Drudge - CNN Poll - SC - Ron Paul 11%

[majinkoola]

Yeah, maybe this is for the decided people. If 15% were undecided, these would be approximately the percentages:

20% Huckabee
15% Thompson
14% Giuliani
14% Romney
11% McCain
9% Paul
2% Other
15% Undecided

That looks about right. Similar to the Rasmussen poll earlier, just with Huckabee way up and Romney and Thompson dropping.

 

[georgia_tech_swagger]

Representin' Upstate, SC!!

This is a result of:
- A half dozen BEAUTIFUL professional mailers from HQ
- Radio ads from HQ
- Grassroots signs everywhere
- Grassroots showing up to any political event in the Upstate in force

 

[garyallen59]

double digits baby!

 

[0zzy]

Representin' Upstate, SC!!

This is a result of:
- A half dozen BEAUTIFUL professional mailers from HQ
- Radio ads from HQ
- Grassroots signs everywhere
- Grassroots showing up to any political event in the Upstate in force

Can you scan those mailers? I'd love to see them.

 

[dante]

Watch so this isn't a scam they are pulling also. Make it seem like his support is good there so don't spend much time or money in that state.. Have to watch for that kinda stunts by all media.

The Campaign is smarter than that... don't worry no RP fan is going to quit just because of high poll numbers...

 

[hawks4ronpaul]

Continued from my last post:

These percentages of those who decided

Huckabee 24%
Thompson 17%
Giuliani 16%
Romney 16%
McCain 13%
Paul 11%
Other 3%

would be consistent with

Huckabee 12%
Thompson 8.5%
Giuliani 8%
Romney 8%
McCain 6.5%
Paul 5.5%
Other 1.5%
Undecided 50%


That could be one explanation.

EDIT: See the Majinkoola post a couple minutes earlier for another example.

http://hawks4ronpaul.blogspot.com/

 

[ursamajor]

pounding! pounding! pounding! pounding!

 

[Joey Wahoo]

We really need some confirmation of this before we get too excited. I've been searching for that and I can find no such poll

 

[manny]

I live in SC and Ron Paul is definately gaining ground here. I'm trying very hard to get his name recognition higher, and so are a lot of others. We fully intend to win SC if at all possible.

Thanks for your work.

And you have the best attitude. I know people will point out how much money Romney has or how much time the media give Huckabee but I don't care: Whether it happens or not RP should be aiming to win in every state.

He's the only guy who will bring the troops home straightaway - a very popular position - and a unique one

He's the only one who understands the economic problems of the day and has the record to show he'll solve them

He's the only true Republican running

He's setting fund-raising records

I could go on - it's all to play for, especially in a state like SC. And the new voting regs in CA will only help there. We must always be optimistic. The push into double figures will help - against Ron Paul - Rudy, Huckabee, Romney, McCain all look like no-hopers who have strayed so far from conservative values. Aim high to win!

 

[georgia_tech_swagger]

Can you scan those mailers? I'd love to see them.

I'll see what I can do -- they're shaped like an envelope ... but they unfold to be HUGE. The first one they sent had an envelope shaped page for each major issue ... unfolded it was about 4 sheets of printer paper end to end long.

 

[JosephTheLibertarian]

I hate Huckadick

 

[Joey Wahoo]

Can anyone independently confirm the existence of this poll?

 

[xao]

If their polls say we're at 11% I have an easier time believing we're actually at 33%

true, These polls show nothing. They need their own comedy subforum

 

[ursamajor]

Something tells me that Drudge could have gotten some of the 'middle runners' numbers wrong, but that he would have known Ron Paul's numbers to be important if in the double digits. It seems pretty obvious to me that RP's numbers are the story here. Not just another 'huckaboom', especially since Drudge does not seem to like Huckabee at ALL.

 

[Daveforliberty]

Since the pollsters use an unrealistically high number for "probable primary voters" (usually 35-40% vs. the 6% in the last election), and since we can assume virtually ALL Ron Paul supporters will actually vote, the final count should be something like this:

Ron Paul 35%
Huckabee 19%
Thompson 13%
Giuliani 10%
Romney 10%
McCain 8%
Other 3%

 

[ursamajor]

Since the pollsters use an unrealistically high number for "probable primary voters" (usually 35-40% vs. the 6% in the last election)

What do you mean? high number of what?

 

[torchbearer]

They are succeeding from the Union Again!


March on Revolutionaries!!!

Since the south is still in reconstruction... I wouldn't blame them....where is Fort Sumter again? that's right SC baby.... how about a lil' rally action near the Fort...

 

[Daveforliberty]

What do you mean? high number of what?

The pollsters typically qualify 35-40% of the people they call as "probable primary voters." In reality, for example in the last election, Republicans turned out at a 6% rate. That means most of the people polled who say they will vote for Huckabee, Thompson, etc. actually will skip the primary. Ron Paul supporters will not.

Of course I'd love to see Ron's numbers up around the other leaders, then it would be a slam dunk. But I still think Ron is likely to do MUCH better than expected.

 

[torchbearer]

The pollsters typically qualify 35-40% of the people they call as "probable primary voters." In reality, for example in the last election, Republicans turned out at a 6% rate. That means most of the people polled who say they will vote for Huckabee, Thompson, etc. actually will skip the primary. Ron Paul supporters will not.

Of course I'd love to see Ron's numbers up around the other leaders, then it would be a slam dunk. But I still think Ron is likely to do MUCH better than expected.

My thoughts exactly... this is what i tell people when they say he can't win....because he is polling low... but then there is voter turn out rates...

 

[vegetarianrpfan]

Wait a minute...let's think about this. They're saying we're at 11% in SC and in NH we're still only polling in the single digits? Has NH lost it's "live free or die" attitude?

This is with TRADITIONAL Republican voters. That leaves out independents, new Republicans, young people with cell phones or VOIP phones, Libertarians, Democrats, and people who've never voted before. We are polling above the numbers in all states and nationwide, guaranteed, because of those factors. The question is how much. Since most (I believe) voters in NH are independents, the polling could be more severely off there than anywhere else.

----------------------
Libertarian Girl
http://www.libertariangirl.com