Exit Poll Inaccuracy - Paul 20% Below Poll

[Jesubub]

Exit Poll Accuracy - Corrected

Using the latest exit poll, all's right with the world. This change happened when the number of respondents went from 1,300 to 1,520. That last 220 people didn't like Paul as much, I guess.

 

[ssmoler]

Before anyone gets mad, exit polls are just a small sample and the difference may very well, and probably is, statistically insignificant. I can tell you, no one if risking to rig an election just so that RP can lose by a bit to Ghoul, both who are polling with low numbers.

 

[Jesubub]

Agreed. Notice I didn't say "voting irregularities".

 

[oriolesfan]

Keep in mind that a few urban college towns are yet to report. Those are guaranteed to give us a boost.

 

[Naraku]

The only other votes off by more than 1% are McCain and Romney. No on, but Ron Paul is off by 2%. I call foul.

 

[bobmurph]

Thats a tiny sample...error would be large.

 

[colin1]

Whatever, time for everybody to man up. Balls.

 

[melianthus]

Exit polling is not accurate because highly motivated voters are more likely to agree to take part in the exit poll. Ron Paul voters fall into that category. More of them said yes to the exit poll than the other candidates, so they were over represented in the sample. It is as simple as that. Repeat: There is no conspiracy. It is the way that exit polls have always and will always work.

 

[justatrey]

Exit polling is not accurate because highly motivated voters are more likely to agree to take part in the exit poll. Ron Paul voters fall into that category. More of them said yes to the exit poll than the other candidates, so they were over represented in the sample. It is as simple as that. Repeat: There is no conspiracy. It is the way that exit polls have always and will always work.

Thanks. I can go to bed now and stop waiting for the mythical college towns that are supposed ot give us a late night miracle.

 

[Mark Mosconi]

The polls don't need to be fixed if we can't find enough support to place top 3. I blame voter apathy and the mainstream media more than anything.

 

[Naraku]

Exit polling is not accurate because highly motivated voters are more likely to agree to take part in the exit poll. Ron Paul voters fall into that category. More of them said yes to the exit poll than the other candidates, so they were over represented in the sample. It is as simple as that.

Funny, it seems every other candidate was almost spot on.

 

[Eponym_mi]

Keep in mind that a few urban college towns are yet to report. Those are guaranteed to give us a boost.

Why do you say that? The exit polls show Republican youth vote going to McCain.

 

[Molly1]

You mean 2 percent below the exit poll?

Even so, it means he beat guiliani.

 

[Molly1]

Same thing happened in Ohio--2004 pres election--didn't it?

Exit polls for kerry much higher than actual count.