Insider Advantage Iowa: Romney 22.7%, Paul 22.4%, Santorum 18%

[jersdream]

Romney 22.7%
Paul 22.4%
Santorum 18%
Gingrich 16.1%
Perry 9.6%
Bachmann 5.8%
Huntsman 1.8%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_Iowa_0102.pdf

 

[Jtorsella]

Good. That is close enough for a win.

 

[bluesc]

Since 12/28:

Romney +6%
Paul +5%
Santorum +5%
Gingrich -1%
Perry -1%
Bachmann -6%
Huntsman -1%

Lol @ Bachmann.

 

[jersdream]

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 400"]
[TR]
[TD]Name[/TD]
[TD]1/1[/TD]
[TD]12/28[/TD]
[TD]Net[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Romney[/TD]
[TD]22.7[/TD]
[TD]17.2[/TD]
[TD]+5.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Paul[/TD]
[TD]22.4[/TD]
[TD]17.3[/TD]
[TD]+5.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Santorum
[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]13.4[/TD]
[TD]+4.6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Gingrich[/TD]
[TD]16.1[/TD]
[TD]16.7[/TD]
[TD]-0.6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Perry[/TD]
[TD]9.6[/TD]
[TD]10.5[/TD]
[TD]-0.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bachmann[/TD]
[TD]5.8[/TD]
[TD]11.8[/TD]
[TD]-6.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Santorum[/TD]
[TD]1.8[/TD]
[TD]2.8[/TD]
[TD]-1.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[Xenophage]

edited for lame

 

[jsem]

Gotta trust the ground game now.

 

[nbruno322]

Scroll to the right to get the full image...

gives us a good idea on the demographics we do well and we need to improve.

NEED to improve with the 65+ crowd cause they generally get their info from the mainstream media, NOT the internet
NEED to improve with women


We do dominate the young voters and independents which could tip the scales in our favor as they did for Obama in Iowa in 2008.

 

[rp2012win]

Flaw in the poll? They put seniors at 26% of the electorate. DMR says they expect seniors to be less than 20%. This poll might understate paul substantially.

 

[slamhead]

Since 12/28:

Romney +6%
Paul +5%
Santorum +5%
Gingrich -1%
Perry -1%
Bachmann -6%
Huntsman -1%

Lol @ Bachmann.

I guess those thousands of Paul supporters that defected after the last debate came back to Paul right?

 

[bluesc]

Flaw in the poll? They put seniors at 26% of the electorate. DMR says they expect seniors to be less than 20%. This poll might understate paul substantially.

Trust all of the polls no matter how bad they look and use is as motivation to make hundreds of calls once the phone lines open. It's all about superior organization.

 

[KingNothing]

Good gravy, I love seeing that we poll so well with young folks.

 

[wilcox71]

The 30 to 44 is a good sign the country is making a change for the future. Generation X is going to be hit with a heavy burden and they know it.

 

[KingNothing]

Does this give more credence to the notion that perhaps the Froth has stalled below 20-percent?

 

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Please say that this is the last poll (not including exit polls) of Iowa. Sick of them.

 

[jersdream]

I think it depends on how many leave Bachmann and Perry that join with Santorum.....

I think it is a matter of getting out our demographics....same with Santorum....but he has to get his votes from the other candidates....I think for us, it is a matter of voting or not voting for the most part.

 

[bluesc]

Please say that this is the last poll (not including exit polls) of Iowa. Sick of them.

Agreed.

 

[slamhead]

Scroll to the right to get the full image...

gives us a good idea on the demographics we do well and we need to improve.

NEED to improve with the 65+ crowd cause they generally get their info from the mainstream media, NOT the internet
NEED to improve with women


We do dominate the young voters and independents which could tip the scales in our favor as they did for Obama in Iowa in 2008.

What the hell is up with the hispanics? I guess they don't like the idea of losing their subsidies.

 

[Kevin Smyth]

I think it depends on how many leave Bachmann and Perry that join with Santorum.....

I think it is a matter of getting out our demographics....same with Santorum....but he has to get his votes from the other candidates....I think for us, it is a matter of voting or not voting for the most part.

True, we need some covert fake pro-Bachmann buzz to keep her floating so that her people don't flee to Santorum at the last minute.

 

[Kevin Smyth]

What the hell is up with the hispanics? I guess they don't like the idea of losing their subsidies.

I know everyone frowns on stereotypes but there's a lot of support for Socialism among Hispanics.

 

[Elfshadow]

the 18-29 bracket only had half what any of the other brackets had..... if they get out and vote we run away with this.... its all down to the youth vote......