Cruz likely to block Trump on a second ballot at the GOP convention

CPUd

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Cruz likely to block Trump on a second ballot at the GOP convention

Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz is close to ensuring that Donald Trump cannot win the GOP nomination on a second ballot at the party’s July convention in Cleveland, scooping up scores of delegates who have pledged to vote for him instead of the front-runner if given the chance.

The push by Cruz means that it is more essential than ever for Trump to clinch the nomination by winning a majority of delegates to avoid a contested and drawn-out convention fight, which Trump seems almost certain to lose.

The GOP race now rests on two cliffhangers: Can Trump lock up the nomination before Cleveland? If not, can Cruz cobble together enough delegates to win a second convention vote if Trump fails in the first?

Trump’s path to amassing the 1,237 delegates he needs to win outright has only gotten narrower after losing to Cruz in Wisconsin and other recent contests, and it would require him to perform better in the remaining states than he has to this point.

In addition, based on the delegate selections made by states and territories, Cruz is poised to pick up at least 130 more votes on a second ballot, according to a Washington Post analysis. That tally surpasses 170 delegates under less conservative assumptions — a number that could make it impossible for Trump to emerge victorious.

That is why the race centers on the fevered hunt for delegates across the country. The intensity of the fight has sparked another round of caustic rhetoric — including allegations from party leaders that Trump supporters are making death threats.

“It’s unfortunate politics has reached a new low. These type of threats have no place in politics,” said Kyle Babcock, a Republican delegate from Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District. He received an email from a Trump supporter who warned, “Think before you take a step down the wrong path.”

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...53e724-00bc-11e6-9d36-33d198ea26c5_story.html
 
well, more accurate to say, if it goes to a 2nd ballot - there may be more, because Cruz won't be winning either.

There may not be too. GOP members are realizing they may be throwing the election to the democrats, and except for some hardnose neocons, most republicans don't want that. So if that is the thinking, unless they have a third candidate in mind, which they don't so far - Trump may gain delegates to avoid it.

Trump and Cruz may make up too. Unless Cruz is being blackmailed - which a thread I just posted about Cruz's Harvard Law Professor [could] lead one to wonder about the role of blackmail in this election.
 
well, more accurate to say, if it goes to a 2nd ballot - there may be more, because Cruz won't be winning either.

There may not be too. GOP members are realizing they may be throwing the election to the democrats, and except for some hardnose neocons, most republicans don't want that. So if that is the thinking, unless they have a third candidate in mind, which they don't so far - Trump may gain delegates to avoid it.

Trump and Cruz may make up too. Unless Cruz is being blackmailed - which a thread I just posted about Cruz's Harvard Law Professor [could] lead one to wonder about the role of blackmail in this election.

I think Cruz is most likely to win on a second battle. But I wouldn't be surprised if somebody like Paul Ryan gets it.
 
The whole GOP nomination is a clusterfuck because a big piece of the establishment decided to give a certain authoritarian billions of dollars in free advertising.

I think most of the party has come to recognize how much they screwed up and have pretty much given up any hope at winning the White House.

The convention will be about selecting the candidate that hurts them the least down-ballot. I'm not sure who that will be, but it'll be fun to watch. They had their chance, but they were too scared of a real anti-establishment candidate like a Paul. So now, they can eat it. Personally, I hope they find someone suitable enough to prevent them from losing the House and Senate so that Hillary will get very little of her agenda through. Kasich may just end up being that guy since, while no one really likes him, he's hard for the other side to demonize. (You know, since he's one of them.)
 
I think Cruz is most likely to win on a second battle. But I wouldn't be surprised if somebody like Paul Ryan gets it.

#nottrump is not #forcruz.

I don't think so. It's human nature to seize as much power as possible for most people, and certainly for the type that go to conventions.

The delegates have more power not supporting cruz on the second if that happens.
 
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Communists protesting Trump at the moment.

We intend to do what the city’s elected so-called leaders refuse to do — and shut down Trump from spreading his hateful message.

More organizers:

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/04/11/3768136/donald-trump-new-york-city-protests/
 
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