PPP Minnesota:

[CTRattlesnake]

We can win this

Santorum 29, Romney 27, Gingrich 22, Paul 19

 

[nyrgoal99]

Encouraging

GOTV Minnesota, HARD!!!

 

[KingNothing]

Wow. If that's accurate....

We really could win it. At the very least, we should crush the delegate count there.

 

[MrGoose]

Surprising to see Santorum up so high

 

[CTRattlesnake]

Here's there write up, PPP basically says Newt is done, Paul can win Minnesota, and Santorum will do well in both colorado and minnesota.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/romney-up-in-colorado-close-race-in-minnesota.html

 

[CTRattlesnake]

Minnesota provides Paul's best chance at a victory since Iowa. Independents are allowed to vote there, which should boost his numbers, and in contrast to most states he has a positive favorability rating at 48-41. A big key for him will be the age of the electorate- he's leading the way with voters under 45, but in last place with voters over 45. He'll need to pick that up to have a chance at the upset.

We need to work hard on the GOTV effort, we can really win here folks.

 

[RonPaul101.com]

Surprising to see Santorum up so high

Exactly. How could he be doing so well in MN? Outside of a lucky win in Iowa fueled by tons of free positive media and months of time to travel the whole state, he's had bad finishes everywhere else.

 

[thoughtomator]

MN borders IA, so the manufactured "Santorum surge" probably had bleed-over effects from cross-state media markets.

 

[nyrgoal99]

Independents do not appear to have been really polled in this.

Minn is possible

 

[swiss_supporter]

That sound's great! In 1998 the most Ventura did in pre-election polls was 20%, but the third party voters came out of the woodwork and voted Ventura in.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5US5r6rsDak

 

[CTRattlesnake]

Full cross-tabs

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_COMO_205.pdf

 

[mavtek]

We need to get the Santorum attack ad running. Also can we get his comment from 03' regarding the catholic priest molestation of little boys to go viral on facebook?

 

[RDM]

We can win this

Not if we do not address the turn out problem this campaign is facing.

 

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Can precinct organizers in Minnesota actually get people to properly sign-in and verify the number of ballots match to the number of sign-ins?

I know that most third graders could accomplish the task, but with people who ran the Nevada caucuses seemingly incapable of counting, I'd like to be sure the good folks of Minnesota understand basic math and logic.

 

[gerryb]

MN borders IA, so the manufactured "Santorum surge" probably had bleed-over effects from cross-state media markets.

This.

I think folks here still don't realize the power of the media.. 30 second paid advertisements can't counter free 24/7 positive media. The only thing that can is community organizing, imo.

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Exactly. How could he be doing so well in MN? Outside of a lucky win in Iowa fueled by tons of free positive media and months of time to travel the whole state, he's had bad finishes everywhere else.

Catholics are (one of) the biggest religious group in Minnesota, according to wiki that is (28%).

Population
Minnesota's population density.

From fewer than 6,100 people in 1850, Minnesota's population grew to over 1.7 million by 1900. Each of the next six decades saw a 15% increase in population, reaching 3.4 million in 1960. Growth then slowed, rising 11% to 3.8 million in 1970, and an average of 9% over the next three decades to 4.9 million in the 2000 Census.[42] The United States Census Bureau estimates that the population of Minnesota was 5,344,861 on July 1, 2011, a 0.77% increase since the 2010 United States Census.[43] The rate of population change along with age and gender distributions approximate the national average. Minnesota's growing minority groups, however, still form a significantly smaller percentage of the population than in the nation as a whole.[44] The center of population of Minnesota is located in Hennepin County, in the city of Rogers.[45]
[edit] Ancestry

The principal ancestries of Minnesota's residents in 2010 has been surveyed to be the following:[46]

* 37.9% German
* 32.1% Scandinavian (16.8% Norwegian, 9.5% Swedish, Finnish, Danish, Icelandic, Faroese and Karelian)
* 11.7% Irish
* 6.3% English
* 5.1% Polish
* 4.2% French
* 3.7% Czech

Ancestries claimed by less than 3% of the population include American, Italian, and Dutch, each between 2 and 3%; Sub-Saharan African and East African, Scottish, French Canadian, Scotch-Irish and Mexican, each between 1 and 1.9%; and less than 1% each for Russian, Welsh, Bosnian, Swiss, Arab, Hungarian, Ukrainian, Greek, Slovak, Lithuanian, Portuguese, and West Indian.[47]
The French Renaissance style Cathedral of St. Paul in the city of St. Paul

The state's racial composition in the 2010 American Census Bureau was:[48]

* White: 85.3% (Non-Hispanic Whites: 83.1%)
* African American: 5.2%
* American Indian and Alaska Native: 1.1%
* Asian: 4.0%
* Pacific Islander: 0.0%
* Other races: 2.4%
* Multiracial: 1.8%
* Hispanic or Latino (of any race): 4.7%

[edit] Religion

The majority of Minnesotans are Protestants, including a significant Lutheran affiliation owing to the state's largely Northern European ethnic makeup, though Roman Catholics (of largely German, Irish, and Slavic descent) make up the largest single Christian denomination. A 2010 survey by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life showed that 32.0% of Minnesotans were affiliated with Mainline Protestant traditions, 21.0% with Evangelical Protestants, 28.0% with Roman Catholic, 1.0% each with Jewish, Muslim, Buddhist, and Black Protestant traditions, smaller amounts for other faiths, and 13.0% unaffiliated.[49] This is broadly consistent with the results of the 2001 American Religious Identification Survey, which also gives detail on percentages of many individual denominations.[50] Although Christianity is dominant, there is a long history of non-Christian faiths. Ashkenazi Jewish pioneers set up Saint Paul's first synagogue in 1856.[51]

(always interesting to check the demographics...) @ wiki

 

[Matt Collins]

We need to work hard on the GOTV effort, we can really win here folks.

I believe Phone From Home is pointed to MN these days... please start dialing.

 

[Liberty74]

WTF?

 

[Wesley]

Santorum won't do that well,
He's not that popular around here.

Ron Paul is popular with anti-war folks
independents and libertarian leaning people
there are many of them in minnesota


I'm planning to make some flyers that emphasize Ron Paul as the war ending candidate


Armed Chinese Troops in Texas
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKfuS6gfxPY

I'd like to use videos like this to reach people

(the links would be printed on pre cut tabs on another sheet)


Also, to describe him as the only one opposed to The Patriot Act, NDAA, SOPA, Bailouts, and The Federal Reserve in general...


Could use some suggestions for short films to add

Or inspirational quotes!


All help is appreciated! This is for Minnesota the three days before caucus... will print up this evening

Maybe several hundred with enough content ideas!

 

[anewvoice]

Santorum?