New Iowa poll released by Rasmussen, Ron Paul in 3rd place with 16%!

[Agorism]

Any rasmussen ones lol?

 

[Gage]

Any rasmussen ones lol?

The oldest Rasmussen poll in Iowa is from October 2007:

Mitt Romney 25%, Fred Thompson 19%, Mike Huckabee 18%, Rudy Giuliani 13%, John McCain 6%, Sam Brownback 3%, Ron Paul 2%, Tom Tancredo 2%, Duncan Hunter 1%, Undecided 11%

 

[Agorism]

Paul on Intrade for Ames

Michele Bachmann to win 2011 Ames Straw Poll
Event: Winner of 2011 Ames Straw Poll (Aug 13th)
62.9%
CHANCE
Predict

Ron Paul to win 2011 Ames Straw Poll
Event: Winner of 2011 Ames Straw Poll (Aug 13th)
27.5%
CHANCE
Predict

Tim Pawlenty to win 2011 Ames Straw Poll
Event: Winner of 2011 Ames Straw Poll (Aug 13th)
15.9%
CHANCE
Predict

 

[Karsten]

The oldest Rasmussen poll in Iowa is from October 2007:

Mitt Romney 25%, Fred Thompson 19%, Mike Huckabee 18%, Rudy Giuliani 13%, John McCain 6%, Sam Brownback 3%, Ron Paul 2%, Tom Tancredo 2%, Duncan Hunter 1%, Undecided 11%

What was the polling right before the Iowa STRAW POLL back in 2007? If it's 2% or less, we should remember that we did a lot better in the actual straw poll, where we got 9.1%.

And this time, polling at 16%, with the campaign putting exponentially more resources into it?
I can't watch on Saturday. Too much pressure. Somebody call me and tell me what happened!

 

[Agorism]

Good song before bed.

 

[tsai3904]

What was the polling right before the Iowa STRAW POLL back in 2007? If it's 2% or less, we should remember that we did a lot better in the actual straw poll, where we got 9.1%.

ABC News / Washington Post Iowa GOP Presidential Caucus Poll

Iowa
7/26 - 7/31/07 (11 days before straw poll)
402 likely caucus voters
+/-5.0%

Romney 26%
Giuliani 14%
F Thompson 13%
Huckabee 8%
McCain 8%
Brownback 5%
Tancredo 5%
T Thompson 4%
Paul 2%
Hunter 1%

 

[Gage]

Caffeinated Thoughts, a top political blog in Iowa, commenting on the results:

http://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2011...s-poll-and-my-personal-straw-poll-prediction/

Clearly this is great news for Paul, climbing at just the right moment, a week before the straw poll takes place. And he has yet to experience the Rand-bump, as his tea party favorite son comes to visit at least two days this week.

Paul will claim victory, and rightly so for winning, but will be largely dismissed despite the win. A straw poll win may be indicative of his hard core supporters coming out to support him, but keep in mind that the Rasmussen Poll is of mainstream everyday Republicans not just hard core crazy supporters. His support among mainstream Republicans is rising and he can’t be dismissed much longer.

 

[GunnyFreedom]

Actually, with all I've seen outta Faux. That wouldn't surprise me.

It would surprise me if that WASN'T how it gets reported, actually.

 

[lucky_bg]

Caffeinated Thoughts, a top political blog in Iowa, commenting on the results:

http://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2011...s-poll-and-my-personal-straw-poll-prediction/

You forget to add this:

Finally my personal shot in the dark prediction for the Iowa Straw Poll. Note this is my personal prediction, not that of Caffeinated Thoughts. It is just fun to look back on afterwards:
Paul 24%
Bachmann 22%
Pawlenty 17%
Romney 8%
Perry (write in) 7%
Santorum 7%
Palin (write in) 5%
Gingrich 5%
Cain 3%
McCotter 1%
Huntsman 1%

 

[pauliticalfan]

If RP does indeed win the straw poll, which should be our main focus from now until then, then this poll would validate a win. It shows that he has solid, rising support among traditional GOP voters and not just a "small core of supporters."

 

[Justinfrom1776]

I'm just waiting for Michele Bachmann's Howard Dean moment when she says something so insane that it will drive a large portion of her support over to our side.

 

[Justinfrom1776]

I posted this on her facebook earlier.

 

[economics102]

I posted this on her facebook earlier.

It really is amazing that her and Sarah Palin can get taken seriously.

 

[Justinfrom1776]

Sometimes I wonder if she is really a robot sent by democrats to destroy the Tea Party.

 

[Article V]

Paint Your Wagon and Come Over!

Good song before bed.

You're supporting Ron Paul AND you're referencing an obscure musical? Paint Your Wagon and come over! I think I just fell in love.

 

[Elwar]

The polls are starting to correct themselves. Ron Paul will be in 1st in time for Ames, lest the pollsters act shocked.

As for being third...that is not a bad spot to be in for a while.

Remember, when he is 1st and even throughout his presidency, he will be the target. We will be his defenders. That can wear anybody down after a while.

The first couple of years of Ronald Reagan's presidency were horrible as he made the tough corrective decisions necessary to turn things around after Carter. Ron Paul will need our support through that.

 

[KEEF]

...

The article got released on the Rasmussen Report web page this morning. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/iowa_caucus_bachmann_romney_and_paul_on_top

I sent it on to Drudge, please do as well.

Overall, just 28% of potential Iowa Caucus participants are absolutely certain of how they will vote, while the rest could change their mind. Among those who are certain of their vote, Ron Paul is on top at 27%.

Like it has been said time and time again by people, RP's support is unwavering. Momentum is picking up...keep on spreading the word, 72% of Iowa voters haven't made up their minds yet; we are going to win Iowa.

 

[pauladin]

how much are the TV ads helping?

 

[John Ames]

Let's get 1st place

 

[SilentBull]

Does anyone have a link to the April poll that had Ron at 10%? I can't find it on the Rasmussen site.