RonPaulFanInGA
Member
- Joined
- Nov 13, 2007
- Messages
- 12,749
2012 is too early for rand
Depends on how bad the economy gets next year and if Rand becomes seen as the bipartisan antithesis of all that is wrong with Washington D.C. He could get into the debates at no financial cost and might get a huge ratings bump. He may be essentially a celebrity by this time next year. It might cause him backlash in Kentucky as disingenuous for the Senator position. Plus whoever inherits the White House in 2013 will have a stinker of an economy like Obama. 2016 might be a better time frame for Rand. But he could probably phrase his reasoning for a 2012 run in a very palatable way. He did campaign on essentially all national policy issues after all..I mean, Kentucky might be damned proud to have their freshman senator become President.
All this Rand Paul 2012 talk is utterly stupid and it discredits our political acumen. Same with the neocon morons who want Rubio to run for POTUS next year.
Let's see how Rand votes and what he accomplishes, if we want him to run in 2016.
No chance
He'd have to start campaigning almost immediately on zero record
Most of the serious presidential candidates have already made several trips to Iowa and New Hampshire to start drumming up support and building their networks
Bleak as it may look for him now, I have a suspicion Obama is still liable to win a second term. Keep in mind the profoundly fickle nature of the voting public- just within the last decade, we've seen utter electoral turnabouts from thorough Republican dominance to thorough Democrat dominance and back again. I believe many of the "Tea Partiers" just elected to Congress are cut from the same cloth as their Republican predecessors and will chicken out when it comes time to really fight for reductions in federal overreach; there will be some who will fight the good fight, but I am dubious about their chances of actually succeeding in reining in the budget. Basically, there is a good chance that the public will feel cheated again by 2012, and that a resurgence in Progressive zeal combined with the incumbency advantage will carry Obama to victory.Earliest Rand could really run - if he doesn't run in 2012 - would be 2020. There will be an incumbent Republican running in 2016, and I doubt Rand would run against whoever it is.
Bill Clinton was polling nationally at something like 1-2% at this point relative to the 1992 election if I remember correctly.
Earliest Rand could really run - if he doesn't run in 2012 - would be 2020. There will be an incumbent Republican running in 2016, and I doubt Rand would run against whoever it is.
If Rand ran in 2016 and won the nomination, would he have to give up his Senate seat?
He will run to relieve his father, who will be about 80 years old at that point.