Don Luskin has a bit of a personality problem. He has a SERIOUS ongoing dispute with Peter Schiff, and it's not just on economic issues. It's personal. Nasty personal. Almost stalker-level personal. All is revealed on Luskin's blog. I don't recommend reading it, though, if you wish to continue to hold these folk up in high esteem.
When I saw Luskin and Schiff engaged almost simultaneously by the campaign a couple of weeks ago, I thought, "Uh, oh. I wonder how long this is going to last". Apparently, not very long.
The personality conflict derived from some pretty fundamental professional differences. Peter Schiff tends to follow Dr Paul's interpretation (or is that vice-versa?), that the US economy is crashing, and crashing BIG TIME - in the near term. Peter Schiff's basic riff is "Sell US, buy Asia, Europe". He happens to have set up a business to enable people to do such. It could be argued that he is shilling for his business, and to some extent that is probably correct, but perhaps that is more appropriately just a matter of him putting his money where his mouth is. Don Luskin refers to Peter Schiff as a "perma-bear".
Don Luskin is not so pessimistic. He thinks that, yes, we are in rough times now, but that we will pull through it not too bad. We should all just keep buying stocks.
And they both tread the same sort of boards, over at CNBC, and FBN. Going head to head at some time was inevitable, and egos were bound to get bent out of shape. And they have been. So, the basis for the personality conflict was set up at the professional level, and it has deteriorated a LONG way from there, with multiple blog-level exchanges between them.
Don Luskin also has a similar problem with Paul Krugman, and had a real snide swipe at Krugman when Krugman gave Dr Paul some acclaim a couple of weeks back. The Luskin/Krugman dispute has been going on for years, and has even sunk to the level of having had full-article coverage in the New Yorker mag.
<speculation>Here's some speculation, but I wouldn't be surprised if:
(1) the advisor roles for the Paul campaign are "honorary" (i.e. unpaid)
(2) Luskin and Schiff had a major falling out during some backroom/conference-call braistorming session / strategy meeting.
I actually expected him to pull back from the campaign, at some point, but i'm surprised it is so early, and I'm surprised to see him go straight to McCain, rather than just sitting out this election. I would suggest that the reason is a combination of dollars, and ego^2. Ego, because he wants to be SEEN to be on what he seemingly-rationally perceives will be the winning team, as opposed to Peter Schiff being with the doom-and-goomers on the "losing" team. Ego, also, because he was probably offered a position in a McCain administration. I hope they DON'T make him Secretary of the Treasury though. He really doesn't have a cabinet-level temperament. There's something a little bit unstable with him, the way he carries out these personal jihads against his fellow economists that happen to have different views. Not EVERYTHING needs to be taken to the personal level, and fought to the death.
When Giuliani's advisor's were said to be going without pay, in the lead-up to his dropping out, a figure of $25,000 per month was mentioned that one of his "Senior Policy Advisor"s was getting. My guess is McCain would have matched it for Luskin.
So, that's what you get for having an inflationary federal reserve system: 30 pieces of silver now cost you $25,000/month, or so. </speculation>
Oh, and it should be noted: Don Luskin and Steve Forbes share panels over at CNBC. Steve Forbes jumped on board the McCain ship not long back. it wouldn't surprise me if Forbes advised McCain to poach him, and that Forbes facilitated it.
A good part of the story will probably be revealed in the next day or two on Luskin's blog.