.

 

[Daamien]

Can you update the map again with Simmons' new endorsements?

 

[muzzled dogg]

Can you update the map again with Simmons' new endorsements?

i'll pass the word. i didnt make it myself

 

[Daamien]

I got it, MS Paint is fun

 

[Jim McClarin]

How many RTC's has Peter met with? What percentage of those he's met with endorsed one of his opponents? IOW, what is Peter's batting average?

 

[Daamien]

How many RTC's has Peter met with? What percentage of those he's met with endorsed one of his opponents? IOW, what is Peter's batting average?

Great question. I'll try to come out with a count.

 

[Daamien]

Well, this is the list I could verify by checking videos and twitter feeds:

Blue = Schiff Endorsement
Red = McMahon Endorsement
Green = Simmons Endorsement

RTC Meetings attended by Peter Schiff: 42
Barkhamsted
Beacon Falls
Bethany
Bolton
Bridgeport
Bristol
Burlington
Canton
Cheshire
Derby
East Hampton
East Lyme
East Windsor
Easton
Enfield
Fairfield
Greenwich
Guilford
Hamden
Harwinton
Hebron
Killingly
Killingworth
Meriden
Milford
Monroe
Naugatuck
New Canaan
Newington
Oxford
Pomfret
Ridgefield
Rocky Hill
Salisbury
Seymour
Vernon
Watertown
West Hartford
Westport
Wethersfield
Windsor Locks
Woodbury

RTC Endorsements: 6
Enfield
Harwinton
Salisbury
Seymour
Woodbury
Burlington

Endorsed Schiff / Attended by Schiff: 14.3%
Endorsed Opponent / Attended by Schiff: 7.1%
No Endorsement / Attended by Schiff: 78.6%

And of course, a high-res map!

 

[Kotin]

Great job.. Very interesting.. Do all RTCs normally endorse?

 

[Daamien]

No, a good number of them probably won't make an endorsement. However, it is good to note that out of the RTCs attended by Schiff, he is beating his opponents in those towns for endorsements 2:1.

 

[enoch150]

There is a known Ron Paul supporter in Cheshire, listed as an alternate delegate, but he says he knows for sure that he will be attending the convention because the delegate can't make it that day. Unfortunately, he said he will probably be the only vote for Schiff from Cheshire. He says he's not sure how the other delegates will split between McMahon and Simmons.

Schiff also has at least one vote from Meriden. I don't know how the rest of Meriden will go. He might get more.

Also, let's keep in mind that none of this is set in stone. For example, I was told - I'm not confident of this information, but - I was told Seymour had 7 delegates going to the convention, but only 5 were supporting Schiff. And that could just as easily work the other way. An RTC which endorsed Simmons or McMahon may end up sending some people who support Schiff to the convention. Counting RTC endorsements is a very rough guage.

 

[Daamien]

Well, I know that in Ridgefield the endorsement vote was:
9 for McMahon
2 for Schiff
1 for Simmons
3 abstentions

I don't know if all those who voted were selected as delegates or if a delegate did not vote. However, it does prove that Peter can pick up a few delegates from towns that have endorsed his opponents.

 

[Jim McClarin]

Thanks, Daamien!!

I've brought both of your reports (visual and text) over to Daily Paul:
http://www.dailypaul.com/node/133032
http://www.dailypaul.com/node/133026

I couldn't figure out how to insert the map image so had to settle for a link.

 

[Daamien]

You're welcome! Let me know if you'd like any other statistics run, I'm happy to help.

 

[Jeremy]

bump

 

[Daamien]

Updated the list and here's the new map. Simmons picked up 4 more endorsements.

 

[Jim McClarin]

No forest green ones for Simmons.

That's a relief! Of course I'm antsy as hell to see some more added for Peter.

 

[dr. hfn]

shouldn't this be the campaign's entire focus atm?

 

[Daamien]

shouldn't this be the campaign's entire focus atm?

Absolutely. According to the upcoming events page Peter is planning to meet with at least 3 more RTCs and attend at least 3 other events in other towns before the convention. The problem is that RTCs only meet once per month at most and often on the same days as other RTCs. Therefore, it's difficult for Peter to be invited to and attend an RTC event every night. Considering he will have gone to roughly 50 RTC meetings before the convention (more than any other candidate from what I can gather), he should be in a decent position to get at least 15% of the delegate vote. He needs to send direct mail to RTC members though to make sure they didn't forget about his appearance in advance of the convention's nominating process.

 

[AbolishTheGovt]

Might I suggest to the original poster to also keep a running record of what percentage of endorsements each candidate has out of the number of endorsements that have been given so far?

In other words, 34 endorsements have been given out so far, and Schiff has won 6 of them, therefore, if the current trajectory holds, we should expect Schiff to win about 18% of the delegates at Convention. Etc. etc.