- Joined
- Jul 13, 2007
- Messages
- 63,522
Reasons Roy Moore lost, in order of importance:
1. Weak candidate right from the start.
2. Intensive smear campaign.
3. Establishment GOP turning on him.
4. Neocons turning on him and putting up shill write-in candidates.
5. Democrat get out the vote efforts (including fear mongering).
6. Last and very much least, possibly some minor vote fraud (out of State voters?).
Without 1 and 2, he wins.
Without 2, 3 doesn't happen, he still wins.
4, 5, 6 happen no matter what, but would have little effect without 1, 2, 3.
1. Weak candidate right from the start.
2. Intensive smear campaign.
3. Establishment GOP turning on him.
4. Neocons turning on him and putting up shill write-in candidates.
5. Democrat get out the vote efforts (including fear mongering).
6. Last and very much least, possibly some minor vote fraud (out of State voters?).
Without 1 and 2, he wins.
Without 2, 3 doesn't happen, he still wins.
4, 5, 6 happen no matter what, but would have little effect without 1, 2, 3.