New NBC News-Marist Poll for Iowa and New Hampshire RP 17% in IA; 16% NH; Ties Obama in IA

[KramerDSP]

Here's the whole story. Candy Crowley asked Ron Paul about his ability to beat Obama.

Instead of using this poll or other similar polls that show Paul doing well with independents and democrats, she showed a poll of "likely Republican voters," asking them who had the best chance to beat Obama. Not surprisingly, only 4% thought he had the best chance of beating Obama.

I guess none of those surveyed had heard, from CNN for example, how he actually polls with independents and democrats. So they're hiding some great information about Ron by asking people who don't know the information what they think. A clever version of Catch-22.

This isn't the first time this technique has shown up in this election cycle, either.

Candy Crowley disgusts me. She is the absolute worst.

 

[pauliticalfan]

Why is no one mentioning that we're at 19% in Iowa, tied with Romney, now that Cain's dropped out?

 

[kylejack]

Here's the RCP matchups for general election voters (all negative against Obama):

Romney -0.9
Gingrich -5.7
Paul -7.7
Huntsman -8.7
Perry -9.6
Cain -10.2
Santorum -12.5*
Bachmann -14

*No actual RCP average, just averaged the two polls on file
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

 

[turbobrain9]

Overall positive press today about the poll. Everyone emphasizing Paul's name when they announce the results with almost zero negativity about that development...although most of the focus is on Newt and the surprise about his rise and Romney's apparent weaknesses etc..

Paul stands to pick up a few percentage points from Cain supporters and I suspect that we picked up a few extra prior to the annoucement of Cain suspending his campaign. Although I will admit that NH worries me a bit because it is a primary state, not one of Paul's strenghts, where Newt is in a solid second place...I wonder they have something lined up for NH to get to 25%??