rp08orbust
Member
- Joined
- Dec 20, 2007
- Messages
- 4,803
.
Previous Iowa Robopolls
Please see the thread from 6/30/2011 for an explanation of why I'm doing these robopolls.
6/30/2011
7/1/2011
7/6/2011
7/7/2011
Robopolling Account
See http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting for full accounting of the project.
Current Balances (as of 7/10/2011):
PayPay: 795.11
CallFire: 9.07
Dynamic Interactive: -4.22
NeoSpeech (Words): 251
I'll be doing a ton of robopolling on Monday!
Purchase Ron Paul Phone Lists
I am currently selling phone numbers of those who identified themselves as Ron Paul supporters in robopolls; see http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting for the current price per phone number. These phone numbers are excellent for calling to find Ron Paul supporters interested in attending the Ames straw poll on August 13.
If you want to purchase these phone numbers, you can make a payment directly to my PayPal account, r gear y iii at gmail dot com. If you describe it as a Personal Transfer from your PayPal balance or bank account, PayPal charges no fee (DO NOT describe it as payment for a good or service). Do not describe it as a purchase or else I could be charged an international transaction fee. If you cannot pay me without incurring a fee to you or myself, then consider using Amazon Payments to make the payment (my account email address is the same as my PayPal email address): https://payments.amazon.com/sdui/sdui/index.htm . In your PayPal or Amazon Payment note, please indicate your RPF username; otherwise I will use your initials in the public robopoll project accounting unless you request to be anonymous.
Each list of phone numbers you purchase is guaranteed to be unique from any other list I sell (i.e., the same phone number will not be sold more than once). Once I have conducted the robopolls necessary to fill your order, I will send the list of phone numbers as an attached Excel file to the email address of your choice (e.g., your own, Steve's, etc). You are welcome to share your lists with others.
Today's Samples
I am currently using a strategy that does not rely on the Iowa voter database. I cannot describe my polling sample publicly without giving my strategy away to competing campaigns.
The questions
My poll asks the following four questions:
Question 1
Question 2
Question 3
Question 4
Results (Updated 7/10/2011)
Sailingaway has suggested that I not post the candidate percentages publicly because the information could be useful to opposing candidates. While the information makes these posts interesting, he may be right, so all I will announce is the number of Ron Paul supporters identified, which is of course the focus of the robopolling.
When I started this post on Friday, I had not actually downloaded the spreadsheets of polling results yet because it seemed that Dynamic Interactive had locked me out of that area of the website due to my credit going negative (it actually hadn't locked me out). I inferred from some statistics showing digits pressed by call recipients that Ron Paul (number 7) had received 133 votes. Actually, he only received 110 votes. There were 23 cases of people pressing the number 7 during the call intro before hanging up. At least, that is the conclusion I've drawn from calling two people who were shown to have pressed '7' without the system registering votes for Ron (they both said they hung up immediately upon realizing it was a robocall). It is strange, however, that there seem to be a lot more erroneous '7' entries than for any other number. Could it be another conspiracy against Ron Paul?!?!
Costs
24,155 Iowa telephones were called at a cost of $239.37 in credit at Dynamic Interactive. That's $2.18 per identified Ron Paul supporter. I consider this a huge success due to the change in strategy prompted by yesterday's somewhat disappointing results. With the new strategy, I'm confident that I'll be able to identify Ron Paul supporters at a rate of about $2 each for quite some time. The main obstacle to adding huge numbers to Ron Paul's Ames straw poll turnout now will not be exhausting his favorable demographics (I am no longer limited to information in the Iowa voter database), but funding. Thus far I have been encouraging people to max out with the official campaign first, but I suspect that with this change in strategy, we'll be giving the campaign a run for its money in terms of efficiently identifying Ron Paul supporters for the Ames straw poll and Iowa caucuses. The sooner I can complete a pass through my new phone list, the more likely it will be I can make a second pass through the list and re-dial numbers that responded with busy signals, answering machines, etc the first time. There needs to be some gap between each attempt in order to minimize the chance of any blowback from my highly unorthodox (but so far successful) new strategy.
The Bottom Line
After 7/8/2011, a total of 207 Ron Paul supporters have been identified through robopolling. The total cost, calculated from http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting by adding up all sales ($1,405.12) and subtracting total current balances ($799.96), is $605.16. That's $2.92 per identified Ron Paul supporter since I began robopolling.
Previous Iowa Robopolls
Please see the thread from 6/30/2011 for an explanation of why I'm doing these robopolls.
6/30/2011
7/1/2011
7/6/2011
7/7/2011
Robopolling Account
See http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting for full accounting of the project.
Current Balances (as of 7/10/2011):
PayPay: 795.11
CallFire: 9.07
Dynamic Interactive: -4.22
NeoSpeech (Words): 251
I'll be doing a ton of robopolling on Monday!
Purchase Ron Paul Phone Lists
I am currently selling phone numbers of those who identified themselves as Ron Paul supporters in robopolls; see http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting for the current price per phone number. These phone numbers are excellent for calling to find Ron Paul supporters interested in attending the Ames straw poll on August 13.
If you want to purchase these phone numbers, you can make a payment directly to my PayPal account, r gear y iii at gmail dot com. If you describe it as a Personal Transfer from your PayPal balance or bank account, PayPal charges no fee (DO NOT describe it as payment for a good or service). Do not describe it as a purchase or else I could be charged an international transaction fee. If you cannot pay me without incurring a fee to you or myself, then consider using Amazon Payments to make the payment (my account email address is the same as my PayPal email address): https://payments.amazon.com/sdui/sdui/index.htm . In your PayPal or Amazon Payment note, please indicate your RPF username; otherwise I will use your initials in the public robopoll project accounting unless you request to be anonymous.
Each list of phone numbers you purchase is guaranteed to be unique from any other list I sell (i.e., the same phone number will not be sold more than once). Once I have conducted the robopolls necessary to fill your order, I will send the list of phone numbers as an attached Excel file to the email address of your choice (e.g., your own, Steve's, etc). You are welcome to share your lists with others.
Today's Samples
I am currently using a strategy that does not rely on the Iowa voter database. I cannot describe my polling sample publicly without giving my strategy away to competing campaigns.
The questions
My poll asks the following four questions:
Question 1
Good evening, this is Robert. I'd like to know which candidate you currently support for president in 2012. Please enter: One for Barack Obama. Two for Mitt Romney. Three for Michele Bachmann. Four for Tim Pawlenty. Five for Sarah Palin. Six for Rick Perry. Seven for Ron Paul. Or zero for other or undecided. Once again, please enter. One for Barack Obama. Two for Mitt Romney. Three for Michele Bachmann. Four for Tim Pawlenty. Five for Sarah Palin. Six for Rick Perry. Seven for Ron Paul. Or zero for other or undecided.
Question 2
Thank you. Next, please indicate your voter registration status in Iowa by entering: Zero if you are not registered to vote in Iowa. One for Republican. Two for Democrat. Or Three for Independent. Once again, please indicate your voter registration status in Iowa by entering: Zero if you are not registered to vote in Iowa. One for Republican. Two for Democrat. Or Three for Independent.
Question 3
Thank you. Next, please indicate your age by entering: One if you are 29 or younger. Two if you are between 30 and 44. Three if you are between 45 and 59. Or Four if you are 60 or older. Once again, please indicate your age by entering: One if you are 29 or younger. Two if you are between 30 and 44. Three if you are between 45 and 59. Or Four if you are 60 or older.
Question 4
Next, please indicate your gender by entering: One for male. Or two for female. Once again, please indicate your gender by entering: One for male. Or two for female.
Results (Updated 7/10/2011)
Sailingaway has suggested that I not post the candidate percentages publicly because the information could be useful to opposing candidates. While the information makes these posts interesting, he may be right, so all I will announce is the number of Ron Paul supporters identified, which is of course the focus of the robopolling.
When I started this post on Friday, I had not actually downloaded the spreadsheets of polling results yet because it seemed that Dynamic Interactive had locked me out of that area of the website due to my credit going negative (it actually hadn't locked me out). I inferred from some statistics showing digits pressed by call recipients that Ron Paul (number 7) had received 133 votes. Actually, he only received 110 votes. There were 23 cases of people pressing the number 7 during the call intro before hanging up. At least, that is the conclusion I've drawn from calling two people who were shown to have pressed '7' without the system registering votes for Ron (they both said they hung up immediately upon realizing it was a robocall). It is strange, however, that there seem to be a lot more erroneous '7' entries than for any other number. Could it be another conspiracy against Ron Paul?!?!

Costs
24,155 Iowa telephones were called at a cost of $239.37 in credit at Dynamic Interactive. That's $2.18 per identified Ron Paul supporter. I consider this a huge success due to the change in strategy prompted by yesterday's somewhat disappointing results. With the new strategy, I'm confident that I'll be able to identify Ron Paul supporters at a rate of about $2 each for quite some time. The main obstacle to adding huge numbers to Ron Paul's Ames straw poll turnout now will not be exhausting his favorable demographics (I am no longer limited to information in the Iowa voter database), but funding. Thus far I have been encouraging people to max out with the official campaign first, but I suspect that with this change in strategy, we'll be giving the campaign a run for its money in terms of efficiently identifying Ron Paul supporters for the Ames straw poll and Iowa caucuses. The sooner I can complete a pass through my new phone list, the more likely it will be I can make a second pass through the list and re-dial numbers that responded with busy signals, answering machines, etc the first time. There needs to be some gap between each attempt in order to minimize the chance of any blowback from my highly unorthodox (but so far successful) new strategy.
The Bottom Line
After 7/8/2011, a total of 207 Ron Paul supporters have been identified through robopolling. The total cost, calculated from http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?302597-Robopoll-Project-Accounting by adding up all sales ($1,405.12) and subtracting total current balances ($799.96), is $605.16. That's $2.92 per identified Ron Paul supporter since I began robopolling.
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