Iowa PPP Poll 12/18: Paul 23%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 14%

Havax · Dec 18, 2011

Paul 23% (+2)
Romney 20% (+4)
Gingrich 14% (-8)
Bachmann 10% (-1)

Perry 10% (+1)
Santorum 10% (+2)
Huntsman 4% (-1)
Johnson 2% (+1)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-leads-in-iowa.html

Iowa
12/16 - 12/18
597 likely caucus voters
+/-4.0%

[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[TD]

8/19
8/21

[/TD]
[TD]

5/27
5/30

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]

23

[/TD][TD]

21

[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

19

[/TD][TD]

26

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

27

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

6

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]

4

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

4

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

3

[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Johnson[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

0

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Ron Paul Crosstabs:

[TABLE="width: 100"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[TD]

8/19
8/21

[/TD]
[TD]

5/27
5/30

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]18-29[/TD][TD]

38

[/TD][TD]

42

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][TD]

36

[/TD][TD]

38

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]30-45[/TD][TD]

31

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]46-65[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]>65[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Man[/TD][TD]

27

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

21

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Woman[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Second Choice:

[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

3

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Johnson[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Newt Gingrich's campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa. He's at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.

Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two weeks in a row. His share of the vote has gone from 27% to 22% to 14%. And there's been a large drop in his personal favorability numbers as well from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to now -1 (46/47). Negative ads over the last few weeks have really chipped away at Gingrich's image as being a strong conservative- now only 36% of voters believe that he has 'strong principles,' while 43% think he does not.

Paul's ascendancy is a sign that perhaps campaigns do matter at least a little, in a year where there has been a lot of discussion about whether they still do in Iowa. 22% of voters think he's run the best campaign in the state compared to only 8% for Gingrich and 5% for Romney. The only other candidate to hit double digits on that question is Bachmann at 19%. Paul also leads Romney 26-5 (with Gingrich at 13%) with the 22% of voters who say it's 'very important' that a candidate spends a lot of time in Iowa. Finally Paul leads Romney 29-19 among the 26% of likely voters who have seen one of the candidates in person.

Paul's base of support continues to rely on some unusual groups for a Republican contest. Among voters under 45 he's at 33% to 16% for Romney and 11% for Gingrich. He's really going to need that younger than normal electorate because with seniors Romney's blowing him out 31-15 with Gingrich coming in 2nd at 18%. Paul is also cleaning up 35-14 with the 24% of voters who identify as either Democrats or independents. Romney is actually ahead 22-19 with GOP voters. Young people and non-Republicans are an unusual coalition to hang your hat on in Iowa, and it will be interesting to see if Paul can actually pull it off.

Let's roll.

truthdivides · Dec 18, 2011

linx?

jsingh1022 · Dec 18, 2011

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-leads-in-iowa.html

CELEBRATION !!!!!!!!!!!!

Lavitz · Dec 18, 2011

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-leads-in-iowa.html

dskalkowski · Dec 18, 2011

Catching my breath.

FSP-Rebel · Dec 18, 2011

thou shalt not like

CrissyNY · Dec 18, 2011

So happy!!! Now I can sleep well!

Oh, and I am going to drudge it too!

thehungarian · Dec 18, 2011

Holy shit.

jsingh1022 · Dec 18, 2011

I need to go to sleep for work but we need to spread this link all over the place... send it to every media outlet, journalist, facebook, twitter...

TheDrakeMan · Dec 18, 2011

Wow amazing!

1stAmendguy · Dec 18, 2011

Is this real life?

opinionatedfool · Dec 18, 2011

Omg. This is freaking awsome. Ron Paul 2012!!!!.!

Eryxis · Dec 18, 2011

Holy crap, this is good. We will probably start seeing some negatives coming at us now.

TXcarlosTX · Dec 18, 2011

AMAZING!!!

William R · Dec 18, 2011

Fantastic!!

FSP-Rebel · Dec 18, 2011

who Paul?? never heard of em

tsai3904 · Dec 18, 2011

PPP Poll - Iowa Caucus / Ron Paul in 1st at 23%

Iowa
12/16 - 12/18
597 likely caucus voters
+/-4.0%

[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[TD]

8/19
8/21

[/TD]
[TD]

5/27
5/30

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]

23

[/TD][TD]

21

[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

19

[/TD][TD]

26

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

27

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

6

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]

4

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

4

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

3

[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Johnson[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

0

[/TD][TD]

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Ron Paul Crosstabs:

[TABLE="width: 100"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[TD]

8/19
8/21

[/TD]
[TD]

5/27
5/30

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]18-29[/TD][TD]

38

[/TD][TD]

42

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][TD]

36

[/TD][TD]

38

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]30-45[/TD][TD]

31

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][TD]

25

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]46-65[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

16

[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]>65[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Man[/TD][TD]

27

[/TD][TD]

22

[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

21

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Woman[/TD][TD]

18

[/TD][TD]

20

[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Second Choice:

[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]

12/16
12/18

[/TD]
[TD]

12/11
12/13

[/TD]
[TD]

12/3
12/5

[/TD]
[TD]

10/7
10/10

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]

15

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

14

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][TD]

17

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

13

[/TD][TD]

11

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

12

[/TD][TD]

10

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

8

[/TD][TD]

9

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

7

[/TD][TD]

5

[/TD][TD]

3

[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Johnson[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][TD]

2

[/TD][TD]

1

[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

JamesButabi · Dec 18, 2011

Hoping to see NH follow suit and at least get a boost

Student Of Paulism · Dec 18, 2011

Heh good stuff man...time to attack that corporate shark, Romney now

rp08orbust · Dec 18, 2011

I hope all the tubers are ready to capture the epic head explosions from the neocon punditry today.

Iowa PPP Poll 12/18: Paul 23%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 14%

Member

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