Nevada 2008 vs. 2012 County by County for 100% reporters so far

[The_Ruffneck]

Thats possible but Nevada had a 35% population increase. Thats about 700K people who moved into Nevada since 2000. Its an awful selective exodus.

rural nevada as well or just the las vegas area?

 

[Avalon]

Thats possible but Nevada had a 35% population increase. Thats about 700K people who moved into Nevada since 2000. Its an awful selective exodus.

35% from 2000 to 2010. It seems likely the housing boom brought an increase of 50% and when it cratered in '07 there began an exodus (that even continued past 2010 to today). And the young are most likely to leave because they are the most mobile and have the worst unemployment numbers.

 

[vechorik]

What time was the caucus last year? 9 AM as well?

 

[anewvoice]

With such a low voter turnout, this really was a missed opportunity. Better explanation of liquidate the debt might have helped. I've found "bring the banks to the table" has helped with that, that the next step would have been negotiation with potential foreclosures rather than ambivalence.

Of course NV had rampant speculation driving much of the boom as well.

 

[No Free Beer]

That's it...we are going to all move to Nye county and turn it into Galt's Gulch!

 

[gerryb]

Why didn't each RP supporter bring 10 friends to the caucus and then take them out to lunch or something?

The campaign does the best it can, it had the data to win and followed up with the data -- the people just didn't want to set their alarms on Saturday morning.

 

[justatrey]

In 2008, Paul got around 6000 votes in Nevada. He has done MUCH better in 2012 in every state so far, but it looks like he'll do slightly worse or at best about the same in Nevada.

 

[tbone717]

In 2008, Paul got around 6000 votes in Nevada. He has done MUCH better in 2012 in every state so far, but it looks like he'll do slightly worse or at best about the same in Nevada.

If this is the case, then we can blame this on the lack of perceived viability by the voters. When a candidate does not appear to be a viable contender for the nomination, it is extremely difficult to get new voters. Santorum is experiencing this as well (though he did not have a 2008 base).

The numbers from the entrance polling confirm this. 23% of voters made their decision "in the last few days". Of those 45% went to Mitt, 23% to Newt, 16% to Santorum, 15% to Paul.

Had Paul performed better in SC and FL, those numbers would have been higher.

 

[SCOTUSman]

Well thanks to the Nevada GOP....Washoe County is changing their numbers back to the old ones again....without explanation. I'm going to keep both numbers up, just so it doesn't get lost in their "clerical error."

 

[Mark37snj]

@The_Ruffneck + Avalon - I would normally dive into Google and dig up some more demogrphic info so we try to figure out what is going on but its now almost 24hr after the votes have been cast and we still don't have the results. Thats the real story here, demographics be damned, I wana know why its taking so long.