No, electoral math is just that, math. It doesn't change based upon who is running.
Strategy and tactics are consistent unless human nature changes, and it hasn't, and it won't.
Only a few people are, but not large swaths of the population. This is why it's imperative to focus on those who will likely be voting in the Republican primary or caucuses.
1. C'mon you and I both know that is a slippery slope.
2. Yes, and they had deep pockets and even more importantly they utilized all other tactics before resorting to an infomercial. If infomercials were proven tactics for winnning elections then you'd see other candidates utilizing that tactic.
While i am strongly against a infomercial, i would say if you guys want to fund it and follow through with it I would advise staying on the ecoonomy. All the polls show that is the issue people are focused on. Ron not only has the solutions to FIX the economy but he also PREDICTED the mess.
The only way i would speak about foreign policy is in relation to how broke our country is and how cutting foreign adventurism would help to ensure we don't have to cut grandmas social security.
I'm telling you this can be done right and be extremely effective.
Our supporters fall under categories that you dismiss.
They say they like us to pollsters, but, traditionally, they do not vote as often as 65+ Republicans.
You have said repeatedly that we should ignore them.
Unfortunately for us, the people who like us aren't the people who are most likely to vote.
We have to persuade them, not to like us (we've done that), but to vote in the Republican primary.
That is very narrow, short sighted, and flat out ignorant.Nepoleon's Shadow and others keep harping about going after the Republican base. I really don't care about the Republican base!
The vast majority of Democrats and independents either can't or won't vote in a Republican primary / caucus. This is why the Republican base is so important. You are focused on maybe 5% of the those will be voting in the upcoming Republican primary / caucuses when you SHOULD be focused on about the other 95% of the Republican base.Why? Because the official campaign has proven itself quite adept at reaching these people and influencing them. Because they have the Voter Vault database access that can most effectively do that and because that just about every time we get working on something that's going somewhere they try and take it over. Therefor, lets ignore the Republican base.
Lets go after Democrats and non voters ( 18 states with open primaries + 3 top two)
Lets go after Independents (the above 21 states + 10 more semi-closed where they can vote).
That's 3/5ths of the country! 31 states! If we pick up Republicans, great – but let the campaign focus on those 19 states where people have to get registered Republican.
Do you want hope and to make people feel good, or do you want to achieve electoral victory?The people who bash the blimp, do not understand the blimp.
It gave a lot of us hope. It showed us that when we come together, anything is possible.
Really? We had desperate times last election cycle and I think the Congressional incumbency re-election rate was still something like 85%.'Desperate times call for desperate measures' is also human nature. And desperate times are exactly what we're in. This is more than math.
Why? Ron gets a solid 8% or so of the electorate almost guaranteed no matter what. Even the media has admitted that much.And it's wrong to say our supporters are voting for us anyway.
Voter registration efforts typically don't result in high turnout. It's the long way around the mountain. GOTV is absolutely important, but that is only done within 72 hours or less from the actual election.but we do need to spend effort making sure our people are registered and do vote.
Which is all the more reason we need to focus on likely Republican voters.Our supporters aren't going to end up voting for Perry, but they might have forgotten to register to vote.
Incorrect. The official campaign is expecting people to do phone banking and door-to-door of likely Republican voters.Also, we aren't the official campaign. The official campaign is not expecting us to do the targeting of the old republicans, but the young independents.
Younger independents usually don't vote in a Republican primary or caucus. The older Republicans make up about 95% of those who will be voting. That's where the focus needs to be, not the 5% of younger independents.Official campaign = get older Republicans with TV
Grassroots = get younger independents with grassroots activities.
Very good point. Once these people are active, we then have to target the average likely Republican voters.What grassroots should be doing is growing the grassroots, growing the meetup groups, getting people signed up with youth for Ron Paul.
When the campaign needs boots on the ground in a certain state, the grassroots should be able to provide the bodies that the official campaign needs.
Those boots on the ground this coming winter will not be the 65+ Republicans, but the 18-29 Independents.
Because the official campaign has proven itself quite adept at reaching these people and influencing them. Because they have the Voter Vault database access that can most effectively do that and because that just about every time we get working on something that's going somewhere they try and take it over. Therefor, lets ignore the Republican base.
No, they haven't. If the campaign was adept at reaching Republican voters, then Dr Paul would have done much better in 2007 than he actually did. Dr Paul won ZERO states in 2007. The reason, Republican senior citizens were not focused on. If we want to win, all of our focused efforts must be on this. After February, when he's secured the nomination, THAT is when we worry about reaching independents/Democrats. Worrying about independents/Democrats now is a sure-fire way to lose. We can not afford for money & time to be diluted--it needs to all be focused on Republican voters in early voting states.
Becuause I'm trying to persuede people from squandering their money and time on unproductive activities and instead encourage people to do productive things that will help achieve electoral victory .This project is not about what you want to do. Why don't you go off and focus on the types of activities you are focused on rather than telling us we are all wrong. Better yet - go knock on some doors and do some of that phone banking you spend endless hours talking about.
The campaign is very different this time around and is being run as such.If the campaign was adept at reaching Republican voters, then Dr Paul would have done much better in 2007 than he actually did. Dr Paul won ZERO states in 2007.