Numbers to crunch on.. [WARNING: Possible death in anticipation of Nevada may occur!]

[RileyE104]

IOWA TURNOUT
2008 = 119,188
2012 = 122,255
Paul 2008 = 11,841
Paul 2012 = 26,219 (+121.43%)


NEW HAMPSHIRE TURNOUT
2008 = 234,851
2012 = 248,448
Paul 2008 = 18,308
Paul 2012 = 56,872 (+210.64%)


SOUTH CAROLINA TURNOUT
2008 = 445,677
2012 = 603,856
Paul 2008 = 16,155
Paul 2012 = 78,362 (+385%)


FLORIDA TURNOUT
2008 = 1,949,498
2012 = 1,655,250 ** [98% of precincts reporting]
Paul 2008 = 62,887
Paul 2012 = 116,239 (+84.8%) ** [98% of precincts reporting]


A couple factors as far as Florida goes..

1) Dr. Paul did not campaign there.
2) Seniors..


Nevada WILL be different. Our future depends on it!
IMO it will be similar to New Hampshire but on the scale of a half Iowa...
In other words, if we can't win, we damn sure better come in a CLOSE second.
Third would be *acceptable* but I have to say, if Frothy comes ahead of us one more time in these upcoming states (besides Missouri) then I'll be disappointed.

 

[nc4rp]

Florida factor also -Diebold

 

[Blue]

Hopefully we can at least lock-down Maine.

 

[RileyE104]

Hopefully we can at least lock-down Maine.

Yup. I'm hoping Nevada will give us a good bump there.

 

[JimInNY]

I love number crunchers, cuz I hate crunching numbers myself. Please, keep up the good crunching! +1 rep

 

[slamhead]

Here are my numbers using the average increase in the first four contest based on a 171.21% average increase over 08. I had us at 9.3% for Florida.

Nevada 37.24
Maine 48.47
Colorado 21.70
Conn 10.85
Minn 42.55
Missouri 12.20

 

[camp_steveo]

Here are my numbers using the average increase in the first four contest based on a 171.21% average increase over 08. I had us at 9.3% for Florida.

Nevada 37.24
Maine 48.47
Colorado 21.70
Conn 10.85
Minn 42.55
Missouri 12.20

If those are correct that looks pretty damn good to me.

 

[Aratus]

seniors in FL = eisenhower republicans

 

[James Madison]

If Ron Paul wins Nevada I propose we all send a special thank you donation to the Bunny Ranch.

 

[randomname]

Here are my numbers using the average increase in the first four contest based on a 171.21% average increase over 08. I had us at 9.3% for Florida.

Nevada 37.24
Maine 48.47
Colorado 21.70
Conn 10.85
Minn 42.55
Missouri 12.20

Maine 48% would be a win, and Nevada 37% a close race for 1st too. Not bad

 

[jacmicwag]

seniors in FL = eisenhower republicans

Or seniors in Fl = johnson democrats

 

[american.swan]

Don't forget we have to win Virginia. WIN!!

 

[tennman]

If those are correct that looks pretty damn good to me.

Except for Conn. What's going on there?

 

[J_White]

numbers are great for motivation, but we need a win in the Feb caucuses.
I am hoping something good from Maine and Nevada.

 

[Nate-ForLiberty]

I love number crunchers, cuz I hate crunching numbers myself. Please, keep up the good crunching! +1 rep

anybody remember that game "Number Crunchers"? We used to play it on those old monochrome Apple computers when I was in 2nd grade or something.

 

[helmuth_hubener]

slamhead, could you post the full number breakdown ala the OP for all these states?

This coming 11 days is our time! It's do or die time for the campaign. If we win a few states, this thing will be blown wide open, the enthusiasm will explode (I know mine will!), the money will explode, and finally even the poll numbers will explode. We just need to WIN SOME STATES! And have those wins be clear and reported on the news, not esoteric process-stuff like Louisiana and Nevada last year.

This is when it all comes together! 11 days from now, if all goes well, we are all going to be loving us some Jesse Benton. Big time.

If not, well, we libertarians finally have a "thousand-year plan" so to speak. Rand Paul is in the pipeline. More will be in the pipeline after this next election. The movement is growing. Eventually we will win. The future is on our side.

 

[MyEyesTheyBurn]

anybody remember that game "Number Crunchers"? We used to play it on those old monochrome Apple computers when I was in 2nd grade or something.

Wow. I actually do remember this game. It was awesome! And it was 2nd grade for me (I was in Texas at that time).

 

[LandonCook]

2008: Mitt Romney was the winner in Nevada with 51% of the votes, with Ron Paul in second place. Half of Romney's votes came from Mormons, while two-thirds of the independent voters favored Paul.[1] According to the Las Vegas Sun, Republicans crossed over in large numbers to vote Democratic(blue Republicans);[2] CNN exit polls indicated that Republican voters made up 4% of the Democratic caucus turnout.[3]

Also: Republican candidate Mitt Romney campaigned hard in Nevada, while the other leading Republican candidates, John McCain and Mike Huckabee, focused on South Carolina during the run-up to January 19.

-wikipedia


I think we could win this.

 

[harikaried]

If Ron Paul wins Nevada I propose we all send a special thank you donation to the Bunny Ranch.

A gift is best delivered in person?

 

[Orwell]

A gift is best delivered in person?

I nominate Mr. Orwell to be the Ron Paul Forums ambassador to The Bunny Ranch. Who wants to start a chipin?