Voluntary Man
Member
- Joined
- Sep 6, 2011
- Messages
- 1,519
While I don't disagree with your conclusion, I just don't think this is an accurate way to calculate this -- and not just because it's inaccurate to have Santorum/Gingrich tie for 4th in VA or to have Romney/Santorum tie for 1st in OH or to have PauloverGrinch in WY with only 26% reporting.
A better model (in my opinion) would be the Olympic medal race (temporarily disregarding WY till it's 100% concluded):
[TABLE="class: grid, align: left"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Gold[/TD]
[TD]Silver[/TD]
[TD]Bronze[/TD]
[TD]TOTAL[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Romney[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Santorum[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Paul[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Gingrich[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]4
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
[TABLE="class: grid, align: center"]
[TR]
[TD]...and if...
[/TD]
[TD]Gold = 3pts[/TD]
[TD]Silver = 2 pts[/TD]
[TD]Bronze = 1 pt[/TD]
[TD]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Romney[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]22 points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Santorum[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]19 points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Paul[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]9 points[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Gingrich[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]6 points[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
The second table's "point method" isn't the best way of calculating delegates or anything, but I'm including it along with the Medal chart because those points are a fairly decent way of calculating momentum because it aggregates voter/media perceptions.
Same conclusion, different methodology. Yours looks prettier, though.
