Irish Bookmaker Odds to Win Iowa: Gingrich 8-15, Paul 10-3, Romney 4-1

yes ,some people don't know that Ron Paul can actually win,tv and radio never really say "Ron Paul is favored to win in Iowa",more feel safer with the newt,so A FEW more people bet on the safer newt,simple.
Some are betting on Paul thou or he would not be second.
 
This is the history of the Intrade market. They never had Bachman over 20% and never had Cain over 10%. That is far more accurate than the polls at the time. Perry fell pretty quick once it became obvious he couldn't debate.



None of this means Paul cannot win. It means that people are giving Ron Paul a 1/17 chance of getting the nomination. It is our job to make sure it happens.
 
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