Florida Exit Polls

[MelissaWV]

Right, I'm sure you know every absentee voter in Florida. My bad.

I know myself and my co-workers. Your post seemed to criticize me for pointing out that these exit polls do not really represent early and absentee voting. There were no exit polls during early voting. The fact the numbers were released earlier means they did not poll people who voted after work.

Before you're going to sit there and say someone's "wrong," please make sure you are not talking out of your posterior.

 

[Liberty74]

I'm not entirely sure what's wrong with people tonight.

As mentioned earlier, exit polls do not count the voters on these very forums who voted early. It doesn't count the 1/3 of GOP Primary voters in FL who voted early or via absentee ballot. It does not include people that vote after work.

No, I don't think Ron won, but I think some of you are being maliciously ignorant for no good reason.

So many don't understand polling or exit polling. Do you honestly think only Ron Paul people voted early by absentee? An exit poll doesn't have to count early voters to get a gist of how people are voting. If the sample size is large enough, it's usually right on on the money. If 2 million voted, you can ignore 1,998,000. Your sample size is big enough to predict the out come. Early voter or late voter, it doesn't matter.

 

[affa]

literally infinitely

???

 

[LibertyEagle]

Folks. Ron Paul was winning in the exit polls in the Iowa Straw Poll. Remember? And then he came in 3rd. This would lead me to believe that exit polls are not that accurate. Maybe a lot of people refuse to participate.

 

[MelissaWV]

So many don't understand polling or exit polling. Do you honestly think only Ron Paul people voted early by absentee? An exit poll doesn't have to count early voters to get a gist of how people are voting. If the sample size is large enough, it's usually right on on the money. If 2 million voted, you can ignore 1,998,000. Your sample size is big enough to predict the out come. Early voter or late voter, it doesn't matter.

If the bulk of the early voters went one way or another, it would skew the results -.-

* * *

I don't even care. The whole forums can go into "bash Florida" mode. How quickly people forget that we worked our asses off to get even the little result we're going to see tonight. I hope it makes everyone feel oh so superior while they snicker at our old folks and "Hispanic voting bloc."

 

[rp2012win]

Folks. Ron Paul was winning in the exit polls in the Iowa Straw Poll. Remember? And then he came in 3rd. This would lead me to believe that exit polls are not that accurate. Maybe a lot of people refuse to participate.

This is the biggest lie that people continue to repeat. Please look at the iowa exit poll data and then try again. He was in third and it was not even a queation. I'll even give you the link to help http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/ia

 

[DerailingDaTrain]

Fox just reported this in their exit polls. lol at Romney understanding anything about average Americans. I seriously doubt that he has done anything for himself in his entire life.

Best understands problems of average Americans:
Romney 34 %
Gingrich 27%
Santorum 18%
Paul 14%

Strongly support tea party (the voters not the candidates):
Gingrich 46%
Romney 34%
Santorum 14%
Paul 5%

5% among the Tea Party supporters? I guess they forgot about that whole "Godfather of the Tea Party who started your entire movement" thing. I really hate sheeple...it's like nobody even cares anymore. I'm convinced that most people don't want a real candidate who would do well and with policies they agree with but instead the guy who can lie the best during a debate or the one who can flip flop the most. Sickening

 

[cstarace]

Folks. Ron Paul was winning in the exit polls in the Iowa Straw Poll. Remember? And then he came in 3rd. This would lead me to believe that exit polls are not that accurate. Maybe a lot of people refuse to participate.

Those were the entry polls I believe.

 

[Havax]

We're on pace for about 150,000 votes. That would mean about a 138% increase from last cycle.

 

[LibertyEagle]

This is the biggest lie that people continue to repeat. Please look at the iowa exit poll data and then try again. He was in third and it was not even a queation. I'll even give you the link to help http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/ia

Ok. That's weird, because I remember when the MSM was reporting them. I guess it was before they were all in. Thanks for setting me straight.

 

[LibertyEagle]

I don't even care. The whole forums can go into "bash Florida" mode. How quickly people forget that we worked our asses off to get even the little result we're going to see tonight. I hope it makes everyone feel oh so superior while they snicker at our old folks and "Hispanic voting bloc."

Thanks for all your hard work, Melissa. You and everyone else who campaigned so hard in Florida.

 

[pacelli]

Folks, the campaign left SC and FL to the grassroots. SC and FL were never part of the campaign delegate strategy, which is why they pretty much skipped them. The campaign enters the race for delegates AFTER TONIGHT.

I expect a Nevada win. They have ~28 delegates at stake. Mind you, FL has 50 delegates. Whoever wins, gets all 50 delegates. But ads are too expensive in FL.


My point is, don't get all long in the face and depressed over tonight. I'd be quite happy with double-digit final-- I know that the grassroots down there is strong enough to get us at least in a double digit 10-12% final.

 

[Fort Lauderdale]

FOX http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012/florida-primary-jan-31

MSNBC http://elections.msnbc.msn.com/ns/politics/2012/florida/republican/primary/#.TyiuqMUeOrY

 

[Tyler_Durden]

With 27% reporting, we have nearly 50% of the votes we had in 2008.

Half-full glass

 

[dt_]

Romney with a MAJORITY.. (51%) ...

 

[Liberty74]

If the bulk of the early voters went one way or another, it would skew the results -.-

No evidence of that, hence moot point.

Again, so many on the RPF just don't get it. Basing opinions on "ifs," "assumptions," "hopes," etc. aren't reality nor does it change reality.

We can play the "what if" game all day...

 

[Liberty74]

Folks. Ron Paul was winning in the exit polls in the Iowa Straw Poll. Remember? And then he came in 3rd. This would lead me to believe that exit polls are not that accurate. Maybe a lot of people refuse to participate.

Yes, I remember that but those first exit (entrance) polls in Iowa did not have a large enough sample. When the full exit sample came in, the exit polls were dead on.

 

[Bossobass]

FWIW, Ron ran 4 years ago. Since then, he has been vindicated regarding prediction of the bursting of the housing bubble and the economic meltdown, FED secrecy in doling out your money by the trillions and the Iraq FIASCO.

The presence of his supporters is everywhere in FLA, if you're even vaguely aware that there is a F%$@#ng primary race going on.

He mopped the floor with the other 3 dolts at the last debate in TAMPA.

He utterly dominates the internet and his F*&$ing name ain't that hard to spell.

I wouldn't need any local or national coverage to discern who the right guy to vote for is, and neither do Floridians. I'm tired of hearing the same old excuses, especially the ones that excuse the grotesque stupidity of the voting public and the outrageous criminal destruction (with impunity) of the vote count process in the USA (hanging chads, anyone?).

Bosso

 

[PaleoPaul]

4000 more votes until we reach our 2008 results.

I'd love to see at least 100,000 votes for Paul.

 

[LBennett76]

On Fox Business News, that asked during the exit polls what were you looking for in a candidate. 45% said that they could beat Obama. 45%!!!!! Seriously. There are some seriously dumb ass people running around if that's all they want in a candidate. No offense to Florida, just to those ignorant 45%.