Iowa: Gingrich 22, Paul 21, Romney 16, Bachmann 11, Perry 9, Santorum 8, Huntsman 5

[pauliticalfan]

Donate, phone bank, we can do it!

I wanna see a Drudge Report "Shock Poll" headline though lol

 

[Pennsylvania]

never thought i'd see the day

 

[seawolf]

Gingrich collasping in the Gallup National Daily Tracking Poll as well - DOWN 6% - from 37% to 31% in just one week!!!!

 

[TER]

wiiiiiiiiining!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[IndianaPolitico]

YES! This makes we want to go spam an internet poll! YEAH! We can win!

 

[wgadget]

Someone send the link to Fox News...They're still quoting Paul 10% in Iowa. LOL What a joke they are.

 

[szczebrzeszyn]

Amazing results! What a difference compared to 2007. And he finally broke 20%. Just wow!

 

[harikaried]

Saturday debate boost for Gingrich and Paul?

For those who said they watched the Saturday debate:

Gingrich: 26 (vs 22 base)
Paul: 24 (21)
Romney: 16 (15)
Bachmann: 9 (11)

 

[LibertyDreckman]

I thought we didn't look too positively on PPP. Why are we doing this different today??

 

[1836]

Iowa: Gingrich 22, Paul 21, Romney 16, Bachmann 11, Perry 9, Santorum 8, Huntsman 5, Johnson 1

EDIT: Just tweeted by PPP

2nd Edit for more info: Among Iowa voters whose minds are totally made up: Paul 29, Gingrich 21, Romney 18, Bachmann 11

WHOA!!!!!

 

[mwkaufman]

Amongst voters who view issues as more important than electability:

28% Paul
17% Gingrich
14% Bachmann
10% Romney

 

[TheState]

PPP Tweet:

52% of likely voters in Iowa claim to have watched last Saturday's debate...amazing impact this cycle

 

[TheState]

PPP Tweet:

52% of likely voters in Iowa claim to have watched last Saturday's debate...amazing impact this cycle

 

[puppetmaster]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/blog/

Paul closes in on Gingrich

There has been some major movement in the Republican Presidential race in Iowa over the last week, with what was a 9 point lead for Newt Gingrich now all the way down to a single point. Gingrich is at 22% to 21% for Paul with Mitt Romney at 16%, Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry at 9%, Rick Santorum at 8%, Jon Huntsman at 5%, and Gary Johnson at 1%.

Gingrich has dropped 5 points in the last week and he's also seen a significant decline in his favorability numbers. Last week he was at +31 (62/31) and he's now dropped 19 points to +12 (52/40). The attacks on him appear to be taking a heavy toll- his support with Tea Party voters has declined from 35% to 24%.

Paul meanwhile has seen a big increase in his popularity from +14 (52/38) to +30 (61/31). There are a lot of parallels between Paul's strength in Iowa and Barack Obama's in 2008- he's doing well with new voters, young voters, and non-Republican voters:

-59% of likely voters participated in the 2008 Republican caucus and they support Gingrich 26-18. But among the 41% of likely voters who are 'new' for 2012 Paul leads Gingrich 25-17 with Romney at 16%. Paul is doing a good job of bringing out folks who haven't done this before.

-He's also very strong with young voters. Among likely caucus goers under 45 Paul is up 30-16 on Gingrich. With those over 45, Gingrich leads him 26-15 with Romney at 17%.

-Among Republicans Gingrich leads Paul 25-17. But with voters who identify as Democrats or independents, 21% of the electorate in a year with no action on the Democratic side, Paul leads Gingrich 34-14 with Romney at 17%.

Young voters, independents, and folks who haven't voted in caucuses before is an unusual coalition for a Republican candidate...the big question is whether these folks will really come out and vote...if they do, we could be in for a big upset.

Paul's supporters are considerably more committed to him than Gingrich's are. 77% of current Paul voters say they're definitely going to vote for him, compared to only 54% for Gingrich. Romney has much more solid support than Gingrich as well, 67% of his voters saying they're with him for the long haul. Among only voters who say their mind's totally made up, 29% support Paul to 21% for Gingrich, 18% for Romney, and 11% for Bachmann.

 

[brandon]

OH YEA!

 

[Bigvick]

Paul could have been this high for weeks. We all know the polls only start to become accurate when they start to be rated......

 

[Darthbrooklyn]

 

[tsai3904]

Ron Paul is picking up support as second choice too, which is also important.

 

[sailingaway]

If this is true. Wouldn't Johnson supporters through their support behind Paul if he's that low with no chance of getting delegates?

This means that really we're tied with Gingrich?

Tracy

People who are staying with Johnson even NOW when he is openly discussing going to the Libertarian party have to have irreconcilable differences with Ron.

 

[LibertyEagle]

wooohoooo!!!