Reuters/Ipsos SC Poll: Ron Paul tied for second at 16% [QUESTIONABLE SAMPLE]

This poll is probably not that accurate--they used a near 50/50 breakdown of Republicans and Democrats.
 
daviddee said:
We need to thin the herd in S.C.

We need "Frothy" out and Gingrich disgraced (out).

Huntsman and Perry can stay in for as long as they want... they are so low in the polls it does not matter.
Click to expand...

We need Huntsman and Perry out. They're low in the polls, but I their voters are more likely to move to Paul than Gingrich voters. Fortunately, I think they'll both drop after SC. We need Paul to come in second, making him the only viable alternative to Romney. I think best case scenario is that Santorum comes in 4th and drops out along with Perry and Huntsman, making it a three man race with Gingrich very weak. We can count on Gingrich to go scorched earth on Romney. Then the Paul campaign can play it cool and just keep building support, run a positive campaign, and let Romney/Gingrich kill each other until Gingrich drops out. Then we go full throttle on a battered Romney.
 
If it hasn't been said enough: Bullshit poll.

I like how the media is using this to push the Romney-running-away-with-it meme.
 
Actually, I have been meaning to put together a post that will put this baby to rest. I'll summarize.

The S.C. electorate is very confused right now, and rightfully so. Take a look at how S.C. broke in 2008. Mitt Romney captured 4th with 15% behind McCain, Huckabee, and Fred Thompson.

In other words, in 2008, S.C. voted against Romney the 2012 frontrunner 85%.

Huckabee. He is not in the race. He was/is a much more solid "religion vote" than Santorum.

Fred Thompson beat Romney in S.C. in 2008. It was close, they both hit 15.x% but Thompson had more votes.

So there are A LOT of disinfranchised S.C. voters out there.

This is an extremely important test for not only Ron Paul, but for the voters of South Carolina. That record of picking the eventual nominee is at odds with the voters principles there.

There is a very real possibility that S.C. COULD send the message that principles are more important than tradition or politics. S.C. could rip the veil of inevitibility off of Romney.

That is the internal battle that each voter in S.C. is facing right now. THat is why the polls are so wild.

I hope that the folks in the Ron Paul campaign, and especially the grassroots in S.C. are aware of what I just said, and in much greater detail.
 
New Reuters/Ipsos Poll. Ron Paul now in 2nd place in South Carolina.. (link)

http://news.yahoo.com/romney-opens-21-point-lead-south-carolina-reuters-230825329.html

Mitt Romney: 37%
Ron Paul: 16%
Rick Santorum: 16%
Newt Gingrich: 14%

Don't be concerned about Mitt Romney's lead. The main thing is that we want Santorum/Newt/Perry to drop out, and make this a 2-man race between Mitt Romney & Ron Paul.

Once it's a 2-man race between Mitt Romney & Ron Paul, there will be a huge block of evangelical christians looking for a candidate to support. And they won't be supporting the pro-abortion mormon.
 
Another source I was reading these same numbers on said that this was taken from a sample of like 1,000 people, of which roughly 400 were Republicans. If that's true, then this could just be Democrats voting for the one that leans furthest to the left so they have a choice of Obama or Obama...

Here it is..."The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online from January 10-13 with a sample of 995 South Carolina registered voters. It included 398 Republicans and 380 Democrats."

I wouldn't give these numbers too much consideration, Democrats can't vote in SC...
 
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If we can get Congressman Paul in 15% plus in South Carolina as a victory. This is once again the first closed primary state in the Republican race. If Congressman Ron Paul reaches to the 20% range is a delegate battle. Former Speak of the US House Newt Gingrich support in South Carolina is weak and can be
siphoned off. Does the new endorsement for Rick Santorum matter to evangelicals/social conservatives in the SC or FL primary? If Ron Paul can beat Rick
Santorum in South Carolina in closed primary system on the issues I will be happy. If Newt Gingrich support is soft and US Senator Rick Santorum is seen as a weak candidate on being a conservative as well. The real question: Is Mitt Romney going to be able to fool South Carolina primary votes or will Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, or Ron Paul be able to overcome? If Rick Perry would drop out the 3/4 of the GOP voters would have one less choice to sift.
 
bcreps85 said:
Another source I was reading these same numbers on said that this was taken from a sample of like 1,000 people, of which roughly 400 were Republicans. If that's true, then this could just be Democrats voting for the one that leans furthest to the left so they have a choice of Obama or Obama...

Here it is..."The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online from January 10-13 with a sample of 995 South Carolina registered voters. It included 398 Republicans and 380 Democrats."

I wouldn't give these numbers too much consideration, Democrats can't vote in SC...
Click to expand...

It is an open primary. I doubt the numbers will be that even in a GOP primary, though.
 
Oddone said:
No it's an Online poll. Theres another thread on this.
Click to expand...

Wow, that changes things. Of course, if it had been very favorable to Paul, it would have immediately been pointed out that the poll was online and not scientific.
 
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