NV CAUCUS-GOERS: Please post your observations / live results in this thread!

[Ronulus]

I hate to sound suspicious, but is it possible that the NVGOP is holding the results until they think the media will treat it as an afterthought in order to take away from any bump Paul might have gotten?

Of course they could, they are accountable to nobody but themselves.

 

[thelaibon]

I hate to sound suspicious

Always question your government.

 

[neverseen]

oh, i feel like playing conspiracy. I remember reading that the people in NV hate the caucus process and want a primary again. What if some GOP big shots gave a *wink*wink* to the local people to eff everything up to embarrass the state's caucus process and force the people/gop/voter whomever to go back to a primary to make things "easier." THEN while flubbing things up and saying they would have to toss votes out they realized that it would swing the vote because they forgot the high population of clark makes their vote weigh heavy. THEN they all panicked and went to bed to sleep on it since superbowl coverage would dominate sunday giving them time to figure out how to use excel before releasing the results they had at the beginning of the night.

All they need to do is embarrass the party and state to force the primary next time. Someone will probably say "opps, found that 1 list that i dropped on the floor, vote is okay now."

lawl. that's what it is. i'm sure of it.

 

[bobburn]

So with half the vote so messed up that the NV GOP has to toss it, does that mean the vote will never be certified?

Has ANY state's vote been certified thus far?

I know Iowa wasn't, NH and SC were both riddled with fraud (dead voters) so one would think they couldn't be...

It's hard to call 0.045% of he vote "riddled" with fraud.

 

[LibertyEagle]

Really?

Do I have to do all of the work for you? Really?

http://www.infoplease.com/us/census/data/iowa/demographic.html - Iowa Demographics
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/ia - Iowa Entrance Poll

31-percent of voters in Iowa were under the age of 44. Roughly 35-percent of the population in Iowa falls into that age group. Now, consider that young people skew Democrat, and the difference between the expected turnout of voters under 44 compared to actual observed turnout was probably statistically insignificant, and if it was statistically significant, it had no impact on candidate placing or delegate counts.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/new-hampshire/exit-polls - New Hampshire Exit Poll
http://profiles.nationalrelocation.com/New Hampshire/ - New Hampshire demographics

There you see that about 37-percent of the population is aged 18 to 44. 31-percent of Republican primary voters fell into that age group. Now, consider that young people skew Democrat, and the difference between the expected turnout of voters under 44 compared to actual observed turnout was probably statistically insignificant, and if it was statistically significant, it had no impact on candidate placing or delegate counts.


See?

No, I don't "see".

A great number of Ron's supporters are young. That is the demographic that he targets. Therefore, it is critical that they show up and the fact is, that many did not.

 

[BKom]

NV is a caucus in name only now. Once they decided to bind delegates by the preference vote, they removed any discretion from delegates. The only way that NV is a caucus is that it's made inconvenient for a great number of people. But thanks to Sheldon Adelson, there was even a mechanism to overcome that problem.

I say we nominate Adelson for man of the year and give him the first "Paulian Champion of Freedom Award."

 

[neverseen]

NV is a caucus in name only now. Once they decided to bind delegates by the preference vote, they removed any discretion from delegates. The only way that NV is a caucus is that it's made inconvenient for a great number of people. But thanks to Sheldon Adelson, there was even a mechanism to overcome that problem.

I say we nominate Adelson for man of the year and give him the first "Paulian Champion of Freedom Award."

HAHHAHA, everyone should hit his facebook wall with, "From one Ron Paul supporter to another, Thank You."

Except he might get mad and give newt another 10mil :X

 

[MsDoodahs]

It's hard to call 0.045% of he vote "riddled" with fraud.

Were those states able to certify or not?

 

[skyorbit]

When do we find out the clark county stuff?

 

[bbwarfield]

Soon as they can understand why all those ballots have "RomnPaulmney" and "Mitt Raulmeny" written in two inks.... apparently Romney is hard to spell according to the judges.

 

[puppetmaster]

All i know is low turnout along with what i saw from the precincts around me is that we should have done better. Mu h better

 

[Jtorsella]

@RalstonFlash
Jon Ralston
State staffers were dispatched to help county (that didn't help), Paul folks swarmed office at 3 AM, campaign attorneys involved. #nvcaucus

 

[pauliticalfan]

All i know is low turnout along with what i saw from the precincts around me is that we should have done better. Mu h better

I think we did do better, it's just not being reported. I'm still madly suspicious about Washoe County. Numbers don't match the entrance polls at all, like they do for every other region.

 

[carterm]

RalstonFlash Jon Ralston
Paul up by 300 votes over Newt in Clark with just under 10K counted. Paul would need to extend lead to 1K. Possible, but not easy. #nvcaucus

 

[carterm]

@RalstonFlash
Jon Ralston
State staffers were dispatched to help county (that didn't help), Paul folks swarmed office at 3 AM, campaign attorneys involved. #nvcaucus

glad to see campaign attorneys there.

 

[AngryCanadian]

RalstonFlash Jon Ralston
Paul up by 300 votes over Newt in Clark with just under 10K counted. Paul would need to extend lead to 1K. Possible, but not easy. #nvcaucus

So a second place could still happen?

 

[FSP-Rebel]

Just being rhetorical here but how F-ing hard is it to count names checked off on a damn card. Who's running these precincts? Have they demonstrated a 3rd grade level in math at least? My..... God

 

[MyEyesTheyBurn]

So a second place could still happen?

Absolutely. Clark has 70% of our state's population, and only 50% of that is reporting right now. Early twitter and MeetUp reports (see first 80 pages of this thread) seemed to indicate Paul was beating Gingrich in Clark precincts.

 

[sailingaway]

So a second place could still happen?

Last night Nate Silver at Five Thirty Eight put together the reported results with the Clark county entrance polls and came up with Ron being behind second by 1%. Definitely close enough to keep me interested, particularly since it didn't include the special caucus Ron won.

 

[MyEyesTheyBurn]

Just being rhetorical here but how F-ing hard is it to count names checked off on a damn card. Who's running these precincts? Have they demonstrated a 3rd grade level in math at least? My..... God

Nevada's education system is terrible. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/07/11/state-education-rankings-_n_894528.html

We'll likely be homeschooling, onlineschooling, or at the very least picking a decent charter school.