Electoral Map Gives Donald Trump Few Places to Go

[CPUd]

Electoral Map Gives Donald Trump Few Places to Go


Donald J. Trump, confronting a daunting electoral map and a significant financial disadvantage, is preparing to fall back from an expansive national campaign and concentrate the bulk of his time and money on just three or four states that his campaign believes he must sweep in order to win the presidency.

Even as Mr. Trump has ticked up in national polls in recent weeks, senior Republicans say his path to the 270 Electoral College votes needed for election has remained narrow — and may have grown even more precarious. It now looks exceedingly difficult for him to assemble even the barest Electoral College majority without beating Hillary Clinton in a trifecta of the biggest swing states: Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

President Obama won all three states in 2008 and 2012, and no Republican has won Pennsylvania in nearly three decades.

With a divisive campaign message that has alienated many women and Hispanics, Mr. Trump appears to have pushed several traditional swing states out of his own reach. According to strategists on both sides of the race, polling indicates that Mrs. Clinton has a solid upper hand in Colorado and Virginia, the home state of Senator Tim Kaine, her running mate. Both states voted twice for George W. Bush, who assiduously courted Hispanic voters and suburban moderates.

In addition, Trump allies have grown concerned about North Carolina, a Republican-leaning state that has large communities of black voters and college-educated whites — two audiences with which Mr. Trump is deeply unpopular.

While Mr. Trump is not ready to give up entirely on any of the major battlegrounds, advisers have become increasingly convinced that his most plausible route to the presidency, and perhaps his only realistic victory scenario, involves capturing all three of the biggest contested electoral prizes on the map, and keeping North Carolina in the Republican column.

Mr. Trump and his running mate, Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana, are expected to campaign intensively across those four must-win states, with Mr. Trump trumpeting a set of blunt slogans through mass media and Mr. Pence focused on shoring up support from conservatives and right-of-center whites.

...

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/us/politics/donald-trump-presidential-race.html

 

[RandallFan]

'We'll Look For Votes Out Here In California,' Says Presidential Hopeful Rand Paul « CBS Los Angeles

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[oyarde]

Yep , Florida and Ohio are must wins to be competitive. Virginia & Colorado out of reach , so , must get North Carolina and Penn ?

 

[RandallFan]

Sucked in Trump! Stuck with Cubans who write their their own immigration rules; & old whites who don't get to read your funny tweets.

 

[CPUd]

Yep , Florida and Ohio are must wins to be competitive. Virginia & Colorado out of reach , so , must get North Carolina and Penn ?

He's done in PA. NC is slipping, but the could still hold onto it.

 

[RandallFan]

Sounds like Jesse Helms oppo research.

McCrory & Trump are probably the most mainstream candidates.

These closet bigots ditched their swastikas for suits & glasses.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Carolina_gubernatorial_election,_2012
Nominee Pat McCrory
Percentage 54.62%[SUP][1][/SUP]

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NC/governor/ Vote by Race

• total
  
• Dalton
  
  
• McCrory
  
  
• Other / NA

• White:71%
• 29%
  
  
• 70%
  
  
• 1%
  

• African-american:22%
• 85%
  
  
• 13%
  
  
• 2%

• Latino:3%
• 52%
  
  
• 46%
  

 

[oyarde]

He's done in PA. NC is slipping, but the could still hold onto it.

Given the electoral map and the given that large populations ( East & West coasts, large cities etc ) are communist ( Dem)
locks, I somewhat doubt there will ever be a conservative Presidency unless there is a collapse.

 

[cindy25]

if the state legislatures in OH, PA , FL, MI, WI and VA had adopted the Nebraska Maine for electors it would be so much easier

 

[William Tell]

It is worth pointing out that the last races for Governor and Senate in Virginia had results far more favorable to the GOP than polls were predicting. Virginia has been going blue consistently but barely, I think it depends on who's voters turn out. Of course Trump may have destroyed himself there.