Democrats losing lead on Republicans in midterm election polls

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn (TN) has an eight-point lead over Democrat Phil Bredesen in the race for outgoing Sen. Bob Corker’s (R-TN) seat in November, according to a new poll.[/h] The poll published by CBS/YouGov on Sunday shows Blackburn at 50 percent versus Bredesen’s 42 percent.
Polls earlier in the year had shown Blackburn behind Bredesen by two points. The CBS/YouGov poll was conducted in the lead-up to the Senate’s vote on confirming Justice Brett Kavanaugh, between Oct. 2-5.


More at: https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/10/07/marsha-blackburn-phil-bredesen-tennessee/

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz leads Democrat challenger Beto O’Rourke 50 to 44 in a CBS YouGov poll conducted October 2-5.[/h] The survey of 1,031 registered and likely Texas voters released Sunday showed Cruz with a six point lead over O’Rourke in the more recent CBS battleground tracker poll.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/10/07/cruz-leads-orourke-50-44-october-poll/

 

[timosman]

Pelosi: House Democrats are working hard to give you a present this November:

 

[Swordsmyth]

A Tuesday New York Times poll of Congressional races has Republicans in the lead ahead of the Nov. 6 midterm elections.

First results of @UpshotNYT/@SienaResearch Poll:#TNsen:
Blackburn (R) 54 (+14)
Bredesen (D) 40
(120 LV)#TXsen:
Cruz (R – Inc) 54 (+12)
O’Rourke (D) 42
(200 LV)#NVsen:
Heller (R – inc) 48 (+3)
Rosen (D) 45
(212 LV)https://t.co/056GPn74cO
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 9, 2018

​

The polling also shows Republican candidates for the U.S. House leading in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio and North Carolina, which are typically hard-fought races in districts that can swing either left or right.

For example, the poll shows incumbent Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Pa.) leading Democrat challenger Ron DiNicola by an eight point margin in Pennsylvania’s 16th Congressional District.
In North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District, incumbent Rep. Ted Bud (R-N.C.) leads challenger Kathy Manning, funded by Silicon Valley, by a modest six points.
Incumbent Rep. Steve Chabot (R-Ohio) leads challenger Aftab Pureval outside the margin of error, in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District, according to the poll.
“Our poll is a good result for Republicans. It’s just one poll, though,” the paper reassuringly told its leftist readers of the Ohio race.
The poll also shows Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, billed as one of the Democrats’ most vulnerable seats, essentially tied. Former State Rep. Joe Radinovich, a Democrat, has a meager one point lead over Republican city commissioner Pete Stauber.

More at: https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-y...licans-surging-up-double-digits-in-tn-and-tx/

 

[angelatc]

LOL, ya, this is exactly what happened when Trump got elected - me and others here were literally screaming from the rooftops that the Democrat turnout was being over-represented in the polls and they were taking raw polling data that showed Trump was doing well and making it look like the dems were going to do better because they would have higher turnout and some retards here didn't listen, and they still won't admit they were wrong.

I admittedly thought Trump didn't have a chance, because I heard the same "the polls are wrong!!!" stuff in 2007 and 2012. I have no idea what to think now.

I am not thrilled with the GOP, but I will admit that I do enjoy ticking off the Democrats.

 

[dannno]

I admittedly thought Trump didn't have a chance, because I heard the same "the polls are wrong!!!" stuff in 2007 and 2012. I have no idea what to think now.

I am not thrilled with the GOP, but I will admit that I do enjoy ticking off the Democrats.

The polls were wrong in 2007 and 2012, but the difference was they suppressed his polling so low (1-2% range) that a lot of people who otherwise would have voted for him decided not to because of the low polling - so they voted for someone who "had a chance". Trump's low polling didn't keep anybody from voting for him because he was the best option who had a chance to win.

The other reason they suppressed his polling was to keep him out of the media, they blacked him out so nobody knew he was a contender or a good option. If they had truthful polling, more people would have been interested, he would have then polled even higher and actually may have had a shot if he had been treated fairly.

 

[timosman]

http://knockthe.vote/

 

[timosman]

Skip to 7:00 if you don't want to listen to the entire speech.

 

[thoughtomator]

I am not thrilled with the GOP, but I will admit that I do enjoy ticking off the Democrats.

The Republicans have people like Rand Paul, Jim Jordan, Mike Lee, Mark Meadows, etc, for which there is no Democrat equivalent whatsoever.

The Democrats are a savage mob that aims to tear you limb from limb.

Shouldn't be too hard to prefer one over the other.

 

[timosman]

The Quickie: Sarah Silverman's Plea to Senators | I Love You, America on Hulu

 

[Swordsmyth]

Disgust over how the confirmation hearings of Justice Brett Kavanaugh were handled by Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee is just now showing up in polls taken following those hearings. CNN’s poll released on Monday showed severe damage being done to the most critical part of the electorate the Democrats were hoping to capture in the upcoming midterm elections: independent voters. When asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in the U.S. Senate handled Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearing?” 58 percent of independent voters disapproved, compared to just 30 percent who approved — a jaw-dropping 28-percent margin.

In its weekly poll released on Wednesday, Rasmussen Reports found that the Democrat advantage over Republicans in a generic poll had vanished altogether: 45-45. The previous week, Democrats held a five-point lead over Republicans, 47-42.

More at: https://www.thenewamerican.com/usne...kavanaugh-hearings-blunted-democrat-blue-wave

 

[Swordsmyth]

Republican voters are madder about the treatment of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh during his Senate confirmation process and are more likely to vote in November than Democrats, according to a new national survey.
“Sixty-two percent of Republicans are more likely to vote because of the Kavanaugh controversy, compared to 54 percent of Democrats and 46 percent of voters not affiliated with either major political party,” Rasmussen Reports said in making its results public Wednesday.

More at: https://www.lifezette.com/2018/10/survey-says-gopers-madder-more-likely-to-vote-than-dems/

 

[Swordsmyth]

A new poll shows Arizona GOP senatorial candidate Martha McSally widening her lead against her Democratic opponent, Kyrsten Sinema, in the race to replace Senator Jeff Flake. The ABC15/OH Predictive Insights poll found McSally leading Sinema 47%-41%. In September, the same poll found in McSally leading 49%-46%.
As ABC15 reported, chief pollster Mike Noble said McSally was benefiting from the uniting of Republicans following the hearings for Justice Brett Kavanaugh, President Trump’s growing support, and the entrance in the race of Green Party candidate Angela Green, who siphoned off some of Sinema’s support.

More at: https://www.dailywire.com/news/36948/more-good-news-gop-senate-poll-shows-arizonas-hank-berrien

 

[timosman]

https://twitter.com/algore/status/1049677672354390017

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]A poll released Friday shows Republican congressional candidate Wendy Rogers with a widening lead over Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-AZ) in Arizona’s First Congressional District, indicating a potential Republican pickup in November.[/h] The poll, conducted by Go Right Strategies for the Rogers campaign, shows 44.4 percent support for Rogers and 37.5 percent for O’Halleran, with 18.1 still undecided. The sample size is 943 landline respondents, and the margin of error is three points.
Polling in Arizona’s First District, where Democrats have pulled out comfortable victories in each of the three election cycles since it took its current map, has been sparse this campaign season.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/big-gover...s-arizona-democrat-incumbent-nearly-7-points/

 

[Pauls' Revere]

I don't think its a fluke, I believe a gallup poll today had GOP favorability up to 45 and Dems with no movement at 44.

Kavanaugh was the trigger.

I fear America's short term memory.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is maintaining his 9-point advantage over challenger Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) in Texas's Senate race, according to a new poll.
Cruz has the support of 54 percent of likely voters polled, while O'Rourke is backed by 45 percent with the election less than a month away, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released early Thursday. Cruz's 9-point lead is identical to the edge he held in the same poll three weeks ago.

More at: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/410903-poll-cruz-tops-orourke-by-9-points-in-texas-senate-race

 

[Swordsmyth]

According to Real Clear Politics' average of the key polls, only seven Senate seats are true "toss ups" — and to take control of the chamber, the Democrats have to win all seven. To make matters worse for Democrats, the so-called "Kavanaugh effect" appears to be real and seems to particularly impacting a few of those toss-up seats.

More at: https://www.dailywire.com/news/3700...w-polls-could-spell-doom-senate-james-barrett

 

[r3volution 3.0]

The RCP average for the generic ballot is currently D+6.9, a 0.5 point drop from a week or so ago, but still well within the long-term range.

I wouldn't call it a meaningful turn unless it drops a bit more over the next week.

 

[timosman]

The RCP average for the generic ballot is currently D+6.9, a 0.5 point drop from a week or so ago, but still well within the long-term range.

I wouldn't call it a meaningful turn unless it drops a bit more over the next week.

Who are you talking to? I am afraid your target audience is not here.