Election Bettting: After Trump Tulsa Rally, Biden’s Presidental Odds Surge

[enhanced_deficit]

Election Bettting: After Trump Tulsa Rally, Biden’s Presidental Odds Surge

Media induced bets or something is really going on.
Maybe we should wait before jumping to conclusions until we find out what the heck is going on... what we gotta lose:


Jun 21, 2020

Trump Rally Sees Joe Biden’s Presidental Odds Surge: Presidential Election Betting Update

Zack Jones

TULSA, OKLAHOMA - JUNE 20: U.S. President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally at the BOK ... [+]
Getty Images with his first rally since the beginning of the coronavirus lockdowns and nationwide protest.
The decision to disregard advice from many of the country’s leading health officials comes at a critical time for the incumbent, as he finds himself reeling in regards to his chances in the upcoming Presidential Election.
Per the 2020 Presidential Election Odds Tracker at OddsShark.com, Trump had been labeled the favorite up until June 4th. Back when Bernie and Joe were hashing it out for the Democratic nomination, Trump maintained a hefty lead over all potential opponents, but 2020 has proven to offer its fair share of surprises.

Choosing to procede with the rally could have adverse effect, however, as the popular online wagering site BetOnline.ag extended Biden’s lead shortly after the rally began, with the former Vice President moving from the -140 favorite all the way to -160 (bet $160 to win $100).

Dave Mason of BetOnline shared that the site saw over 80% of all bets placed Saturday evening come in on the election. “Shortly after the event begin, the clear lack of supporters present sent shockwaves through media outlets and social media, which triggered bettors to pounce on Trump’s opponent.”
In regards to the split, Mason let Forbes know that 86% of all bets came in backing Joe Biden, further driving his odds up to their current mark.
But it wasn’t just BetOnline that saw this action, as OddsShark reported similar activity across various sites.

2020 Presidential Election Odds via BetOnline.ag
Odds to Win the Presidential Election

• Joe Biden-160
• Donald Trump+130
• Hillary Clinton+1600
• Andrew Cuomo+5000
• Michelle Obama+7500
• Mike Pence+10000
• The Rock+10000
• Mark Cuban+12500
• Elizabeth Warren+15000
• Nikki Haley+15000

Vice President on the Democratic Election Ticket

• Kamala Harris-115
• Susan Rice+225
• Val Demings+550Elizabeth Warren+1200
• Keisha Lance Bottoms+1400
• Stacey Abrams+2000
• Amy Klobuchar+2500
• Lujan Grisham+2500
• Michelle Obama+2500
• Tammy Duckworth+3300
• Hillary Clinton+5000
• Tammy Baldwin+5000
• Barack Obama+6600
• Cory Booker+10000
• Tulsi Gabbard+10000

Vice President on the Republican Election Ticket

• Mike Pence-1200
• Not Mike Pence+700

Donald Trump Election Special

• To Lose Electoral College & Popular Vote-130
• To Win Electoral College & Popular Vote+225
• To Win Electoral College, Lose Popular Vote+240
• To Lose Electoral College, Win Popular Vote+2100

forbes.com/sites/zackjones/2020/06/21/trump-rally-sees-joe-bidens-presidental-odds-improve-presidential-election-betting-update/



Related

Trump launches comeback rally in Tulsa amid empty seats





Madison Cawthorn, 24, Upsets Trump-Endorsed Favorite in North Carolina

Mr. Cawthorn’s victory in the G.O.P. primary for a House seat formerly held by Mark Meadows, the White House chief of staff, was an upset for his handpicked successor, who had the president’s backing.
June 24, 2020

 

[r3volution 3.0]

Trump's stock has totally collapsed in the betting markets (alas, the Fed doesn't support this one).

 

[Warrior_of_Freedom]

I watched the entire Trump rally and it was good. The only people that will fall for it being a flop are the people who didn't watch it.

 

[r3volution 3.0]

The decline precedes Tulsa.

If you look at the data, the turning point came in very late May, very early June.

I think what finally killed the camel was the church stunt in D.C. and the criticism from fellow GOPers which followed.

The Dems already hate him as much as they possibly could.

What changed is that GOPers and independents who once held their nose and supported him are now rethinking things.

Few of them, the GOPers anyway, will vote Biden, but many would just not vote if the election were held today.

I see this among people I know, who supported Trump but weren't hardcore supporters.

 

[AngryCanadian]

Trump's stock has totally collapsed in the betting markets (alas, the Fed doesn't support this one).

Weren't the betting odds also high for Hillary to?

 

[enhanced_deficit]

Trump's stock has totally collapsed in the betting markets (alas, the Fed doesn't support this one).

EM.

Give it time

 

[r3volution 3.0]

Weren't the betting odds also high for Hillary to?

Probably, I don't know. The polls had Hillary ahead for most of the race and the betting odds pretty closely follow the polls. However, if you look at the polls from 2016, you'll see that Hillary led by a large margin the whole time, expect for periodic dips, including right before the election. It was a stable pattern, looked kind of like a sine wave. This time the trend looks very different. Trump led much like Hillary did, stably, with periodic dips, until about a month ago. Now, Biden is ahead by more than Trump ever was; the old pattern was broken.

 

[AngryCanadian]

Probably, I don't know. The polls had Hillary ahead for most of the race and the betting odds pretty closely follow the polls. However, if you look at the polls from 2016, you'll see that Hillary led by a large margin the whole time, expect for periodic dips, including right before the election. It was a stable pattern, looked kind of like a sine wave. This time the trend looks very different. Trump led much like Hillary did, stably, with periodic dips, until about a month ago. Now, Biden is ahead by more than Trump ever was; the old pattern was broken.

Why are people into Biden so much? they miss that fake empathy that they claim Biden has? Biden polices could as well destroy America as we know it. I find it rather strange with these polls.

 

[r3volution 3.0]

Why are people into Biden so much?

I don't think anyone's into Biden; lots of people just dislike Trump.

That the normal situation, though, isn't it?

In 2016, very few people, IMO, liked either Hillary or Trump; most people were voting for the one because they hated the other.

Biden polices could as well destroy America as we know it.

Absolutely, but (a) Biden's policies would be about the same as Trump's, and (b), more importantly, no one knows/cares about policy anyway.