Maui is burning

As expected, FEMA is keeping food and supplies from being distributed to the people still trapped there.

 
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Thanks to Government, Maui's Lahaina Fire Became a Deadly Conflagration\
https://mises.org/wire/thanks-government-mauis-lahaina-fire-became-deadly-conflagration
Connor O'Keeffe (16 August 2023)

The most destructive natural disasters are never 100 percent natural. Human choices, land use, and government policies play a big role in how harmful hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, flash floods, and wildfires are to the affected communities.

And after catastrophes like the wildfire that destroyed much of the historic Hawaiian city of Lahaina last week, it’s worth taking stock of how much of the disaster was the result not of natural or accidental factors, but of policies and institutions that can be changed.

Though details are still emerging, it’s becoming clear that government failure did much to make this disaster worse—and possibly even started it. While the so-called experts are blaming climate change—and in the process demanding that government grab even more power and authority ostensibly to someday give us better weather—the destructiveness this fire was the product of an all-powerful and all-incompetent régime.

The specific origins of the fire are still being investigated, but there is much we already know. The city of Lahaina sits on the west coast of Maui, Hawaii’s second-largest island. It is surrounded by grassland, much of which the state owns.

Nearly a decade ago the Hawaii Wildfire Management Organization, a research nonprofit, warned the Hawaiian government that the area around Lahaina was extremely fire-prone due to frequent downslope winds, steep terrain, and dry grass. Little was done to address these risks. A subsequent report in 2020 added that an invasive species of exceptionally flammable grass was prevalent in the surrounding fields and that passing hurricanes created strong winds known to fuel wildfires on the islands.

Early last week, Hurricane Dora crossed the ocean south of Hawaii. By early Tuesday morning, August 8, winds as fast as sixty miles per hour were blowing down the slopes of the West Maui Mountains into Lahaina. Around sunrise, a large fault was detected in the power grid, indicating a downed power line. Twenty minutes later, the first reports of fire came in from the area around Lahainaluna Road, uphill and upwind from the city.

The area where flames were first spotted is full of electrical infrastructure, mostly operated by Hawaiian Electric, the state’s monopoly electricity supplier. This included a substation and a multitude of power lines. Most of the land in the area is owned by the State of Hawaii except for a parcel belonging to the estate of one of Hawaii’s last princesses. This parcel housed a solar farm supplying electricity to the Hawaiian Electric substation. Early last year, NPR published a glowing article about the solar project, praising it the direct result of government regulation crafted to help transition Hawaii to 100 percent renewable power by 2045.

But on the morning of August 8, as winds hammered the old wooden utility poles, this highly electrified area in the dry grasses above Lahaina was quickly becoming dangerous. Yet no formal procedure was in place to shut off sections of the grid in the face of severe fire risks. As a result, twenty-nine fully energized poles fell across West Maui that day.

But even with downed poles in the way, the first firefighters on the scene met with some early success. Around 9 a.m., the county fire department declared the fire “100 percent contained.” But the message to residents included an ominous request. The county’s water pumps were powered by electricity, much of which was frantically being turned off to deactivate the downed lines. Officials asked the public to conserve water to preserve water pressure.

But by midafternoon, a flare-up brought the fire back to life on the Lahaina Bypass, a major road that heads straight into town. The flames moved swiftly into Lahaina at 4:46 p.m., one minute after the county government finally sent out an alert to warn the city’s population, largely without power, about the flare-up that had occurred over an hour before.

To make matters worse, county officials failed to activate emergency sirens, leaving residents unaware of the danger bearing down on them. And as firefighters heroically rushed toward the flames to try and save their community, they found that there was little to no water pressure in the fire hydrants, which quickly ran dry.

With a single backed-up highway leading out of the city, many residents of Lahaina had nowhere to go. Some scrambled into the ocean to escape the smoke and flames. But in the end, many couldn’t get out. At least ninety-nine people have been confirmed dead at this writing, making this the deadliest American wildfire in over a century. In addition, 2,207 buildings were destroyed, with property damages expected to reach $5.5 billion.

To review, a power company shielded from competition by the state placed electrical infrastructure among highly flammable state-owned grass fields above the historic city of Lahaina, which the government was twice warned were highly susceptible to fire. And once a fire broke out, a combination of defective water infrastructure, terrible communication by government officials, and only one escape route doomed the people of Lahaina to the worst wildfire experienced in this country in over a hundred years.

This was government failure through and through. In Human Action, Ludwig von Mises explains that on the market, the ultimate source of profits is foresight—the ability to anticipate future conditions. And economic loss occurs when market actors fail to anticipate the future. This possibility of riches if one succeeds, and the guarantee of painful failures if one doesn’t, forces producers and service providers on the market to constantly weigh risks and opportunities.

Government immunizes itself from the profit and loss system, and therefore from much of the need to weigh risk. Sure, some county officials may resign because of this. And the share price of Hawaiian Electric may dip. But the people of Maui will be forced to keep compensating the very organizations that have failed them. And there’s nothing natural about that disaster.



Thanks to Government, Maui's Lahaina Fire Became a Deadly Conflagration by Connor O'Keeffe is licensed under CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0
 
Thanks to Government, Maui's Lahaina Fire Became a Deadly Conflagration\
https://mises.org/wire/thanks-government-mauis-lahaina-fire-became-deadly-conflagration
Connor O'Keeffe (16 August 2023)

[...]

To make matters worse, county officials failed to activate emergency sirens, leaving residents unaware of the danger bearing down on them. And as firefighters heroically rushed toward the flames to try and save their community, they found that there was little to no water pressure in the fire hydrants, which quickly ran dry.

With a single backed-up highway leading out of the city, many residents of Lahaina had nowhere to go. Some scrambled into the ocean to escape the smoke and flames. But in the end, many couldn’t get out. At least ninety-nine people have been confirmed dead at this writing, making this the deadliest American wildfire in over a century. In addition, 2,207 buildings were destroyed, with property damages expected to reach $5.5 billion.

To review, a power company shielded from competition by the state placed electrical infrastructure among highly flammable state-owned grass fields above the historic city of Lahaina, which the government was twice warned were highly susceptible to fire. And once a fire broke out, a combination of defective water infrastructure, terrible communication by government officials, and only one escape route doomed the people of Lahaina to the worst wildfire experienced in this country in over a hundred years.

This was government failure through and through. [...] Government immunizes itself from the profit and loss system, and therefore from much of the need to weigh risk. Sure, some county officials may resign because of this. And the share price of Hawaiian Electric may dip. But the people of Maui will be forced to keep compensating the very organizations that have failed them. And there’s nothing natural about that disaster.

Maui chief doesn’t regret not activating sirens during wildfire: ‘We would not have saved those people’
https://nypost.com/2023/08/16/maui-chief-doesnt-regret-not-activating-sirens-during-wildfire/
Katherine Donlevy (16 August 2023)

The head of Maui’s Emergency Management Agency asserted on Wednesday that he has no regrets about failing to activate warning sirens as the apocalyptic wildfires swept through the island — despite claims the system could have saved hundreds of lives.

Chief Herman Andaya defended his decision to only send out alerts via mobile devices, radio and television, and the county’s opt-in resident alert system after his experience and qualifications for the lofty position were called into question during a press conference held by the governor.

Andaya said that the blaring sirens are typically reserved for tsunami warnings and that Hawaiians are trained to seek higher ground when they are set off, which would have been toward the fast-moving inferno that killed 110 people.

“Had we sounded the siren that night, we’re afraid that people would have gotten mauka [toward the mountains] and if that was the case, then they would have gone into the fire,” Andaya said.

“I should also note that there are no sirens mauka, or on the mountainside, where the fire was spreading down. So even if we sounded the siren, we would not have saved those people out there on the mountainside.”

Andaya answered the question following a heated moment when a reporter cited several survivors who claimed their neighbors and loved ones could have been saved if a glaring warning had been issued before they noticed the flames barreling toward their homes.

The journalist also pointed out reports that Andaya had no prior experience in emergency management before taking on the lead role in 2017 and asked whether he could consider handing the reigns over to someone else.

“The new story talks about how I didn’t have experience before taking a job and that’s not true,” Andaya said, before listing off his history in the housing department and as a staffer in the mayor’s cabinet, during which time he often “reported to the emergency operation centers.”

“Also during a time we went through numerous trainings as well. And so to say that I am not qualified, I think is incorrect,” he added.

Both Mayor Richard Bissen and Hawaii Governor Josh Green stepped in to defend Andaya as the reporter pressed the chief, with Green agreeing that he would expect a tsunami if he heard the sirens as well.

The moderator also reminded both parties to respond to one another with “Aloha and kindness.”

Green confirmed Wednesday that at least 110 people have been killed by the devastating wildfire, though rescue teams have only searched 38% of the affected territory.

The final death toll is far from clear, officials said, and will likely continue to climb in the coming weeks.

Because of the unfathomable loss for the small island community, authorities have formed the Morgue, Investigation and Notification Taskforce (MINT) to accelerate the deceased identification and family notification process as rescue teams search through the rubble.

“This is unprecedented. No one has ever seen this that is alive today. Not this size, not this number, not this volume, and we’re not done,” Maui County Police Chief John Pelletier said.

Thousands of displaced residents have been placed in shelters, hotels and Airbnb units, while tens of thousands of homes and businesses are still without power.

President Biden — who Green said has been “very gracious” to the island community — is expected to visit the wreck Monday.

The cause of the wildfires, already the deadliest in the US in more than a century, is under investigation.
 
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Thanks to Government, Maui's Lahaina Fire Became a Deadly Conflagration\
https://mises.org/wire/thanks-government-mauis-lahaina-fire-became-deadly-conflagration
Connor O'Keeffe (16 August 2023)

[...]

To make matters worse, county officials failed to activate emergency sirens, leaving residents unaware of the danger bearing down on them. And as firefighters heroically rushed toward the flames to try and save their community, they found that there was little to no water pressure in the fire hydrants, which quickly ran dry.

With a single backed-up highway leading out of the city, many residents of Lahaina had nowhere to go. Some scrambled into the ocean to escape the smoke and flames. But in the end, many couldn’t get out. At least ninety-nine people have been confirmed dead at this writing, making this the deadliest American wildfire in over a century. In addition, 2,207 buildings were destroyed, with property damages expected to reach $5.5 billion.

To review, a power company shielded from competition by the state placed electrical infrastructure among highly flammable state-owned grass fields above the historic city of Lahaina, which the government was twice warned were highly susceptible to fire. And once a fire broke out, a combination of defective water infrastructure, terrible communication by government officials, and only one escape route doomed the people of Lahaina to the worst wildfire experienced in this country in over a hundred years.

This was government failure through and through. [...] Government immunizes itself from the profit and loss system, and therefore from much of the need to weigh risk. Sure, some county officials may resign because of this. And the share price of Hawaiian Electric may dip. But the people of Maui will be forced to keep compensating the very organizations that have failed them. And there’s nothing natural about that disaster.
https://twitter.com/jeremykauffman/status/1691857908860944403


A State Official Refused To Release Water For West Maui Fires Until It Was Too Late
The fight over water is nothing new on Maui. But the impact on the county's ability to battle fires is coming clear.
https://www.civilbeat.org/2023/08/a...er-for-west-maui-fires-until-it-was-too-late/
Stewart Yerton (15 August 2023)

With wildfires ravaging West Maui on Aug. 8, a state water official delayed the release of water that landowners wanted to help protect their property from fires. The water standoff played out over much of the day and the water didn’t come until too late.

The dispute involved the Department of Land and Natural Resources’ water resource management division and West Maui Land Co., which manages agricultural and residential subdivisions in West Maui as well as Launiupoko Irrigation Co., Launiupoko Water Co., Olowalu Water Co. and Ha’iku Town Water Association .

DLNR delayed releasing water requested by West Maui Land Co. to help prevent the spread of fire, sources familiar with the situation said.

Specifically, according to accounts of four people with knowledge of the situation, M. Kaleo Manuel, a Native Hawaiian cultural practitioner and DLNR’s deputy director for water resource management, initially balked at West Maui Land Co.’s requests for additional water to help prevent the fire from spreading to properties managed by the company.

According to the sources, Manuel wanted West Maui Land to get permission from a taro, or kalo, farm located downstream from the company’s property. Manuel eventually released water but not until after the fire had spread. It was not clear on Monday how much damage the fire did in the interim or whether homes were damaged.

Manuel declined to be interviewed for this story. DLNR’s communications office said in an email that it was supporting the state’s emergency communications response and “unable to facilitate your inquiry at this time.”

Glenn Tremble, an executive with West Maui Land Co. said to have knowledge of the dispute, did not return a request for comment.

However, Gov. Josh Green spoke candidly Monday during a press briefing about conflicts over water on Maui – although not the DLNR-West Maui Land Co. incident directly – and encouraged news media to explore the issue. The conflicts are rooted in the diversion of water by large plantations, which starved downstream users from a resource essential for Native Hawaiian agriculture, particularly the traditional practice of growing taro or kalo.

But the governor said conflicts over water are being reshaped in an age of climate change and wildfires. Now the conflict includes opponents who do not want water to be used to fight fires, the governor said.

“One thing that people need to understand especially those from far away is that there’s been a great deal of water conflict on Maui for many years,” Green said. “It’s important that we’re honest about this. People have been fighting against the release of water to fight fires. I’ll leave that to you to explore.”

“We have a difficult time on Maui and other rural areas getting enough water for houses, for our people, for any response,” Green added. “But it’s important we start being honest. There are currently people still fighting in our state giving us water access to fight and prepare for fires even as more storms arise.”

Green said the state is in the midst of a “comprehensive review” by Attorney General Anne Lopez of decisions made before and during the firefighting efforts.

“There will be multiple reviews at every level,” he said.

In 2022, two Maui senators, Gil Keith-Agaran and Lynne DeCoite, introduced a measure to push DLNR to allow fresh water to be used to fight fires and pointed to West Maui as being particularly vulnerable.

The bill noted that “in 2019, West Maui suffered from an active fire season in which wildfires scorched twenty-five thousand acres of land.” It would have required DLNR to “cooperate with the counties and reservoir owners to develop protocols and agreements for the use of reservoir waters for fire safety purposes.”

Specifically, the measure said, “The protocols and agreements shall address the emergency use of reservoir waters for prevention, control, and extinguishment of fires while taking into account the various competing uses of reservoir waters.”

The bill died without a hearing.
 
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Every time government is this incompetent, it pays to wonder if they weren't working at it. Asking that question paid dividends after 9/11. I wonder how much land values have dropped in this paradise?

https://twitter.com/EcommunistForum/status/1692003889955123358

 
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Watch this and wait for the HUGE FLASH. It is enormous in size and white as white gets.
They claim it's downed power lines that did it.
Don't know about you, but I've seen plenty of downed power lines. Never did THAT.

 
Watch this and wait for the HUGE FLASH. It is enormous in size and white as white gets.
They claim it's downed power lines that did it.
Don't know about you, but I've seen plenty of downed power lines. Never did THAT.



Seen that a bunch of times.



Of course, I wish the Marxist media organ would have focused on the possible electrical short, instead of 5 minutes of death porn.
 
Watch this and wait for the HUGE FLASH. It is enormous in size and white as white gets.
They claim it's downed power lines that did it.
Don't know about you, but I've seen plenty of downed power lines. Never did THAT.



This is the view from a boat

42244412292_5af89e99a6_k.jpg
 
And once a fire broke out, a combination of defective water infrastructure, terrible communication by government officials, and only one escape route doomed the people of Lahaina to the worst wildfire experienced in this country in over a hundred years.

The description of this fire is almost identical to the 2018 Camp Fire (Paradise). Wind comes down the hill through flammable grass and trees, with hardly any escape route.

Named after Camp Creek Road, its place of origin,[14] the fire started on Thursday, November 8, 2018, in Northern California's Butte County. Ignited by a faulty electric transmission line, the fire originated above several communities and an east wind drove the fire downhill through developed areas. After exhibiting extreme fire spread, fireline intensity, and spotting behaviors through the rural community of Concow, an urban firestorm formed in the foothill town of Paradise.
...
The Camp Fire was the deadliest wildfire in the United States since the Cloquet fire in 1918 until it was surpassed by the Lāhainā fire's 106 fatalities in 2023.
...
In 2005, the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (Cal Fire) released a fire management plan for the region, which warned that the town of Paradise was at risk for an ember-driven conflagration similar to the Oakland firestorm of 1991.[30] The report stated, "the greatest risk to the ridge communities is from an east wind driven fire that originates above the communities and blows downhill through developed areas."[30]

The Camp Fire started in an area that had experienced 13 large wildfires since 1999.
 
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Thanks to Government, Maui's Lahaina Fire Became a Deadly Conflagration\
https://mises.org/wire/thanks-government-mauis-lahaina-fire-became-deadly-conflagration
Connor O'Keeffe (16 August 2023)

[...]

To review, a power company shielded from competition by the state placed electrical infrastructure among highly flammable state-owned grass fields above the historic city of Lahaina, which the government was twice warned were highly susceptible to fire. And once a fire broke out, a combination of defective water infrastructure, terrible communication by government officials, and only one escape route doomed the people of Lahaina to the worst wildfire experienced in this country in over a hundred years.

This was government failure through and through. [...] Government immunizes itself from the profit and loss system, and therefore from much of the need to weigh risk. Sure, some county officials may resign because of this. And the share price of Hawaiian Electric may dip ["In the wake of the fires, the utility was given a junk rating by S&P as stocks plunged to 49 percent", per the article below - OB]. But the people of Maui will be forced to keep compensating the very organizations that have failed them. And there’s nothing natural about that disaster.

https://twitter.com/RealSpikeCohen/status/1692415162702053651
UszdfNT.png


Hawaiian Electric focused obsessively on renewable energy while only spending $245,000 on wildfire safety
- Hawaiian Electric knew about the threat of wildfires but waited for years to act
- They focused energy on renewables - only investing $245,000 on wildfire safety
- The company said it would investigate any role its infrastructure may have played in the Maui wildfires and would cooperate with a separate probe

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...-energy-spending-245-000-wildfire-safety.html
[archive link: https://archive.li/RKbel]
Aneeta Bhole (17 August 2023)

Hawaii's largest electricity supplier prioritized its pursuit of renewable energy over wildfire prevention, regulatory filings show.

In the wake of the devastating Maui wildfires that killed at least 111 people in Lahaina and left hundreds more unaccounted for, questions are swirling around the role the island's major utility company played in the disaster.

Hawaiian Electric, which provides power to 95 percent of locals, concluded during the 2019 wildfires that it needed to do more to prevent its power lines from emitting sparks.

It vowed to conduct drone surveys to identify areas vulnerable to wildfires and determine how to help keep residents and infrastructure safe.

But four years later, very little had followed and only $245,000, between 2019 and 2022, had been invested on wildfire-specific projects on the island, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing regulatory filings.

Hawaiian Electric instead focused on a push to convert to renewables after a 2008 spike in oil prices as it relies on petroleum imports for 80 percent of its energy supply.

In 2015, lawmakers passed legislation mandating that the state derive 100 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2045, the first such requirement in the U.S.

Hawaiian Electric revealed in 2017 that it would reach the goal five years ahead of schedule but that focus may have come at the cost of fire mitigation according to some experts.

Their dedication to the cause has been linked to the fires and why they may face financial ruin and stare down the barrel of pending litigation.

Crews are still scouring the charred remains of the more than 2,000 burnt homes and businesses, according to Maui Police Chief John Pelletier.

'Realize that the responders that are going out there are recovering their loved ones and members of their families,' Pelletier said.

Though the cause of the blaze is still unclear, Hawaiian Electric is facing a bulk of the scrutiny for not shutting down power lines when high winds created dangerous fire conditions.

They've agreed to investigate their role and said they would cooperate with a separate probe into the fire launched by Hawaii's attorney general last week.

'We all believe it's important to understand what happened. And I think we all believe it's important to make sure it doesn't happen again,' Hawaiian Electric's chief executive, Shelee Kimura said.

Hawaiian Electric also told the WSJ that routine utility work, including trimming or removing trees and upgrading, replacing and inspecting equipment is how they kept wildfire risk at a minimum.

It said it has spent about $84 million on maintenance and tree work in Maui County since 2018.

DailyMail.com has contacted Hawaiian Electric about its current spending on renewables to date and questioned what proportion of the work force are dedicated to reducing emissions by their 2045 goal.

In the wake of the fires, the utility was given a junk rating by S&P as stocks plunged to 49 percent

Proposed class action lawsuits were filed on Saturday in state courts to represent thousands of Hawaii residents affected by the fires that left thousands homeless and Lahaina in ruins.

Lahaina residents in one of the lawsuits claimed Hawaiian Electric is responsible for the fires after failing to shut off power lines despite warnings from the National Weather Service that high winds could blow those lines down and spark fast-spreading wildfires.

Several reports have surfaced detailing allegations that the company's failure to maintain its grid properly resulted in the disaster. Videos have also surfaced on Facebook which purport to show powerlines entangled with overgrown trees and vegetation.

Footage of a powerline downed during a storm has also emerged in the wake of the tragedy.

A video, captured at the Maui Bird Conservation Center, near Makawao, appears to show a bright flash in the woods at the exact time ten sensors recorded a significant incident in Hawaiian Electric's grid on August 7.

While the Makawao fire had nothing to do with the inferno that devastated the historic town of Lahaina, it was the first of several reported on Maui on August 7.

Whisker Labs, a company that uses a sensor network to monitor electric grids across the United States, told she Washington Post the bright light was probably an 'arc flash,' which happens when a power line 'faults.'

'This is strong confirmation — based on real data — that utility grid faults were likely the ignition source for multiple wildfires on Maui,' Bob Marshall, the founder and CEO of Whisker Labs, told The Washington Post.

PG&E, the Northern California utility giant, sought bankruptcy protection in 2019 after power lines ignited a series of major fires.

Hawaiian Electric officials have been in talks with PG&E counterparts according to the WSJ seeking legal advice on how to manage the fall out.

Despite vowing not to make the same mistake as PG&E, Hawaiian Electric took years to take significant action on wildfires and during that period had focused their attention on a state-mandated shift to renewables.

The risk of wildfires has been known for years with 39,000 acres scorched in 2019 compared to 150 in 1999, according to data compiled by the Hawaii Wildfire Management Organization.

The group released several reports noting the increased dangers because of invasive plants that have taken over and nearly a quarter of the island covered in invasive grasses and shrubs.

In 2018, Hurricane Lane helped fuel fires that burned more than 2,000 acres on Maui, the year after, 9,000 acres were reduced to ash prompting hundreds of evacuations.

At the back of the 2019 fires, Hawaiian Electric released a statement saying it would install heavier, insulated conductors on Maui and Oahu to minimize the risk of sparks when winds picked up.

It added that it would install technology to detect disruptions when the conductors came into contact with vegetation or each other.

It also said it would apply fire retardant on poles in risky areas and consider installing cameras and other devices to monitor weather conditions during fire season.

Over the next two years, filings with the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission, which approves utility projects and spending, only heard of wildfire mitigation in passing.

Mina Morita, who chaired the state utilities commission from 2011 to 2015 said while 'there was concern for wildfire risk, politically, the focus was on electricity generation.'

Doug McLeod, a consultant who served for several years as the Maui county energy commissioner said the drive to reach renewable goals was also felt by private energy companies working with Hawaiian Electric.

'Looking back with hindsight, the business opportunities were on the generation side, and the utility was going out for bid with all these big renewable-energy projects,' he told WSJ.

'But in retrospect, it seems clear, we weren't as focused on these fire risks as we should have been.'

A 2020 management audit found its enterprise risk analysis was largely focused on financial risk and had limited business and operational risk consideration.

It also found that the division which oversaw power line operations had 'significant management problems.'

It wasn't until 2022 that Hawaiian Electric sought regulatory permission to raise rates to fund plans to prepare the grid for climate change-related stresses, including wildfires.

It said it planned to spend about $190 million across Hawaii on protective measures - but said it wouldn't start work until the state had approved the proposal to recoup costs from customers.

In a filing in June, the commission said: 'In light of the asserted urgency of these transmission and distribution resiliency upgrades, why did Hawaiian Electric not begin to initiate some of these projects sooner?'

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