Quinnipiac Virginia Primary Poll [Romney v. Paul Head to Head]

[luctor-et-emergo]

No excuse early voting for all the youngsters that don't turn out otherwise ?
Then try to maximize % among older folks, and hope for low turnout.

 

[Mordan]

as I have always said since VA Judge ruling. VA is where RP campaign proves its mantle.

is it here to win or to educate?

 

[Cyberbrain]

Actually it's 50.1% and that would mean it's inevitable than one or the other will exceed 50% since it's a two man race. That's why it would be in our favor that other candidates were in the race so we could pick up some delegates so long of course that we exceed 15% of the vote in the districts.

I'm still wondering if these delegates are bound or unbound.

Argh right I meant a majority. And a bill is going through the legislature (republican house, split senate) to allow an uncommitted vote in the primary. That'd be our best shot.

And delegates are bound.

 

[jllundqu]

as I have always said since VA Judge ruling. VA is where RP campaign proves its mantle.

is it here to win or to educate?

That is the best way to put it... is the campaign here to win or educate? VA should be fertile ground for us, but in a winner take all state, it looks like we should skip this one like Florida at this point. I am beginning to feel that the campaign is so entrenched in its methods, that it won't change strategy (read: being smart while remaining principled).

 

[Lightweis]

Help win us Virginia. Our grassroots needs funds to get the word out! . Virginia comparison sheets to every voter!!! Help us

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...LP-WIN-VIRGINIA-MONEYBOMB&highlight=moneybomb

 

[RonPaul101.com]

Ask Newt to lend us, "When Mitt Romney Came to Town" to run in VA.

A state specific ad would be nice too, something that actually says, "Every voter regardless of political party preference can vote in the primary. (VA is an open primary, voters in VA do not declare a party affiliation.)

 

[kylejack]

General Election. Time to ditch, this ain't happening.

 

[BrittanySligar]

Anti-Romney vote is a myth. There's a Pro-Israel vote, and an Anti-Paul vote. Both can go to Romney.

 

[Constitutional Paulicy]

And delegates are bound.

Bummer.

 

[RDM]

Judging by the trends....that's just not going to happen.

Finally a voice of reason amongst those that refuse to put down the "crack pipe".

 

[RonPaul101.com]

That is the best way to put it... is the campaign here to win or educate? VA should be fertile ground for us, but in a winner take all state, it looks like we should skip this one like Florida at this point. I am beginning to feel that the campaign is so entrenched in its methods, that it won't change strategy (read: being smart while remaining principled).

WHAT? Skip Virginia? In favor of what of other state? Thankfully, the campaign disagrees with you since they have two offices in that state and lots of organization. Even if Ron Paul polled at 2% right now, we would need build up momentum and either win the state or do as best as we possibly can in that state. If we get totally smoked in VA we will never have momentum again this election cycle, no matter what happens elsewhere. Virginia is an open primary, a battleground state, and has only two candidates running. If Romney beats us bad like 75/25 or such, we will have absolutely no claimto being the anti-Romney.

 

[Cyberbrain]

For reference, from greenpapers:

Virgina does not register voters by party. The loyality oath requirement was removed on 17 January 2012.

Tuesday 6 March 2012: 46 of 49 of Virginia's delegates to the Republican National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders in today's Virginia Presidential Primary.

33 district delegates are to be bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 11 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all 3 of that district's National Convention delegates.

13 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 3 bonus delegates) are to be bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results statewide. Compute percentages to 3 decimal places, that is, 50.000%. The delegates are allocated to the presidential contenders as follows:
If a candidate receives 50.001% or more of the vote, that candidate is allocated all 13 at-large delegates.
If no candidate receives 50.001% or more of the vote, the 13 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally among those candidates receiving 15.000% or more of the vote. Rounding rules: Beginning with the candidate receiving the largest number of votes, round the fraction to the next whole number of delegates. Continue this process with the next highest vote getter and repeat until all the delegates are allocated.

 

[cucucachu0000]

I'm not looking for a palin endorsement dope just looking for her and other tea party groups coming out to vote for paul to hurt romney.

 

[da32130]

Finally a voice of reason amongst those that refuse to put down the "crack pipe".

Judging by the trends Santorum should have gotten crushed in CO,MN,MO and Newt should have gotten crushed in SC.

We're here to find a way. The question is what would it take? What is the best plan?

Are your comments helping push us forward? Just being a realist.

When US Hockey beat the soviets in the early 80s the whole team was smoking the "crack pipe" because they should of known they didn't have a chance in hell of winning. But they did.

 

[Schiff_FTW]

I don't think it's so much of an anti-Paul vote as an "electability" vote among the masses who have been brainwashed by Fox News into believing that Ron Paul can't beat Obama.

Focusing on electability might actually hurt Romney and help Paul, so there's no way the Paul campaign will do that. We've got a speech at the convention to think about!

 

[groverblue]

We have to hope Santorum and Grinch tell their supporters to vote Paul.

That will never happen.

 

[kylejack]

Gingrich won't vote for Paul as the nominee. He's certainly not going to endorse him in Virginia. Santorum's mad about attack ads. Forget about it.

 

[SilentBull]

This means the anti-Romney thing just doesn't work. Republicans don't like Ron Paul. They'll vote for anyone else, apparently. Even for the guy they admit is a flip flopper.

 

[kylejack]

Hence, let's run 3rd or Indy and snatch up some civil liberties anti-war votes from the Left and add them to our supporters.

 

[thelaibon]

Gingrich won't vote for Paul as the nominee. He's certainly not going to endorse him in Virginia. Santorum's mad about attack ads. Forget about it.

I think you guys are lost. If we assume that Gingrich & Santorum's roles in the race are only to spoil Paul, then I agree. Otherwise, it make the most sense that they covertly ask their support base to vote for Paul since Paul is far less of an overall threat than Romney.