Did anyone youtube CNN tonight saying Ron Paul might win Nevada?

[JimInNY]

AP said it too guys:

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h-I8TcXNEejVCpT_nWw4XkaKBKYQD8U75UC81

A poll for the Gazette-Journal showed John McCain at 22 percent, Rudy Giuliani at 18 percent, Mike Huckabee with 16 percent and Romney at 15 percent.

That's 71%. What are they afraid to say that RP is at 29%? lol!

 

[jcizzle]

AP said it too guys:

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h-I8TcXNEejVCpT_nWw4XkaKBKYQD8U75UC81

The only problem is he's still polling below all the "major" candidates or it's likely they would have reported it. I know it is easy to bash the polls for a variety of valid reasons, but they haven't lied much about Paul's success so far. He's yet to crack 15%, let alone the ~30% he'll likely need to win.

I sure as hell hope he does win, but it still seems unlikely. His rise to national prominence came too close to the actual elections IMO.

Edit: I checked and they have him at 6%.

 

[Naraku]

The polls have been all over the board. It's inevitable some of them would be right.

 

[alexa doherty]

The only problem is he's still polling below all the "major" candidates or it's likely they would have reported it. I know it is easy to bash the polls for a variety of valid reasons, but they haven't lied much about Paul's success so far. He's yet to crack 15%, let alone the ~30% he'll likely need to win.

I sure as hell hope he does win, but it still seems unlikely. His rise to national prominence came too close to the actual elections IMO.

Edit: I checked and they have him at 6%.

6%??? That's not shown anywhere.

Well that's just pure b.s.

They lied about paul's numbers many times and even don't print him or leave him out of the papers completely. They're clearly not printing his 29%, yet say he might win, in the same aticle. I call b.s. on them for doing that.

 

[jcizzle]

6%??? That's not shown anywhere.

Well that's just pure b.s.

They lied about paul's numbers many times and even don't print him or leave him out of the papers completely. They're clearly not printing his 29%, yet say he might win, in the same aticle. I call b.s. on them for doing that.

If you read the article they say the poll was run by the Gazette Journal. A simple google search will bring you the other results...

 

[Swmorgan77]

The only problem is he's still polling below all the "major" candidates or it's likely they would have reported it. I know it is easy to bash the polls for a variety of valid reasons, but they haven't lied much about Paul's success so far. He's yet to crack 15%, let alone the ~30% he'll likely need to win.

I sure as hell hope he does win, but it still seems unlikely. His rise to national prominence came too close to the actual elections IMO.

Edit: I checked and they have him at 6%.

But isn't a caucus, by its very nature, less reflective of polls than just a straight primary? Are they polling caucus-goers or just Republican voters in Nevada?

 

[alexa doherty]

If you read the article they say the poll was run by the Gazette Journal. A simple google search will bring you the other results...

I did a simple google search. You lied. Please post your evidence.

thanks in advance

 

[jcizzle]

But isn't a caucus, by its very nature, less reflective of polls than just a straight primary?

No idea to be quite honest with you. I hope that is the case, but all I'm saying is the polls in Iowa and NH weren't as drastically off as we had hoped. The only way RP will win is to have huge turnout from his supporters. Something we all hope for.

 

[jcizzle]

I did a simple google search. You lied. Please post your evidence.

thanks in advance

I lied? Huh? I'm not making this stuff up to cause you heartache here, it's just the numbers they reported.

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/200...-nevada-january-2008-reno-gazette-journal.pdf

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&safe=off&q=nevada+primary+polls+Gazette-Journal&btnG=Search

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/nevada.html

The quote from the AP:

A poll for the Gazette-Journal showed John McCain at 22 percent, Rudy Giuliani at 18 percent, Mike Huckabee with 16 percent and Romney at 15 percent.

 

[Rede]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_republican_caucus-235.html

6% or 9% depending on poll

 

[Thom1776]

They were talking about all the candidates each winning a state on MSNBC Tuesday night, Pat Buchanan et al, and just as they were cutting away, someone said Ron Paul could win Nevada, but you could barely hear them.

 

[alexa doherty]

I lied? Huh?

You lied. That's not the specific poll they were talking about in the article. You're just throwing up old polls. Nice try.

 

[gracebkr]

Rofl then how would fox news spin it?

We are now reporting that no republican candidate won Nevada.

LOL. "clearly this is voter fraud, those conspiracy theorists are conspirators"

Maybe they will blur over his name and bleep his name out when they speak.

 

[gracebkr]

"some republicans are bracing for a first place win by Ron Paul"


Holy toledo batman!

 

[jcizzle]

You lied. That's not the specific poll they were talking about in the article. You're just throwing up old polls. Nice try.

Um, it says it was released this Monday and mirrors the AP article exactly on the listed candidates. McCain at 22% in the article, 22% in the poll. Same for Romney, Huckabee and the Ghoul. I suppose it's always possible they released a new poll with these same numbers and Paul somehow gaining 23% in two days.

I'm only pointing this out for clarification purposes to show the full poll from the AP. RP can win if he has his full base come out to vote, something the other candidates will not receive.

 

[Karsten]

It only works when Luntz says it will.

F.U.F.

 

[Carole]

Nevada Republican Caucus
Saturday, January 19 | Delegates at Stake: 34

The highest I have seen: PAUL AT 9% and 8%

Poll Date Romney McCain Giuliani Huckabee ThompsonPaul Spread
American Res. Group
01/09 - 01/14 28 21 11 8 13 9 Romney +7.0

CNN
11/09 - 11/13 21 12 29 4 14 8 Giuliani +8.0

 

[pilby]

i started making calls to NV today in coordination with the official campaign. i was very surprised. probably 50% of the people i talked to were RP supporters.

one lady said she was voting for "the Christian guy. Huntington? Hunterbee? Huckerson? Huckla...." after a two-minute conversation, though, she was a convert to Dr Paul.

 

[jake]

win Nevada = Ron Paul will be the president. I would bet every penny in my pocket on that.

 

[Pete Kay]

This is just a test of the media. They are wanting to flex their muscles to determine how much sway that they have over the elections. A Paul win in Nevada and a Thompson win in South Carolina is exactly what they want. Can you imagine the story? Republicans split ina five way race and Giulliani is left in the dust. Ratings galore. If there was a true frontrunner then the race wouldn't be interesting at all. If it's a five or six man race, then that's a damn good story.