Snowball
Member
- Joined
- Nov 25, 2011
- Messages
- 5,448
I've got to say that the flood of expectations that the US will get into a hot war against either Iran or Venezuela or both as soon as this month or even next week is likely over the top. Every day now, on all the channels. Another big plate of it today coming up. Remember last week, I said that after the Jewish holiday of Sukkot, that's when it could begin. So, we cannot discount that possibility, and there are stratotanker movements which could be interpreted as stage-setting. So, there's a chance it will happen soon. Still, I don't think it's a good time for Israel. They haven't been fully restocked. They are still working on repairs from the last exchange. I don't know what the rush would be for. Ritter doesn't expect it either. Not that he's a great bellwether but it's an example of someone else who also sees this doesn't look like a good time for Israel.
Last night I heard Mark Sveboda describe what he thought the US might do in Vz. It sounds ridiculous. He questions the Vz resolve to confront US forces, like Marines, and wage a long-term guerilla war but he says he doesn't know if the Vz's will fight or roll over. It's like this, a decapitation strike against the Vz gov, NFZ and expeditionary forces in the short thousands of US Marines, etc.. with a quick install of the new regime. Surely there's a lot of money going around to attempt to buy out the generals and troops. I realize this is the only practical application of US force, without calling a draft. But it sounds ludicrous because it runs the risk of stiff opposition and many deaths of US troops. Then, there is the question about Chinese/Russian assistance. I don't think either of them would dare to challenge the US in the Western Hemisphere, but who knows... it would be epic if they did. No doubt the Pentagon has the mind of keeping Russia busy in Ukraine, via long-range missiles and/or a terrorist attack. This would make it more difficult for Russia to assist Iran or Vz. China can play the same game just by moving on Taiwan. As can DPRK in South Korea.
If the US interprets Iranian progress in ICBM tech and resolve in nuclear as a threat to the United States (the sell), I suppose Trump could order it. Apparently there is also some draw down in vulnerable bases. Still, beginning either of these wars fully by choice and without the approval of the American people would be a great risk for him because the US forces do not like him, and there is a chance of a US coup against Trump. I truly believe that -- and the cold reception last week at Quantico suggests they are in no mood. If Trump breaks the Constitution and causes undue risk for the country, I can see them saying F this and shutting him down.
Last night I heard Mark Sveboda describe what he thought the US might do in Vz. It sounds ridiculous. He questions the Vz resolve to confront US forces, like Marines, and wage a long-term guerilla war but he says he doesn't know if the Vz's will fight or roll over. It's like this, a decapitation strike against the Vz gov, NFZ and expeditionary forces in the short thousands of US Marines, etc.. with a quick install of the new regime. Surely there's a lot of money going around to attempt to buy out the generals and troops. I realize this is the only practical application of US force, without calling a draft. But it sounds ludicrous because it runs the risk of stiff opposition and many deaths of US troops. Then, there is the question about Chinese/Russian assistance. I don't think either of them would dare to challenge the US in the Western Hemisphere, but who knows... it would be epic if they did. No doubt the Pentagon has the mind of keeping Russia busy in Ukraine, via long-range missiles and/or a terrorist attack. This would make it more difficult for Russia to assist Iran or Vz. China can play the same game just by moving on Taiwan. As can DPRK in South Korea.
If the US interprets Iranian progress in ICBM tech and resolve in nuclear as a threat to the United States (the sell), I suppose Trump could order it. Apparently there is also some draw down in vulnerable bases. Still, beginning either of these wars fully by choice and without the approval of the American people would be a great risk for him because the US forces do not like him, and there is a chance of a US coup against Trump. I truly believe that -- and the cold reception last week at Quantico suggests they are in no mood. If Trump breaks the Constitution and causes undue risk for the country, I can see them saying F this and shutting him down.
