Ron is SURGING in South Carolina! [ARG Poll 1/13/12]

[Badger Paul]

Don't expect to see this one in the RCP average.

 

[QWDC]

Meh, spread it around anyways. You all remember how that CNN poll boosted Santorum despite it's flaws, and how several networks pushed the other NH ARG poll with Huntsman ahead.

 

[lucent]

I think it was pretty accurate, wasn't it? We beat their poll by 6% and for everyone else it was pretty accurate.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/nh/

Why does this group have a bad reputation?

Their calculations of their crosstabs are all messed up in that poll. It was a lot more accurate with fixed calculations which I think had Paul at 21%.

 

[Johnnybags]

Santorum paid 1 million for the votes he got in Iowa, the pastors are happy the flock made it to the polls, half of em could not pronounce his name but hey.......they gots some dough for awhile.

 

[bobburn]

It doesn't matter that this polling company is known for being shitty, the fact is the MSM has used their polls to discredit Ron Paul in the past, now he's doing QUITE well with their polls, let's spread it around to get the "he's not electable" crowd in SC to change their minds and make the switch before it's time to vote!

 

[WilliamC]

You've made me a happy man Mr. Collins.

 

[MRoCkEd]

ARG is completely unreliable, but it makes us feel good.

 

[Carole]

Yes, I think so. It is the one MSNBC uses I think or maybe CNN.

 

[freejack]

Yes, I think so. It is the one MSNBC uses I think or maybe CNN.

They'll use whichever one makes Ron look worse.

 

[Johnnybags]

 

[Jerkface]

 

[Johnnybags]

Krauthammer tonight!

 

[blazeKing]

They'll use whichever one makes Ron look worse.

DING DING We have a WINNAHHH

Although I will say, Fox today did show the ARG poll with Paul in 3rd and they begrudgingly had to admit Paul was in 3rd in the poll.

 

[Havax]

"Ron Paul loses frontrunner status as support falls to 20%, 3rd place; is campaign nearing an end?"

 

[lucent]

"Ron Paul loses frontrunner status as support falls to 20%, 3rd place; is campaign nearing an end?"

I would not be surprised.

 

[Matt Collins]

You've made me a happy man Mr. Collins.

I get that a lot

 

[jsem]

YES! SURGGGEEEE

 

[1836]

ARG is a notoriously bad pollster and RCP doesn't even include them in their averages for that reason.

That said, even bad pollsters can show a trend if methods remain consistent, and so we are clearly going up in South Carolina. We need to wait for a Rasmussen, Marist, PPP, or similarly reputable poll to know for sure how much.

 

[jay_dub]

We can quibble about the accuracy. I cross posted the poll to another forum. This is psy-ops and I'll take anything that drives us forward.

Good news is good news...period!!

 

[maxoutco]

We need the older crowd. Tell your grandma about Ron Paul!!!!!!!