Regardless of what Putin may or may not be, I don't think it is unreasonable to believe that maybe he and Russia felt backed into a corner after years of (at least partially) manufactured anti-Russia hysteria, not to mention the 2014 coup in Ukraine. This, in conjunction with his personal ambitions, age, and sensing weakness in the illegitimate Biden regime and the West in general, may have all contributed to the decision to invade Ukraine (strike while the iron is hot).
I'm not sure this tracks with reason. Obama is a feckless pansy. Yes, he got us into things we ought not have involved ourselves, but Putin is no babe in the woods. He took the bait like some rank novice. What did he think, that NATO forces would some streaming across the border for Moscow? As things have stood for the past 70 years, this is not going to happen, and if they did, it's likely the end of everything we know. If the globalists are willing to risk such annihilation, then there is nothing Russia could do in any event, save to answer with their own strike, or capitulate. The same choice exists for the "west", so Vlad-baby really has no unique pulpit from which to claim a moral high ground. In this, we are all assholes. We all participated, yet the moment the shit gets real, we start whining. Verily are we our own worst enemies.
It seems that the U.S. almost always causes its own problems, and this is likely no exception.
100% agreed, but the very same is the case with the rest of the cast of this macabre dance of gratuitous self-ruin. Other than God's "lesser" creations, and children, there are no innocents in this greatest of Shakespearean tragedies.
At the very least, the U.S. has no credibility to clutch its pearls over a military invasion.
Here I must disagree, even if only to re-adjust a mite by stating without equivocation that the world as a whole, does. Certainly it is the case as of 1991 that Russia was historically far and away more guilty of unjustifiable aggression. Since 1917, they and China were the worst this world has ever seen by an appallingly wide margin. Even Hitler paled in into insignificance when compared with the likes of Russia and China. It was not until that cursèd year when that devil Clinton ran American forces into a place that could in no way be justified in the ways possible with Korea and Vietnam, misguided as those excursions may otherwise have been. And of course since 9/11 we as an entity chose to plumb the depths of Soviet-style depravity with our middle-eastern adventures, part deux.
Even the anti-Russian war propaganda isn't as bad as some of the things that I personally witnessed in Iraq (civilians shot, bandaged, zip-tied, and left to die, among other things). I just can't jump on the anti-Russian bandwagon even if its invasion of Ukraine is wrong since I do not want the U.S. to be involved in yet another European war.
I fully understand your position from the normative perspective and share it. But in terms of positive reality, it is a mistaken take. One of the few things peddled by the globalists that isn't either bullshit or an outright lie is the notion of global entanglement, expressed with the phony baloney euphemism "interdependence". Because of our technologies, coupled with the wholly self-defeating world view of paranoia and political avarice, we are up to our eyeballs in each others' business. There is no such thing as a nation minding its own business because other nations will not allow it. The globalists will not allow you not to play, if your participation is required by Themme. Look what Theye did with Qadafi, or however the hell you spell it: he committed the intolerable by declaring a gold-based currency and was removed from efficacy in response.
Theye are playing both ends against the middle. Theye back both sides and in so doing win no matter who prevails. It's as old as the hills, should be no surprise to anyone, and yet this blatant strategy works every time, the entire world willingly playing the sucker. How is it even possible? The will to all manner of corruption, as individuals and populations - that's how.
I understand the urge to not "capitulate,"
These days, either response plunges you into peril. Fail to stand and Russia will just keep going. There would be no incentive for them not to. If you are willing to mow through a nation, killing and destroying indiscriminately with the only goal of eliminating all opposition, your motions will carry the advantages of that will, particularly in the face of those unwilling to resist in any meaningful way. Resist, and you risk nuclear annihilation. In the end, dead is dead and the nuclear avenue to that terminus is no worse than any other. Our reflexive revulsion for it roots in what may be an unconscious with not to see the beautiful earth destroyed in so utter a fashion. It is perhaps one of the few redeeming qualities of the mean human individual.
especially since any attempt to de-escalate will inevitably be compared to Neville Chamberlain and Hitler, but we already have a clear red line, which is an attack on an entangling alliance NATO member.
It will be in fact a close analog to 1939. The nice sounding theory is, IMO, bullshit. When Russia rolls into Poland, NATO will be nowhere, as will be the case with the rest of the former Bloc nations. Why? Because they will assume that that is where Russia will stop - and indeed they might. NATO was established for western Europe and I doubt they feel any real obligation to eastern Europe. Western Europe is much like France ca. 1940 - WE SURRENDER! They don't want to lose what they have and they have a lot. It is ever so easy to rationalize turning one's back to an ally in trouble, believing that if one does nothing to anger the enemy, they will be spared. This is an option that should not be dismissed because IMO it is the most likely thing to happen, especially if Russia is likely to stop at Vienna.
The seeming attempt to turn Ukraine into a de facto NATO member, after the fact, is reckless.
Perhaps, but the ship of Russian aggression has sailed and we are now faced with an active invasion. To ignore what is being done cannot end well. To meet it also carries the same risk. The die has been cast and all options are shit. The question remaining is which is the least shitty. That, nobody can know at this juncture, which makes things even shittier. This is why I assert that we have all painted ourselves into an untenable corner, if what we are seeing is to be believed at face.
Everyone, including Putin, knows that Russia cannot defeat NATO conventionally, so it is no wonder that Putin invoked the risk of nuclear exchange.
Thus making him ever so much more the grand stooge of the twenty-first century. But this assumption is debatable. NATO has the equipment, but I question their courage and resolve.
To some extent, this threat is actually rational if he hopes to not escalate the conflict beyond Ukraine. Nuclear weapons have been known to act more as bargaining chips and deterrents than actual weapons of war, and this may be no exception. However, if Russia were ever truly backed into a corner, I have no doubt that they would launch, or at the very least I wouldn't risk testing that belief.
At this point any assumption of rationality is itself irrational.
So what to do with nuclear armed nations that can strike our cities within thirty minutes? De-escalate.
Which in this case directly translates into capitulation. That is a non-starter for all the reasons cited. Mr. Rock, allow me to introduce Mr. Hardplace.
Saddest of all, if we manage to avoid glow-in-the-dark-disco-ball status, we will fail to grasp and accept the message/lesson here.
For starters, if we must be committed to NATO, then we remind Russia that we acknowledge that Ukraine is not a NATO member but any attack against a bona fide NATO member would be considered an act of war. Perhaps the media could dial down the anti-Russian hysteria (fat chance, I know). Perhaps don't enact sanctions against Russia (an act of war, or at the very least provocative). Perhaps we shouldn't have a Senator whose so deep in the closet that he's calling for Putin's assassination from Narnia. Perhaps we should not supply arms to Ukraine (also provocative). Perhaps we shouldn't do a whole litany of things that put us on a trajectory of armed conflict. I'm not on the kumbaya love train, but it's kind of difficult to negotiate while being hysterical.
Any compromise and Putin wins, hands down. It will by all means entail Ukraine's ceding of territory. The message here is that crime does in fact pay. Wait a few years and repeat. If Putin does not stop of his own accord, he must be stopped.
Granted, all of this doesn't matter since the TPTB will get what they want, be it a proxy or direct war with Russia.
Exactly.