RP comes 3rd in PPP NH Poll

Interesting....and these are GREAT results!

Ron Paul's numbers challenge the general assumptions about his support a little bit. With voters who identify themselves as Tea Partiers he's in fifth place with only 9%. With voters who don't identify themselves as such he's in second place with 15%. His son, Rand Paul, has been to some extent the poster child for the Tea Party on the national level but that's not equating to support from that quarter for his dad. Paul's numbers also suggest some appeal to the anti-Palin wing of the party. With GOP primary voters who consider a Palin endorsement to be a negative he's running almost even, getting 23% to Romney's 25%. But he polls at only 6% with people for whom Palin support is a plus.

Full results: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_728.pdf

28% of those polled said that a Palin endorsement would make them LESS likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Sarah Palin. This is a BIG number.

Of these: Romney 25%, Paul 23%, Huckabee 14%, Someone else (Who?) 14%, Gingrich 11%.

So we need to work on the part of the party that sees Palin as a good, positive figure in the GOP.

43% of those who said that a Palin endorsement would make them LESS likely to support a candidate also said they are NOT a part of the Tea Party. We need to work on the Tea Party in NH, and Ron Paul's image within it. (Although only 27% said they consider themselves a part of the Tea Party, quite a low number.)

Ron Paul LEADS among the 25% of those polled who consider the party to be "too conservative." This confuses me....I guess it depends on the definition of "conservative" in the mind of the person polled (social conservatism?).

Ron Paul also LEADS among the 8% of those polled who consider themselves "liberal" - no surprise here, as they are likely libertarians. He also does fairly well with the 39% who consider themselves moderate. The block he needs to work on is self-identified CONSERVATIVES....Ron Paul needs to continually emphasize that his message is a CONSERVATIVE message.

For the first time in any poll I've seen, Ron Paul did better with women than men - he actually got 15% of the women polled, putting him in second place with women behind Romney (29%).

Ron Paul also wins the 18-29 age group in a landslide and comes in a close second in the 30-45 age group, but needs to appeal more to older voters - perhaps by emphasizing that cuts in social safety nets would be done GRADUALLY.

All in all though - what an encouraging poll! We can do this!
 
Also: Get the Romney smear machine up and running NOW. ObamaCare = RomneyCare
 
Fantastic news....this is the best polling he's had for any state yet!

It really is sad he isn't getting much of the tea-party vote....I mean wtf HE STARTED IT.

Anyway, maybe this means having Palin run for president would be a GOOD thing, as it isn't taking too much away from Ron. (although my mom is a huge palin supporter, and the only way she might vote for Ron is if Palin isn't running)
 
Fantastic news....this is the best polling he's had for any state yet!

It really is sad he isn't getting much of the tea-party vote....I mean wtf HE STARTED IT.

Anyway, maybe this means having Palin run for president would be a GOOD thing, as it isn't taking too much away from Ron. (although my mom is a huge palin supporter, and the only way she might vote for Ron is if Palin isn't running)

Like I've been saying for months, Palin is an enemy that helps Paul, by pulling votes that might otherwise go to Romney. This split vote keeps the primary race competitive so many of those people may be able to come around to Paul, instead of an establishment candidate. It's also very good to see Paul poll in double digits in NH---it's his best chance to win an early primary or at least place high.
 
Like I've been saying for months, Palin is an enemy that helps Paul, by pulling votes that might otherwise go to Romney. This split vote keeps the primary race competitive so many of those people may be able to come around to Paul, instead of an establishment candidate. It's also very good to see Paul poll in double digits in NH---it's his best chance to win an early primary or at least place high.

Lots of people recently have been saying she's been taking much of the tea party vote from him.
 
This is great news! That 5 points better than he did in 2008, and the race hasn't even started yet!
 
He's really in a dead heat with Newt and Huckabee for 2nd.

The bad news is, Romney's handily in the lead, and if Romney pulls off wins in both Iowa and NH with leads like that, I think the primary race would end right there. What RP needs is for a tight race with no clear leader that extends past Super Tuesday, where he can stay in the hunt by racking up bunches of 2nd places.
 
13% is a new state poll record for this presidential election cycle!

State polls as of now:
13% in New Hampshire (PPP, July 23-25 2010, 7 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/romney-continues-to-lead-in-nh.html
7% in Nevada (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
6% in Florida (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
11% in Pennsylvania (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices - ): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
8% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 6 choices - Perry + 5 regulars): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
10% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices - no Perry): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
7% in Iowa (PPP, May 31 2010, 7 choices - Demint & Thune + 5 regulars): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
7% in South Carolina (PPP, May 31 2010, 6 choices - Demint -): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in Michigan (PPP, May 31 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in New Hampshire (Magellan, May 2010, 7 choices): http://www.magellanstrategies.com/w...-US-Senate-Primary-Survey-Release-0528101.pdf
10% in California (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/gingrich-looking-serious.html
9% in Colorado (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_518.pdf (PDF)
8% in North Carolina (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/looking-at-our-gop-polling.html
8% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-still-up-big.html
6% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-continues-to-lead-big.html
9% in Arizona (PPP, April 2010, 5 choices ): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/2012-gop-in-arizona.html
7% in New Hampshire (PPP, April 2010, 8 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/romney-up-big-in-new-hampshire.html

National Polls previously:
PPP July 2010 national poll - 7% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/gingrich-leads.html
PPP June 2010 national poll - 6% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/monthly-gop-poll.html
PPP May 2010 national poll - 8% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/jumble-for-gop.html
CNN April 2010 national poll: 8% for Ron Paul - 9 way race (w/Santorum, Pence, Barbour, Pawlenty, Gingrich): http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf (PDF)
PPP March 2010 national poll - 11% for Ron Paul - 4 way race (no Gingrich): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/03/romney-leads-tight-republican-race.html
Gallup February 2010 poll: 2% for Ron Paul (open ended poll, so it's lower): http://www.gallup.com/poll/125777/Voters-Divided-Obama-Republican-Candidate-2012.aspx

Versus Obama:
PPP June 2010 poll: Obama 46 Paul 36 (Pauls win independents 46-28) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/obama-up-in-2012-contests.html
Rasmussen March 2010 poll: Obama 42 Paul 41 (highlighted by Drudge) http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...012/election_2012_barack_obama_42_ron_paul_41
PPP November 2009 poll: Obama 46 Paul 38 http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/monthly-2012-numbers.html
 
This validates my theory that the "Tea Party" as we know it today is the new way of saying "Neoconservative". Unfortunate that the original movement, which was started by the Ron Paul and his supporters, has been hijacked.
 
Wow thats awsome. Hopefully things work out. If not it could give him a running start into an independent run for president.
 
Interesting....and these are GREAT results!



Full results: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_728.pdf

28% of those polled said that a Palin endorsement would make them LESS likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Sarah Palin. This is a BIG number.

Of these: Romney 25%, Paul 23%, Huckabee 14%, Someone else (Who?) 14%, Gingrich 11%.

So we need to work on the part of the party that sees Palin as a good, positive figure in the GOP.

43% of those who said that a Palin endorsement would make them LESS likely to support a candidate also said they are NOT a part of the Tea Party. We need to work on the Tea Party in NH, and Ron Paul's image within it. (Although only 27% said they consider themselves a part of the Tea Party, quite a low number.)

Ron Paul LEADS among the 25% of those polled who consider the party to be "too conservative." This confuses me....I guess it depends on the definition of "conservative" in the mind of the person polled (social conservatism?).

Ron Paul also LEADS among the 8% of those polled who consider themselves "liberal" - no surprise here, as they are likely libertarians. He also does fairly well with the 39% who consider themselves moderate. The block he needs to work on is self-identified CONSERVATIVES....Ron Paul needs to continually emphasize that his message is a CONSERVATIVE message.

For the first time in any poll I've seen, Ron Paul did better with women than men - he actually got 15% of the women polled, putting him in second place with women behind Romney (29%).

Ron Paul also wins the 18-29 age group in a landslide and comes in a close second in the 30-45 age group, but needs to appeal more to older voters - perhaps by emphasizing that cuts in social safety nets would be done GRADUALLY.

All in all though - what an encouraging poll! We can do this!

Perhaps there are more anti-war Republicans and that is where RP's support is coming from. That might explain the "too conservative" question and the women.
 
I can not find on youtube where Mittens says he likes mandates. It was during one of the debates, it has to be out there somewhere.

If Ron runs, I will be setting up an anti-romney pac. Stay tuned.
 
I don't see how Romney could win. He's going to start as the front runner and all of the other campaigns have so much to attack him on.
 
I don't see how Romney could win. He's going to start as the front runner and all of the other campaigns have so much to attack him on.

Yeah he has huge leads now and will stay #1 until the primary debates.....but I guarantee EVERY single candidate will bring up the healthcare issue with Romney.

I really can't imagine the Republican party electing a governor of a state with universal healthcare just a couple years after going completely apeshit over the universal healthcare bill.

Most people who so clueless they don't even know Romney has universal healthcare in his state.
 
romney can keep his momentum steady because he has so much money. people think he is fiscally conservative but he is a big gov neocon bush shmuck. This is excellent for Ron Paul. He can only move up from here. I can see him pushing for second place and doing much better than he did in NH in 2008.
 
13% is a new state poll record for this presidential election cycle!

State polls as of now:
13% in New Hampshire (PPP, July 23-25 2010, 7 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/romney-continues-to-lead-in-nh.html
7% in Nevada (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
6% in Florida (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
11% in Pennsylvania (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices - ): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
8% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 6 choices - Perry + 5 regulars): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
10% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices - no Perry): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
7% in Iowa (PPP, May 31 2010, 7 choices - Demint & Thune + 5 regulars): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
7% in South Carolina (PPP, May 31 2010, 6 choices - Demint -): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in Michigan (PPP, May 31 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in New Hampshire (Magellan, May 2010, 7 choices): http://www.magellanstrategies.com/w...-US-Senate-Primary-Survey-Release-0528101.pdf
10% in California (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/gingrich-looking-serious.html
9% in Colorado (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_518.pdf (PDF)
8% in North Carolina (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/looking-at-our-gop-polling.html
8% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-still-up-big.html
6% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-continues-to-lead-big.html
9% in Arizona (PPP, April 2010, 5 choices ): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/2012-gop-in-arizona.html
7% in New Hampshire (PPP, April 2010, 8 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/romney-up-big-in-new-hampshire.html

National Polls previously:
PPP July 2010 national poll - 7% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/gingrich-leads.html
PPP June 2010 national poll - 6% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/monthly-gop-poll.html
PPP May 2010 national poll - 8% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/jumble-for-gop.html
CNN April 2010 national poll: 8% for Ron Paul - 9 way race (w/Santorum, Pence, Barbour, Pawlenty, Gingrich): http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf (PDF)
PPP March 2010 national poll - 11% for Ron Paul - 4 way race (no Gingrich): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/03/romney-leads-tight-republican-race.html
Gallup February 2010 poll: 2% for Ron Paul (open ended poll, so it's lower): http://www.gallup.com/poll/125777/Voters-Divided-Obama-Republican-Candidate-2012.aspx

Versus Obama:
PPP June 2010 poll: Obama 46 Paul 36 (Pauls win independents 46-28) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/obama-up-in-2012-contests.html
Rasmussen March 2010 poll: Obama 42 Paul 41 (highlighted by Drudge) http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...012/election_2012_barack_obama_42_ron_paul_41
PPP November 2009 poll: Obama 46 Paul 38 http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/monthly-2012-numbers.html

NEW RECORD!! And an excellent state to be up in.
 
He's really in a dead heat with Newt and Huckabee for 2nd.

The bad news is, Romney's handily in the lead, and if Romney pulls off wins in both Iowa and NH with leads like that, I think the primary race would end right there. What RP needs is for a tight race with no clear leader that extends past Super Tuesday, where he can stay in the hunt by racking up bunches of 2nd places.

That was Romney's strategy in 2008 and it failed miserably. Back in 2007, Romney had huge leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, but Huckabee's post-Ames momentum in Iowa and McCain's resurgance in New Hampshire caused Romney to lose both states and the nomination. The good news for us is that if Ron Paul performs well in Ames, then he could have a good chance at winning after Romney, Palin, Gingrich, Huckabee, and Thune split the theocon vote. That momentum would also help to improve his already good performance in New Hampshire.
 
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