Next Iowa Poll

Very bad numbers. I guess we're just going to have to hope that the polls are way off.
 
I wish he was higher in the polls but if the numbers we've been getting regarding identified supporters are true, and we can get the majority to caucus, the polls are actually good news.
If the polls say 3% and the caucus is 20% it's a heck of a comeback story.
 
I figured Rand's wouldn't be amazing, but I was hoping for a Cruz crash, but that doesn't seem to be happening. A Cruz crash would be great for us I think.

Come on Trump, take him down!
 
I have overlooked the polls, and They look like garbage. They aren't high profile polls.. The Monmouth poll doesn't let me know how the poll is ran.. I don't buy the polls notion that Rand is at 0 with 18-24 year olds Lol (obviously a understatement). The loras poll doesn't provide crosstabs.
 
kbs021 said:
I have overlooked the polls, and They look like garbage. They aren't high profile polls.. The Monmouth poll doesn't let me know how the poll is ran.. I don't buy the polls notion that Rand is at 0 with 18-24 year olds Lol (obviously a understatement). The loras poll doesn't provide crosstabs.
Click to expand...

Definitely. I'm not a science denier and polls done correctly are science.. However, I don't think the MOE is anywhere near reality, it's a statistical MOE within the sample. It's not an actual indication of validity. It all depends on the pool that people are picked from to be called.

It's pretty obvious that Liberty people are far underrepresented in pretty much ALL phone-based polls. Probably overrepresented in online polls.
 
FriedChicken said:
I wish he was higher in the polls but if the numbers we've been getting regarding identified supporters are true, and we can get the majority to caucus, the polls are actually good news.
If the polls say 3% and the caucus is 20% it's a heck of a comeback story.
Click to expand...

That's one way to look at it, but it also makes it less likely that Rand will make the next debate a week from today.
 
Don't fear the polls.. Keep the faith until Iowa.. I have noticed that in these two polls we have always bee about 2 percent.. So now we are at 3 lol.. Fox News, DMR, etc. are better (Even when they underpoll Ron's old support)
 
FriedChicken said:
I wish he was higher in the polls but if the numbers we've been getting regarding identified supporters are true, and we can get the majority to caucus, the polls are actually good news.
If the polls say 3% and the caucus is 20% it's a heck of a comeback story.
Click to expand...

There were not 37K identified supporters. Some of you did not read the details. In that number, they included "maybes." For all we know, only 90% were maybe supporters hence why Rand is only polling about 5% in Iowa.
 
They're holding out to see if they can get someone to drop their campaign.
 
I don't think that any of these poll results are going to be anywhere close to accurate. I think the two campaigns with the best ground game are going to do the best: Paul and Cruz.
 
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