Clemson University poll, Paul at 6%

[Bradley in DC]

http://www.clemson.edu/newsroom/articles/2008/january/GOP_Summary.pdf

A new Clemson University poll in South Carolina shows Sen. John McCain leading the Republican presidential race with 29%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 22%, Mitt Romney at 13% and Fred Thompson at 10%.

Key finding: Only slightly more than half the voters had a “good idea” about whom they were going to support on primary day.

 

[nate895]

http://www.clemson.edu/newsroom/articles/2008/january/GOP_Summary.pdf

A new Clemson University poll in South Carolina shows Sen. John McCain leading the Republican presidential race with 29%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 22%, Mitt Romney at 13% and Fred Thompson at 10%.

Key finding: Only slightly more than half the voters had a “good idea” about whom they were going to support on primary day.

This looks good for us, I think. I hope the campaign can pick up a few points campaining there, from the current 5.25% in the RCP average (I excluded the outliers, like you're suppose to do in averages) to about 7-8%. Then I've heard that about a third of voters like him, they're just not sure he can win, which is consistent with what I've seen in Washington State. So a win due to low turn-out in Nevada hitting SC at 2, after about, for the sake of argument, 2/3 of each group has voted, so we come up 10-15 points from the polls.

 

[nate895]

bump

 

[Give me liberty]

Oh brother Bradley in DC today has been spaming with the media nanny owned polls We will win Sc or Nv first or second by bet

 

[RPatTheBeach]

Oh brother Bradley in DC today has been spaming with the media nanny owned polls We will win Sc or Nv first or second by bet

Win SC? You are DREAMING! I like to hope as much as the next guy, but let's be realistic.

 

[noztnac]

I'm in SC. I predict
1. McCain
2. Huckabee
3. Ron Paul
4. Thompson
5. Romney
6. Giuliani
7. Hunter

I think this is realistic. I hope we do better.

 

[dfalken]

Way to set us up for dissapointment later. I seriously doubt we have any chance at third place in South Carolina but please surprise me.

 

[wgadget]

This looks good for us, I think. I hope the campaign can pick up a few points campaining there, from the current 5.25% in the RCP average (I excluded the outliers, like you're suppose to do in averages) to about 7-8%. Then I've heard that about a third of voters like him, they're just not sure he can win, which is consistent with what I've seen in Washington State. So a win due to low turn-out in Nevada hitting SC at 2, after about, for the sake of argument, 2/3 of each group has voted, so we come up 10-15 points from the polls.

Are you taking into consideration the time difference? I think NV is 3 hours behind SC.

 

[LilGator]

I'm also in SC, this is not what I predict, but what I'm hoping we'll be lucky enough to pull out of here:

1. McCain
2. Huckabee
3. Romney
4. Thompson
5. Ron Paul
6. Giuliani
7. Hunter

Keep in mind that McCain is in third place right now as far as delegate count is concerned, I'd rather him pick up a few here, than first-place Romney, or second-place Huckabee.

Also keep in mind if Huckabee and Thompson do not win SC, they both are dead, and will be very unlikely to keep going. McCain and Romney don't need that.

Guiliani's d-day is Florida, if he can't win there, he's done.

Obviously the campaigns won't admit this, but everyone knows it. Look for Hunter to drop out after SC. He just started putting radio ads out the last few days here. It's obvious he needs something here, and he's willing to spend his last dime to do it.

This could be a three way race very quickly.

 

[RPatTheBeach]

I'm also in SC, this is not what I predict, but what I'm hoping we'll be lucky enough to pull out of here:

1. McCain
2. Huckabee
3. Romney
4. Thompson
5. Ron Paul
6. Giuliani
7. Hunter

I'm in SC as well. I think this is realistic. I think Thompson should do better than Mitt, but both will do better than us.