Redistricting NC Fed Congressional Districts?

Watt's is a safe democratic district. They're not going to change that. They made the 4th safer democratic, too. In exchange, they made the surrounding district sway to the Republicans.

Also, this map puts Lawson (and myself) in the 2nd.
 
Sorry to jump into this sub-thread, but the larger premise is interesting and the whole question is complicated. First, there is likely no question that Bill Randall is running, and in fact already has a campaign underway. That much was obvious from his booth at the State convention. Secondly, we're probably going to see an ugly primary. Vernon Robinson has already expressed interest in running and he's banking on winning the western part of the district including Greensboro. And the western part is now greatly expanded while Bill has lost some of his best precincts in Wake County due to the insertion of the 1st district (which seriously surprised me). And who knows what other ambitious self-servers from Wake County are going to try to jump into this thing? As for Miller, I'd be surprised if he even tried to run again here, particularly as I'm not even sure his residence is in the district anymore (not a legal requirement but a campaign disadvantage in and of itself). As for Gunny's support base, I'll await his response as well.
 
aclove said:
In 13th District news, Nathan Tabor of Forsyth County has announced a run for Congress against Miller:
http://www2.journalnow.com/news/201...op-chairman-to-run-for-us-congres-ar-1175338/
Click to expand...

I'm going to take this as good news. Why? Because he is a westerner. If certain events are transpiring as I think they are, Vernon Robinson might be poised to take the nomination by appealing to an anti-Wake county sentiment among westerners in the district while Bill Randall gets undermined by what I suspect will be forthcoming challengers out of Wake County. By jumping into the race, Tabor ensures that Robinson has competition in his own backyard. By no means am I endorsing Tabor, Robinson, Randall, or future entrants into the race, but I think we members of the 13th need to have an open field of candidates with no one having such a clear advantage that the nominee would be decided by such an advantage. If Robinson is the sole candidate against a field of eastern challengers, that gives him some serious leverage by having the western part of the district locked up while siphoning off just enough support from eastern voters to either give him the nomination outright or (more likely) give him the front runner position in a run-off.
 
Yeah, after Tabor's performance at the convention -- basically instructing the tea parties to bow to the status quo, I really want nothing to do with him at all. The crowdng field is really complicating matters though, and I am now even less certain what to do. Taking 2 years to prep a senate run is looking more and more likely. At least then I'll be PREPARED to some extent for a crowded primary.
 
GunnyFreedom said:
Yeah, after Tabor's performance at the convention -- basically instructing the tea parties to bow to the status quo, I really want nothing to do with him at all. The crowdng field is really complicating matters though, and I am now even less certain what to do. Taking 2 years to prep a senate run is looking more and more likely. At least then I'll be PREPARED to some extent for a crowded primary.
Click to expand...

Lets not be too hasty to consider another path until we know (presumably) next Monday what the non-MM Ledge map looks like. Meanwhile, if your suspicions concerning what they may do to HD-49 are correct, I have another idea you might want to consider. Not sure I should mention it on the board, though. And I really need to know what the new map looks like to determine if this idea has merit. Guess we'll just have to wait until next week to find out.
 
PBrady said:
Watt's is a safe democratic district. They're not going to change that. They made the 4th safer democratic, too. In exchange, they made the surrounding district sway to the Republicans.

Also, this map puts Lawson (and myself) in the 2nd.
Click to expand...

Unfortunately, we all expected Watt's district to be a Safe Democratic one. The only thing we can hope for with Watt is that when the Republicans gain even more power, he starts to vote NO on everything like he did when Bush was in charge years ago.

GunnyFreedom said:
Taking 2 years to prep a senate run is looking more and more likely. At least then I'll be PREPARED to some extent for a crowded primary.
Click to expand...

Unless you can out-fundraise your opponents or become a popular state-wide figure, it is pretty unprecedented for a State Legislator, especially a one-termer, to win a Primary and then go on to take out an incumbent. It is also prudent to look at the conditions in 2014. The Democrats have far fewer seats to defend, and so they will want to hang on to every last seat they have. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2014 Weathering the onslaught of a very tough primary battle and then the entire Democratic establishment throwing money at Kay Hagan is a very, very tall order. Also consider that Hagan's husband is worth over $10 million, so expect some of that money will be used in 2014.
 
I wish you lived closer to my district. Howard Coble is due to retire soon and this is as safe a district for Republicans as you will find.

In fact we really need to find a liberty candidate to replace him. With your door to door campaign style, you could win.

Coble is the longest serving Republican in NC history. This seat can be held for many years.
 
Last edited:
Rifleman said:
I wish you lived closer to my district. Howard Coble is due to retire soon and this is as safe a district for Republicans as you will find.

In fact we really need to find a liberty candidate to replace him. With your door to door campaign style, you could win.

Coble is the longest serving Republican in NC history. This seat can be held for many years.
Click to expand...

This is my family homestead, it's only been in the family for 23 years, but it's lust about the coolest thing my father did before he passed away. Moving isn't much of an option. :(
 
GunnyFreedom said:
This is my family homestead, it's only been in the family for 23 years, but it's lust about the coolest thing my father did before he passed away. Moving isn't much of an option. :(
Click to expand...

I don't blame you. I wouldn't move either. Maybe we can find someone decent to replace him. It's much more worthwhile than targeting heavy Dem districts.
 
I have the understanding that in North Carolina, you don't have to live in a congressional district to run for that office. Is this legally true of General Assembly seats as well?
 
You dont need to live in the congressional district you run in but you do need to have lived for a year and currently reside in the NC house/senate district before running.
 
Fascinating stuff. They gave Ellmers a stronger GOP district, but with fewer of her constituents. Primary challenge by an insider coming up? Hmmm.

Rotating the 6th into what was going to be the 13th, might be an effort to squash the opening plays being made by Forsyth county. Maybe the NCGOP wants to leave Coble in place for one more term, while they fish for new candidates they like better.
 
MozoVote said:
Fascinating stuff. They gave Ellmers a stronger GOP district, but with fewer of her constituents. Primary challenge by an insider coming up? Hmmm.

Rotating the 6th into what was going to be the 13th, might be an effort to squash the opening plays being made by Forsyth county. Maybe the NCGOP wants to leave Coble in place for one more term, while they fish for new candidates they like better.
Click to expand...

The 13th is technically an open seat now. Nobody lives in it.
 
I wonder if that means that Rucho & the gang have someone else in mind for that seat who hasn't declared yet?
 
'Round and 'round we go! Now I'm in the 13th...

It seems they keep trying to grab my area (south/southeastern Wake) and put it up with North Raleigh. They just did it for state senate, too. I noticed this map would keep Lawson in 2, though. Is Ellmers still in 2 with this new drawing?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

jmdrake
How the GOP dominated SCOTUS quietly gave Democrats two house seats
Replies
1
Views
2K
jmdrake
jmdrake
CaptUSA
Hilarious Ohio Gerrymandering Amendment Issue
Replies
1
Views
365
CaptUSA
CaptUSA
PAF
With Its Latest Rate Cut, the Fed Serves Wall Street and the Regime
Replies
0
Views
77
PAF
PAF
PAF
Republicans are telling the White House that DOGE cuts will not be permanent
Replies
6
Views
76
Working Poor
Working Poor
PAF
  • Featured
Nobody for Fed Chairman
Replies
5
Views
178
acptulsa
acptulsa
Back
Top