RCP average now has Paul and Huckabee tied for first place for GOP nomination

[ssunlimited]

Poll Date Sample Paul Huckabee Bush Christie Ryan Cruz Rubio Walker Perry Santorum Jindal Spread
RCP Average 3/18 - 5/4 -- 13.0 13.0 12.3 10.7 10.5 6.7 6.5 5.3 4.4 3.3 2.4 Tie
CNN/Opinion Research 5/2 - 5/4 473 A 13 10 13 9 12 7 6 7 8 2 -- Tie
ABC News/Wash Post 4/24 - 4/27 RV 15 14 12 9 12 7 6 5 5 -- 2 Paul +1
FOX News 4/13 - 4/15 384 RV 14 -- 14 15 9 7 8 5 5 5 2 Christie +1
McClatchy/Marist 4/7 - 4/10 416 RV 12 13 13 12 12 4 7 5 3 3 4 Tie
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI 3/26 - 3/30 A 11 15 11 10 12 6 6 5 -- -- 1 Huckabee +3
WPA Research (R) 3/18 - 3/20 801 A 13 13 11 9 6 9 6 5 1 3 3 Tie

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep..._republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

 

[GunnyFreedom]

 

[69360]

I don't think Huckabee is really running. Where does his support fall? I'm thinking mostly Bush and Christie?

 

[FriedChicken]

unfortunately I think much of Huckabee's support is going to go to Bush.

Christie probably isn't running and if he does he probably won't make it past Florida.

notice the significant dip in support Bush and Christie got when they started including Huckabee in the polls?
if he doesn't run I'd expect that support to go back where it came from.

the good news is that signifies Paul's support as solid and the others as soft.
soft support is all about timing, lets hope we end up with a large amount at the right time.

 

[jtstellar]

unfortunately I think much of Huckabee's support is going to go to Bush.

Christie probably isn't running and if he does he probably won't make it past Florida.

notice the significant dip in support Bush and Christie got when they started including Huckabee in the polls?
if he doesn't run I'd expect that support to go back where it came from.

the good news is that signifies Paul's support as solid and the others as soft.
soft support is all about timing, lets hope we end up with a large amount at the right time.

actually it only says bush and other establishment supporters are less dead loyalists than they were before and this move shows that bloc can be moving, once you start moving, it opens up a lot of possibilities and actually opens up more wriggle room for rand compared to say, when the 15% stuck by romney and never moved one inch in 12

 

[FriedChicken]

actually it only says bush and other establishment supporters are less dead loyalists than they were before and this move shows that bloc can be moving, once you start moving, it opens up a lot of possibilities and actually opens up more wriggle room for rand compared to say, when the 15% stuck by romney and never moved one inch in 12

I'm not sure that is contradictory to what I said because I agree with both of our statements.

 

[Matt Collins]

Only the early states matter at this point

 

[brandon]

Only the early states matter at this point

I think that's more true when mainstream candidates are winning them. If someone a bit out of the mainstream like Paul (libertarian) or Huckabee (bible banger) wins the early states it might be written off.

 

[FriedChicken]

The early states matter, yes, but national polls aren't unimportant.
We tried that argument with Ron - But he's polling first in Iowa! Thats what actually matters! and people didn't buy it and continued the unelectable accusations.

So if Rand is competitive nationally and in more-than-one early state I think it will be hard for people to write him off.

 

[DeMintConservative]

I don't think Huckabee is really running. Where does his support fall? I'm thinking mostly Bush and Christie?

Really doubt it. Mostly Cruz if he runs; if not, I expect it to be more or less pulverized.

 

[philipped]

Besides this being good news and all...

Where on the internet can I see what people are saying and where they take the argument NOW after this information claiming "he's unelectable" "Radical" and things of that sort?