Rasmussen counter-story Iowa poll

Fuckin Rasmussen. However if they're right that means we need to step up our efforts in Iowa.
 
I trust that Iowa poll before this one. Isn't that selzer one the "gold standard" of polling in Iowa?
 
Is Rasmussen the one that uses automated calls? When I hear an automated call I always just hang up. I only talk to real people.
 
Different polling methods. GOTV is most important. We have the numbers. Over the weekend I'll be doing some phoning (for the first time) with some help from my local meetup. Perhaps the poll with the taste of the other poll will keep people motivated.
 
They no longer generally release their crosstabs. I do wish I knew if they only pick 'caucus goers' by past attendence, which would discount the fact that only the GOP have a real election this year. Obama drew the independents last year. this year those who caucus will be going for Ron imho.

Whatever. Rasmussen's house effect doesn't like Ron, never has. Where is this next to Rasmussen's LAST poll of Iowa? I'm suspecting it is up, which means Ron's RCP in Iowa goes up, but I haven't checked.

Ron's internal polling was like Bloomberg/Des Moines Register's though, and he uses the same company Rand used for internal polls. I'm believing those. Des Moines Register's polling company (which Bloomberg used) is considered the gold standard of polling for the Iowa caucus.
 
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Here's the results from Rasmussen's Poll last month in Iowa, and comparing it now:
Cain 28% (-15)
Romney 21% (+2)
Paul 10% (0)
Gingrich 9%, (+23)
Bachmann 8% (-2)
Perry 7% (-1)
 
The problem is that GOP believe Rasmussen because it has a GOP 'house effect', however, the GOP effect is a GOP establishment effect. They tend to be accurate in the last two weeks when polling companies are scored, before then they are useless.
 
Qell so far we got two polls that say rp at 19 or 20% and one at 10. I'm leaning toward the other 2 right now.
 
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