(Called for KERRY B!) Field Report From Bentivolio Race / Official Results Thread

[Michigan11]

i will be back in a couple hrs. Need to do something more productive than stare at a computer biting my nails.

ill go stare at my tv and bite my nails.

Nobody Leaves! Now or ever in the revolution! LMAO

 

[RonRules]

What happened? Honestly I'm not seeing it...Nancy is only winning in her hometown.

What this is showing is a pretty linear relationship favoring Cassis as a function of precinct size. It's not just her hometown.

That looks like a central tabulator rig to me.

 

[angelatc]

I thought this district was pretty solid republican no?

They're Michigan Republicans. Probably a bit like Mass Republicans - not actually conservative.

 

[Michigan11]

What happened? Honestly I'm not seeing it...Nancy is only winning in her hometown.

What this is showing is a pretty linear relationship favoring Cassis as a function of precinct size. It's not just her hometown.

That looks like a central tabulator rig to me.

You guys are hillarious

 

[matt0611]

They're Michigan Republicans. Probably a bit like Mass Republicans - not actually conservative.

Right, but how do they vote? Will Kerry have a tough general election fight?

 

[DeMintConservative]

I think those are the old district numbers. The new numbers look better, but not overwhelming.

Nope. The new district is 50-48 Obama-McCain. The old one was 54-45 Obama.

 

[Spoa]

This was posted at Red Racing Horses:

9:45 ET Todd Akin has a 34-31-30 lead despite most of the St. Louis area not yet reporting. The good news for John Brunner is that he's well ahead in early returns from Kansas City, which is neutral ground in this primary.

Let's hope it holds out

 

[sailingaway]

Choice Total Color
Kerry Bentivolio (REP) 10,464
WRITE-IN (REP) 5,407

 

[RonRules]

What happened? Honestly I'm not seeing it...Nancy is only winning in her hometown.

She's exceeding Bentivolio in those precicnts:


Novi 19
Commerce 3
Milford 7
Commerce 5
Highland 5
Commerce 11
Waterford 1
Walled Lake 2
Novi 10
Commerce 15
Milford 3
Commerce 7
Commerce 12
Wixom 4
Milford 6
Milford 4
Commerce 13
Novi 3
Wixom 1
Novi 9
Novi 13
Novi 8
Novi 7
Northville 2
Novi Twp 1
Novi 2
Novi 16
Novi 4
Novi 11
Novi 21
Novi 20
Novi 14
Novi 6
Novi 1
Novi 15
Novi 17
Novi 18

 

[BSU kid]

More districts coming out in favor of Kerry...Nancy is confined to Novi.

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/MI/Oakland/41155/95238/en/md.html?cid=0110

 

[RonRules]

You guys are hillarious

Did you graduate high school math?

 

[Spoa]

Right, but how do they vote? Will Kerry have a tough general election fight?

We can't take it for granted...that's for sure. As I've said before, if Nancy Cassis endorses the Democrat...Kerry will be a huge underdog. His vote totals are larger than the Democrats combined...but add Nancy's to the Democrats and Kerry will be defeated.

 

[Michigan11]

bye bye taxes...err claseless

 

[DeMintConservative]

Nope. These are the new numbers. The old numbers were 54-45% pro-Obama. This district is pretty pro-union according to my sources. McCotter was a strong advocate for the unions in congress which is how he won. If the GOP would just support Bentivolio, he can win tough.

No, McCotter district was very pro-union - and I wouldn't call McCotter a strong advocate of unions but he was certainly a friend of them, especially for a Republican. The new district, not so much. More suburban.

 

[BSU kid]

Sorry RonRules...my brain is still in Summer Mode here. I think I see what you are saying about her votes proportionate to precinct size, I got to look into this now.

 

[Spoa]

No, McCotter district was very pro-union - and I wouldn't call McCotter a strong advocate of unions but he was certainly a friend of them, especially for a Republican. The new district, not so much. More suburban.

I hope you're right. I would love to see Kerry Bentivolio in congress next year.

 

[DeMintConservative]

We can't take it for granted...that's for sure. As I've said before, if Nancy Cassis endorses the Democrat...Kerry will be a huge underdog. His vote totals are larger than the Democrats combined...but add Nancy's to the Democrats and Kerry will be defeated.

The Democrat is a Pakistani doctor with a very strong southern Asian accent and pretty bad public speaking skills. Bentivolio just needs to not do anything crazy and campaign decently to win.

I don't think Republicans will actually support the democrat on this race anyway. Most Republicans fall in line and support their party candidate (and those who don't are just childish egomaniacs and should be kicked out of the party).

 

[Adrock]

No, McCotter district was very pro-union - and I wouldn't call McCotter a strong advocate of unions but he was certainly a friend of them, especially for a Republican. The new district, not so much. More suburban.

Yep. These are "Romney Republicans".

 

[Michigan11]

Did you graduate high school math?

I'm just playin with you, I see your graph!

 

[trey4sports]

The Democrat is a Pakistani doctor with a very strong southern Asian accent and pretty bad public speaking skills. Bentivolio just needs to not do anything crazy and campaign decently to win.

I don't think Republicans will actually support the democrat on this race anyway. Most Republicans fall in line and support their party candidate (and those who don't are just childish egomaniacs and should be kicked out of the party).

lol.....