Insider Advantage Iowa Poll:

[socal]

Possible but not very likely explanation: when the polls say there is say a 4% margin of error, that means 95% of the time the error will be within 4%. But there's still a slim chance, 5% in this example, the error will be larger.

To illustrate, let's say there are 500 people being polled out of 5 million voters. Then there is a tiny but non-zero chance that you would, for instance, only get Romney voters, and he would poll 100% and everyone else zero.

 

[BUSHLIED]

Supporters:

You have to keep in mind the "fuzziness" of social science preference surveys. Polls are not perfect and they are often full of variance from one poll to the next. Again, you have to look a trends. If PPP's next poll should show a dip then I would start to be concerned. But even then I wouldn't be burning cars in the streets. Polls are easily manipulated and often times use to sway public opinion.

Time to break out Rand and hit the trail in Iowa...

 

[Austin]

So Gingrich goes up and Paul goes down? I find that hard to believe.

But I sure do love the polls that lower expectations for Paul. I think with our GOTV team we have the potential to win by a wide margin.

 

[jacmicwag]

This is a concern.....

Yes it is and may well be accurate considering the 10 day beating we've been taking.

 

[nyrgoal99]

Bachmann's numbers are weird

Gets support from 15% of men and 8 women?

29% democrat

I wonder if the phone calls put some of her support where it was suppose to be RP?

 

[gyrmnix]

The good news is that these polls has made a second place a loss for Romney. Between these polls and Romney staying in Iowa for the caucuses, him coming in second again would be a tremendous blow.

 

[jer4liberty]

Looks like the hit pieces are doing some damage.

 

[RonPaulCult]

PPP just tweeted: Anyone notice the ARG poll says Paul's at 24% with men and 16% with women but only 16% overall? Seems impossible

 

[jer4liberty]

PPP just tweeted: Anyone notice the ARG poll says Paul's at 24% with men and 16% with women but only 16% overall? Seems impossible

ARG poll is not the INsider advantage poll. Another poll where our numbers have taken a hit. Confirmation of slandering hit pices working. Sickening. Lies work in politics.

 

[nyrgoal99]

PPP just tweeted: Anyone notice the ARG poll says Paul's at 24% with men and 16% with women but only 16% overall? Seems impossible

So figure 50/50, we are really 20%

 

[RonPaulCult]

ARG poll is not the INsider advantage poll. Another poll where our numbers have taken a hit. Confirmation of slandering hit pices working. Sickening. Lies work in politics.

Oops I'm sorry, I got them confused.

 

[Epic]

gingrich numbers are weird. Paul numbers among youth are shockingly low. Bachmann even beats him. That doesn't make sense.

We're gonna get a PPP and DMR poll before Jan 3. Those are the ones to watch!

 

[cdc482]

When's DMR's poll come out?

 

[Epic]

Sat. 7pm

 

[skyorbit]

Ron's in 5th place with Republicans at 10.9% and first at 32% with Independants. There's the reason right there.

That doesn't even match up with Rasmusan or the CNN poll. Paul was around 20% amount Republicans.

 

[Omnica]

ARG poll is not the INsider advantage poll. Another poll where our numbers have taken a hit. Confirmation of slandering hit pices working. Sickening. Lies work in politics.

Your worries are really helping.

 

[Carole]

17% Paul (-7)
17% Gingrich (+4)
17% Romney (-1)
13% Santorum (+10)
12% Bachmann (+2)
11% Perry (-6)
3% Huntsman (-1)

Assuming a 3% margin of error, every candidate could be at 14%. Not sure what to make of this poll, evidence of the Santorum surge perhaps, but I haven't heard any reason Gingrich should be rebounding or Paul would be falling this hard.

This is just as I suspected. They are beginning to bunch them together so as to make it difficult to questions the results.

See thread:
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...ased-Confirmed&p=3918148&posted=1#post3918148

Post No. 33 about bunching together the candidates.

This is the most blatant clue so far that the FIX is in. Bunching them together makes it difficult to detect shenanigans.

Prepare for the Romney SURGE!

 

[sofia]

The desperation is getting sickening to watch.. I just hope they aren't laying the groundwork for fraud.

we r being set up. Its very clear.

Step 1: A group calling itself 'anonymous" threatens to disrupt the process.
Step 2: Iowa GOP moves the final tabulation to a secret location
Step 3: Phony polls are released
Step 4: Vote fraud matches the phony polls.

 

[Carole]

Yes it is and may well be accurate considering the 10 day beating we've been taking.

That is what they want you to think. Do not be fooled. Paul just spoke to a crowd of 750 on two days notice for crying out loud. No other candidate is pulling crowds like that. Open your eyes and read my post #40 at 1123 PM.

 

[speciallyblend]

nothing to worry about as rpf members say let slide, no worries, just racist attacks, ron is teflon. Well jan 3rd we will find out if those rpf members are eating their own words, Don't worry as they say!