NH Results Thread

[BUSHLIED]

Interesting.

The AG's office is looking into reports that someone was attempting to conduct a poll inside voting locations in Manchester, Portsmouth and Dover. According to initial reports from moderators at those locations, voters were being asked to take a survey about issues that mattered to them. The AG's office said that isn't allowed under state law. Read more: http://livewire.wmur.com/Event/New_Hampshire_Primary_Election_Results#ixzz1j5jJaVCr

 

[SilentBull]

Another 3rd place finish in New Hampshire would be devastating. Leading in the polls in Iowa and being 2nd in polls in New Hampshire and getting to 3rd place finishes could only be described as much as that.

I disagree that it would be devastating. They're pumping guys at the last minute. They are out of guys after tonight. They can't pull that crap again. And it is clear their attacks against Ron haven't worked, so what will they do when it's Romney vs Paul???

 

[SovereignMN]

http://ohpcenter.org/editorials.php?nav=20120110a

Just found this "exit poll", have no clue whether it's legitimate or not. If it is, it looks like Huntsman is kicking some serious ass, which irritates me to no end. Thoughts on whether or not this is real?

Might be legit but remember...1) It's an unscientific poll. 2) This is a Huntsman supporter reporting the results. 3) Sounds like it was taken early in the day. The age group clearly shows that the crowd was senior. Old people wake up at 7am to vote, young people don't.

 

[Salvial]

I disagree that it would be devastating. They're pumping guys at the last minute. They are out of guys after tonight. They can't pull that crap again. And it is clear their attacks against Ron haven't worked, so what will they do when it's Romney vs Paul???

Exactly! It's important but still small change at this point. Their fodder is running out and we are staying steady - it's always been the plan!

 

[eleganz]

Just on CNN they were showing how many voters were going in undecided because they know RP is the right vote but Romney is the 'beat Obama vote'. My heart broke when I heard one of the ladies say that.

We are winning the war though, average people are weighing free-thinking vs force-fed propaganda against each other....this is nothing but good news.

We are in this for the long haul!

 

[jersdream]

http://ohpcenter.org/editorials.php?nav=20120110a

Just found this "exit poll", have no clue whether it's legitimate or not. If it is, it looks like Huntsman is kicking some serious ass, which irritates me to no end. Thoughts on whether or not this is real?

This is only one polling place, the guy seems to be an amateur..with only 33 people polled.

Huntsman gets 13 according to him
Romney gets 8
Paul gets 6
Santorum 3
Gingrich 3
Perry 1

(because of rounding one of them has one less vote....going off those %'s)

I wouldn't put much stock into it.

 

[Steve-in-NY]

I disagree that it would be devastating. They're pumping guys at the last minute. They are out of guys after tonight. They can't pull that crap again. And it is clear their attacks against Ron haven't worked, so what will they do when it's Romney vs Paul???

You forgot about Perrys surprise SC surge.

 

[ababba]

http://ohpcenter.org/editorials.php?nav=20120110a

Just found this "exit poll", have no clue whether it's legitimate or not. If it is, it looks like Huntsman is kicking some serious ass, which irritates me to no end. Thoughts on whether or not this is real?

A 33 observation poll has a "margin of error" or a 95% confidence interval 4 times as wide as a 500 observation poll (the accuracy rises with the square root of the sample size). If standard margin of error is 4%, this poll should have a 16% margin of error.

 

[Acala]

Unless Dr. Paul gets slaughtered in NH, I see more candidates dropping out and the field narrowing to Ron Paul and Romney Corp. And then it goes the distance.

 

[specsaregood]

Doesnt Paul have to WIN 5 states to force a constitutional convention or whatever its called when no one has 50% of the vote to take teh GOP convention to the 2nd round?

in that respect, iowa hasn't even been won yet. the straw poll was meaningless, ia will be won at the state convention by the delegates.

 

[bt53]

Unless Dr. Paul gets slaughtered in NH, I see more candidates dropping out and the field narrowing to Ron Paul and Romney Corp. And then it goes the distance.

This. Newt's given up on actually campaigning for himself and decided to get into a "who's more corrupt" brawl with Romney. Santorum's already slipping and isn't on the ballots in key states/lacks resources. I'd expect the media to perhaps try to pump Perry up one last time since it's been a while since he's been flavor of the week.

 

[Travlyr]

Doesnt Paul have to WIN 5 states to force a constitutional convention or whatever its called when no one has 50% of the vote to take teh GOP convention to the 2nd round?

I don't know about that. I didn't really get that said right. What I meant was that the media is irrelevant to me because I no longer believe the lies they tell about fiat money and the war economy. The mainstream media promotions are in their last days whether Ron Paul wins the GOP nomination or not. Sound money, peace, and truth will win eventually ... when enough people realize that media has duped them ... the question remaining is: When will critical mass awakening be reached?

 

[libertybrewcity]

I sense a strong second place finish for Dr Paul or a narrow 1st.

Source: I am a wizard.

 

[voytechs]

I went through this 4 years ago and was very disappointed with NH. They talk a lot about liberty, but don't walk the talk

 

[affa]

Another 3rd place finish in New Hampshire would be devastating. Leading in the polls in Iowa and being 2nd in polls in New Hampshire and getting to 3rd place finishes could only be described as much as that.

No. A second or third place finish is fine. Huntsman has no more legs than Santorum did, and will fall. The story here is one of consistency. People surge, then fall. Romney stays consistent. Ron Paul rises.

Obviously, I'd prefer a first or second place finish. But if Huntsman wins? Big deal. It'll hurt Santorum far more (for dropping 2+ places) than it hurts us (for staying solid).

 

[DRHChi]

I went through this 4 years ago and was very disappointed with NH. They talk a lot about liberty, but don't walk the talk

My impression of NH completely changed that day 4 years ago. I couldn't believe how little support they showed for Paul. "Live Free Or Die" doesn't mean much to them apparently. Lets see if they redeem themselves today but my optimism is tempered.

 

[ross11988]

No. A second or third place finish is fine. Huntsman has no more legs than Santorum did, and will fall. The story here is one of consistency. People surge, then fall. Romney stays consistent. Ron Paul rises.

Obviously, I'd prefer a first or second place finish. But if Huntsman wins? Big deal. It'll hurt Santorum far more (for dropping 2+ places) than it hurts us (for staying solid).

I disagree, the campaign needs money. It needed the million dollar days that Santorum got right after Iowa. People are losing hope. WE MUST PLACE 2ND! AND BY A GOOD MARGIN

 

[Xenophage]

I went through this 4 years ago and was very disappointed with NH. They talk a lot about liberty, but don't walk the talk

We were all extremely disappointed in NH four years ago, but you should remember that the newsletter story broke a week before the NH primary and it cost Ron Paul lots of support. We also had unrealistic expectations, with people saying over and over again how useless polls were as an indicator of what his actual vote would be, that he would outperform expectations... when the final results came in, he actually underperformed.

 

[pauliticalfan]

waltershapiroPD: Results of my very unscientific exit poll in Ward 5 in gritty Goffstown: Paul (16), Romney (9), Huntsman (7), Santorum (4). Newt/Perry: Zip.

Doesn't mean much, but hey, at least we have some votes!

 

[rodo1776]

My impression of NH completely changed that day 4 years ago. I couldn't believe how little support they showed for Paul. "Live Free Or Die" doesn't mean much to them apparently. Lets see if they redeem themselves today but my optimism is tempered.

I think that as of around 9:00Pm Eastern time tonight this may be the new New Hampshire license plate. Sadly.

http://www.flickr.com/photos/expd/6673380621/lightbox/